The Lab

By FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Neil Paine, Chris Herring, Kyle Wagner

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 Jul 13, 2018


An NBA roundtable featuring FiveThirtyEight's sharpest NBA minds, discussing the league's trends from an analytics angle.

Episode Date
WWJD (What Will James Do?)
We're in The Lab to wrap up the season while discussing what makes these Warriors different from other NBA "dynasties" and where LeBron James should play next season.
Jun 11, 2018
Get Your Brooms Ready
The whole gang is back in the Lab to discuss what a potential sweep will do for the Warriors "dynasty" and LeBron's legacy. We also re-evaluate Finals MVP candidates and more.
Jun 07, 2018
These Are The Warriors At Their Curry-Fueled Best
With the Finals shifting to Cleveland, Neil and Kyle are in The Lab to discuss Curry's Finals MVP-worthy performance and wonder which player could step up to help LeBron.
Jun 04, 2018
About That Block
Neil and Kyle are in The Lab to dissect the crazy ending to Game 1. We discuss JR's blunder, highlight what the Cavs did right and wonder what more LeBron has to do.
Jun 01, 2018
Run It Back...Again...And Again...
First, we're in The Lab to break down what went wrong for Houston and Boston and then we look ahead to Cavaliers vs. Warriors: Part IV.
May 29, 2018
UPDATED: LeBron Is Tired. The Rockets May Soon Be Too.
The episode we posted earlier was incomplete. Listen to this one! The crew discusses the NBA conference finals and how the NFL's anthem policy differs from the NBA's.
May 24, 2018
What Do All These Blowouts Mean?
Neil and Kyle discuss why all the teams in the two remaining series have been so dominant at times, and terrible at others.
May 21, 2018
Breaking Down Each Game 1
The Celtics limited LeBron James -- is that a sign of things to come? The Warriors ran away with the end of the game -- are the Rockets doomed to be in the Warriors' shadow?
May 15, 2018
Previewing The Conference Finals
Neil and Kyle preview both conference finals matchups, and say goodbye to the eliminated teams.
May 10, 2018
35: Rockets Grounded
The crew is in The Lab to break down Utah's impressive win in Houston, the continued problems for the Raptors, Curry's return and more.
May 03, 2018
34: Eight Teams Left
The playoffs continue marching on and we're back in The Lab to break down the conference semi-final matchups in the East and West.
Apr 30, 2018
33: Thunder Fight On
The playoffs keep marching on and we're back to discuss the Thunder's epic comeback against the Jazz, preview the Warriors-Pelicans second round series and more.
Apr 26, 2018
32: Best Of Three
Neil and Kyle break down the weekend playoff action and discuss the three 2-2 series in the Eastern Conference. For the Raptors, Celtics and the Cavs, who should be worried?
Apr 23, 2018
31: All Tied Up
We're back in the Lab to dive into the playoff series that are tied at 1-1 heading into Game 3. Is OKC in trouble? Can the Cavs get one back in Indiana? Should Embiid return?
Apr 19, 2018
30: Game 1s In The Books
We're in The Lab to look back on the opening weekend of the NBA playoffs. We discuss Dipo and the Pacers, wonders what the Blazers can do to stop AD, and more.
Apr 16, 2018
29: Eastern Conference Playoffs Preview
And now onto the Eastern Conference! We're back to preview all four first-round matchups in the East and offer our predictions for which teams will move on.
Apr 13, 2018
28: Western Conference Playoffs Preview
Playoffs are finally here! We're in The Lab to preview the matchups in the Western Conference and compare our predictions with those of FiveThirtyEight's CARM-Elo predictions.
Apr 12, 2018
27: We The North
This week, we're in The Lab to break down the Eastern Conference leading Toronto Raptors and their chances in this year's playoffs, Embiid's injury, Oladipo and more.
Apr 05, 2018
26: Warrior Down
This week on The Lab, the crew dives into the impact of Steph Curry's injury on the Warriors' playoff run, touch on Kyrie's knee procedure and more.
Mar 29, 2018
25: Is Utah A Small-Market Model?
This week in The Lab, we discuss the Jazz and their impressive re-build project this season, ask once again how legit the Rockets are, break down the problems in OKC and more.
Mar 21, 2018
24: Talking Cavs With David Griffin
Former Cavaliers GM David Griffin joins us in The Lab to discuss LeBron James, the Cavaliers and more.
Mar 14, 2018
23: Wild Wild West
This week in The Lab, the crew discuss the red hot Blazers, the intense playoff race happening out West and more.
Mar 08, 2018
Curling Special: Team USA Gold
Neil Paine and Nate Silver sit down with the USA curling team to talk about stats in curling and what it was like to win gold at Pyeongchang.
Mar 05, 2018
22: The Great NBA Tank-Off
The whole crew is back in The Lab to discuss Jimmy Butler's injury, AD's performance after Boogie went down and the worst teams in the NBA.
Mar 01, 2018
21: Restructuring The Playoffs With Brian Windhorst
Brian Windhorst joins us in The Lab to discuss possible new NBA playoff seedings. We also answer listener All-Star questions, discuss Toronto's surprising bench play and more.
Feb 22, 2018
20: All That Jazz
Nate Silver is back in The Lab to help us try to fix the All-Star Game. Plus, we tackle the Utah Jazz's surprising winning streak, the fit for the new Cavaliers and more.
Feb 15, 2018
19: Cleveland Rocks The NBA Trade Deadline
Nate Silver joins The Lab crew to discuss the new-look Cleveland Cavaliers and wonders which players will have the biggest impact on their new teams.
Feb 08, 2018
18: Injuries, Injuries And More Injuries
The Lab touch on the Blake Griffin trade and dive into the injuries that have plagued the league, from Kevin Love to John Wall and more.
Feb 01, 2018
17: Where Is The Love?
The Lab investigate brewing problems in San Antonio and Cleveland and dive into where the Milwaukee Bucks can go now after firing head coach Jason Kidd.
Jan 25, 2018
16: Talking Wizards with Candace Buckner
Washington Post reporter Candace Buckner joins The Lab to discuss the Washington Wizards. We also dive into Kawhi's injury, NBA fights and more.
Jan 18, 2018
15: Are The Timberwolves For Real?
We're in The Lab this week to discuss Curry's return, Ball and the Lakers and the new and improved Timberwolves.
Jan 11, 2018
14: Stat Sheet Stuffing
We're back for the new year to discuss IT's return, the strange lack of crazy stat lines this season and Andre Drummond, the point guard?
Jan 04, 2018
13: Holiday Mailbag
What's our most surprising team so far? Who's on our All-Rookie team right now? What should the Bulls do? We answer these and other questions from our listeners this week.
Dec 27, 2017
12: The Progress Of The Process
The Lab give their takes on #8 or #24, check in on what's going right or wrong in The Process and more.
Dec 21, 2017
11: When The Cat's Away, The Mice Will Play
We're in the Lab to discuss why OKC's outcasts are thriving and winning on their new teams and try to figure out how the Timberwolves are winning these close games.
Dec 12, 2017
10: Keeping Up With The Jameses
Neil, Kyle and Chris discuss LeBron James and the Cavs' recent win streak, the MVP caliber season of James Harden and more.
Dec 07, 2017
09: Memphis Blues
Neil, Kyle and Chris chat about David Fizdale's firing and discuss the potential impact of Blake Griffin's latest injury.
Nov 30, 2017
08: Everything OK In OKC?
Neil, Kyle and Chris are in The Lab to break down the problems with the OKC Thunder and discuss Lonzo's continued shooting woes.
Nov 22, 2017
07: The Return Of Al Horford
The Lab is back to discuss the Celtics' surprising winning streak and wonders how long they can keep winning like this.
Nov 16, 2017
06: Mood...
The Lab welcomes ESPN's Baxter Holmes to talk about NBA scheduling and tired players. Plus, Neil and Kyle discuss the Cavs situation and wonders if they should be worried.
Nov 08, 2017
05: Battle Of Power Forwards
Neil, Kyle and Chris are back in the Lab to discuss the transformation of Blake, KP and Aaron Gordon this season.
Nov 02, 2017
And-1: Interview with Rich Cho
Before the season started, Chris Herring sat down with Hornets GM, Rich Cho, to discuss the new season, Dwight Howard and food.
Oct 27, 2017
04: The Greek Freak
Neil, Kyle and Chris are back to discuss what is going on in Phoenix and what we can decipher from Giannis' crazy start to the season.
Oct 25, 2017
03: Boston Without Hayward
Where do the Celtics go from here? Chris, Neil and Kyle are back to discuss what the Gordon Hayward injury means for Boston and more impressions from the NBA's opening night.
Oct 18, 2017
And-1: Interview with Jeanie Buss
Chris Herring sits down with Jeanie Buss of the Los Angeles Lakers to discuss why family and basketball don't always mix and what to expect from Lonzo Ball this season.
Oct 17, 2017
02: Eastern Conference Previews
The Lab, FiveThirtyEight's new NBA podcast, is back! Neil, Chris and Kyle break down the good and the not-so-good teams in the East.
Oct 11, 2017
01: Western Conference Previews
FiveThirtyEight's new NBA podcast! Neil, Chris and Kyle discuss what to expect from each team in the West. Next week: the East.
Oct 04, 2017
The Hottest Takes
On our final show, the Hot Takedown crew breaks down what we've learned and says farewell with a Hall of Fame hot take.
Sep 26, 2017
Historical Bias
The HTD crew discusses Eli Manning's latest woes and debates whether the quality of play in the NFL is as low as it seems. Plus, a sig dig on baseball.
Sep 19, 2017
September Streaks
The HTD crew discusses Sloane Stephens' U.S. Open triumph and dissects the Cleveland Indians and Los Angeles Dodgers' recent streaks in the MLB.
Sep 12, 2017
Staying Power
The HTD crew is joined by ESPN's Mina Kimes, who drops by to discuss her Aaron Rodgers profile and helps us preview the start of the NFL season. Plus, a sig dig on tennis.
Sep 05, 2017
The Cavs-Celtics Swap
Neil Paine, Chris Herring and Kyle Wagner break down the megadeal between the Celtics and the Cavaliers, and talk about how the teams will play next season.
Aug 30, 2017
A Tricky Deal
The HTD crew previews college football and discusses parity and which metrics matter most. Plus, the Lakers' latest woes and a significant digit on Felix Hernandez.
Aug 22, 2017
Hot And Cold
The HTD crew discusses Ezekiel Elliott's suspension, whether momentum in sports really exists, and a significant digit on the MLB's long and getting longer games.
Aug 15, 2017
One Direction Or Another
The HTD crew is joined by Mike Goodman for an all soccer show that touches on the Neymar deal, previews the EPL, and questions if MLS is a Ponzi scheme.
Aug 08, 2017
Trading Places
The HTD crew chats about Kate's new book -- out today! -- and the MLB trade deadline.
Aug 01, 2017
The Rookie Dilemma
The HTD crew discusses how NFL rookies are being paid less than they're worth, and takes a look at The Undefeated's 50 Greatest Black Athletes list.
Jul 25, 2017
Stat School: Baseball
The HTD crew revisits our first ever stat school on baseball, breaking down batting average, OPS, and wRC+.
Jul 18, 2017
Stat School: Tennis
The HTD crew is joined by Carl Bialik for a special stat school on tennis.
Jul 11, 2017
Free Agency Fireworks
The HTD crew breaks down the latest in free agency moves in the NBA, with a significant digit on competitive eating.
Jul 03, 2017
The Most Statistically Accomplished Player
The HTD crew discusses NBA MVP Russell Westbrook, John McEnroe's recent comments about Serena Williams, and how Tim Tebow is failing upward.
Jun 27, 2017
The Other Side Of The Ledger
The HTD crew discusses the latest rumors and developments in the NBA draft. Plus, a significant digit on baseball.
Jun 20, 2017
Don't Use The Existing Model
The HTD discusses the MLB draft, whether this year's Warriors are the greatest NBA squad of all time, and the French Open.
Jun 13, 2017
Hot Take Ville
This week, we shake up our format and bring you our analysis on the latest NHL headlines, plus a deep dive on the current competitive balance in the NBA.
Jun 06, 2017
Championship Edition
The HTD crew discusses the NBA and NHL championship finals.
May 30, 2017
Us Sabermetric Types
The HTD crew does an appreciation of Manu Ginobili, tries to figure out what's going on with the Cubs and breaks down an NFL rule change.
May 23, 2017
Prove It On The Field
The HTD crew discusses the latest developments in the NBA playoffs, whether Derek Jeter is over or underrated, and the potential advantages of games at home in the playoffs.
May 16, 2017
Skeptically Impressed
The HTD crew discusses Isaiah Thomas vs. John Wall, the Mets' most recent struggles, and Nike's Breaking2 endeavor.
May 09, 2017
Kate Fagan's new podcast: "Free Cookies"
Kate has a new podcast! Take a listen to the first episode and subscribe in your favorite podcasting app.
May 04, 2017
Positions, Playoffs, and Paul Pierce
The HTD crew discusses the racial lines drawn around football positions, the NHL playoffs, and the retirement of Paul Pierce.
May 02, 2017
Rolling The Dice
The HTD crew previews the NFL draft, recaps the first round of the NBA playoffs, and checks in on the Champions League.
Apr 25, 2017
Take That For Data
The HTD crew talks with Nate Silver about why the save ruined relief pitching and investigates the sub-two hour marathon.
Apr 18, 2017
Hot Takedown's NBA MVP Smackdown
The HTD crew discusses five candidates (Curry, Leonard, James, Harden, and Westbrook) for MVP of the NBA this year and crowns our champ.
Apr 11, 2017
The Year of the Carolinas
The HTD crew discusses the men's and women's NCAA championships and the controversy around resting players in the NBA.
Apr 04, 2017
Trust The Numbers
The HTD crew discusses this surprising Final Four, why Colin Kaepernick remains unsigned, and the American League.
Mar 28, 2017
In Pursuit of Rings
The HTD crew breaks down the first two rounds of March Madness, examines the potential strike brewing in U.S. women's hockey, and previews the MLB's National League.
Mar 21, 2017
It's A Glitch!
The HTD crew dives into March Madness, chatting the men's and women's brackets and offering advice for making your picks. We also break down the NFL's latest free agency news.
Mar 14, 2017
Hot Takedown: Live from MIT Sloan
Our second live show! We chat with Ravens center John Urschel about math and football, debate what Kevin Duranta€™s injury might mean for the Warriors, and talk NHL trades.
Mar 07, 2017
In A World Without Stats
The HTD crew talks about the intersection of athletics and politics, discusses Claudio Ranieri's firing from Leicester City, and imagines baseball without statistics.
Feb 28, 2017
An All-Basketball Bonanza
The HTD crew discusses DeMarcus Cousins' move to New Orleans, checks in on men's college basketball and ponders if James Harden is as much of an MVP as he thinks he is.
Feb 21, 2017
Deadlines, Dynasties, and Data
The HTD crew breaks down the NBA trade deadline, reviews the collapse of the Red Wings' dynastic glory, and chats home runs in the MLB.
Feb 14, 2017
Hall of Famers
The HTD crew breaks down the record shattering Superbowl LI and investigates whether Terrell Owens deserves to be in the Hall of Fame. Plus, a significant digit on the WNBA.
Feb 07, 2017
Superbowlie: Hot Takedown's Super Bowl Special
The HTD crew discusses the Super Bowl. Plus: the Australian Open, Charles Barkley vs. LeBron James, and more.
Jan 31, 2017
The Best Part About A Streak
The HTD crew discusses the AFC and NFC championship games, chats with Duke's Lexie Brown on women's basketball, and takes a look at the Sixers' surprising hot streak.
Jan 24, 2017
The Pressure Factor
The HTD crew breaks down the Packers' 34-13 victory over the Cowboys, the current state of the English Premier League, and whether Carmelo Anthony should leave the Knicks.
Jan 17, 2017
Come On, Man
The HTD crew discusses Clemson's stunning fourth quarter defeat of the Crimson Tide, the possibility that a yacht made Odell Beckham Jr. play poorly, and streaks in the NHL.
Jan 10, 2017
The Other Side of the Coin
The HTD crew previews Alabama vs. Clemson, chats on the quarterback injuries impacting the NFL playoff field, and investigates the Rockets' hot streak.
Jan 03, 2017
Bowls, Brock, and Bells That Go Jingle
The HTD crew discusses college football and whether we've hit peak bowl numbers, Brock Osweiler's troubles in Texas, and if the Elo system can be applied to Christmas movies.
Dec 20, 2016
Who's Your Rat King?
The HTD crew surveys the NFL playoff landscape, takes a deeper look at Andrew Wiggins' stats, and talks ties in Major League Soccer.
Dec 13, 2016
More Rising to Be Risen
The HTD crew chats about college football playoff picks, the seemingly unstoppable Russell Westbrook, and what the new collective bargaining agreement means for the MLB.
Dec 06, 2016
We Need a New Eye Test
The HTD crew discusses basketball, taking a look at men's and women's college teams as their seasons get underway. Plus, a return to the deadlocked World Chess Championship.
Nov 29, 2016
If It Ain't Broke, Don't Optimize It
The HTD crew discusses the Packers' ongoing struggles, Thanksgiving football, and the firing of Jurgen Klinsmann as U.S. soccer coach.
Nov 22, 2016
A Downhill Slide For Humans
The HTD crew discusses the Steelers' insistence on going for two points, college football upsets and chats to Oliver Roeder about the World Chess Championship.
Nov 15, 2016
This Podcast Is Not About The Election
The crew discusses the choice between Dak Prescott and Tony Romo, 538's College Football forecast and chats to new 538 writer Chris Herring about bad teams in the NBA.
Nov 08, 2016
Emergency Pod: Cubs Win After 108 Years
Chad and Neil get together to break down the numbers behind the Cubs' historic victory. They also chat to Ollie Roeder about how that final out felt for a Cubs fan.
Nov 03, 2016
The Chicken Or The Egg
The HTD crew discusses the World Series, Russell Westbrook's extraordinary numbers and whether Tom Brady could win a Super Bowl on any NFL team.
Nov 01, 2016
A Team For October
The crew discusses the World Series with FiveThirtyEight's Rob Arthur, previews the NBA season and asks if the Warriors are the best true talent team of all time.
Oct 25, 2016
A Face For The Stats
The HTD team discusses the MLB playoffs, the matchup between Candace Parker and Maya Moore in the WNBA and the start of the NHL season with Neil Greenberg.
Oct 18, 2016
Soccer Stat School
ESPN's Mike Goodman joins the Hot Takedown crew to explain the strengths and weaknesses of soccer stats. Look out for Ahead Of Their Time in your feed this Thursday!
Oct 11, 2016
Panic City: Wild Card Special
It's the NL Wild Card game tonight so we're bringing you a special episode of Chad Matlin's and Neil Paine's spin-off podcast about Mets fans' emotions, Panic City. Enjoy!
Oct 05, 2016
It's Playoff Baseball Time!
The HTD crew discusses the MLB playoffs with 538's Rob Arthur and then they ask each other whether the Carolina Panthers are done for the season. Plus, the Ryder Cup!
Oct 04, 2016
How To Be Both
The crew discusses Jose Fernandez's extraordinary numbers, talks to SI's Lindsay Schnell about Louisiana firing Les Miles and hails Kevin Garnett's advanced metrics.
Sep 27, 2016
The Leopard Vs The Elephant
The crew discusses how much weight early season form has in the NFL, previews the WNBA playoffs and welcomes Mike Goodman to chat about Mourinho vs Guardiola.
Sep 20, 2016
Tom Brady Is A Fraud
The HTD crew talks to Bill Barnwell about the genius of Bill Belichick, breaks down baseball's movers and shakers and asks how 538 got its U.S. Open predictions so wrong.
Sep 13, 2016
Baseline: The Global Game
Harvey Araton of The New York Times joins Carl to talk about Williams's upset loss, the globalization of tennis and Jimmy Connors's legendary run at the 1991 U.S. Open.
Sep 09, 2016
Baseline: Can Anyone Beat Serena?
Carl Bialik talks to ESPNW's Jane McManus about the women's semis, the tennis media's gender gap and whether Kei Nishikori is on the verge of a breakthrough.
Sep 08, 2016
ELO Is A Liar
It's a pigskin special this week. HTD breaks down 538's NFL predictions, chats about the start of the college season and picks a new team for Blythe Terrell to root for.
Sep 06, 2016
Baseline: One In A Million
18-time major winner, Chris Evert, joins Carl Bialik today. They chat about Serena Williams, the depth of women's tennis and what it takes to be the best in the world.
Sep 06, 2016
Baseline: Tennis In The Rain
Carl Bialik chats to Louisa Thomas, a writer at the New Yorker, about the U.S. Open's brand new roof, the big four in men's tennis and Angelique Kerber's chances of success.
Sep 01, 2016
A Season With The Algorithm
The HTD team is back together and this week they preview the EPL, talk to Carl Bialik about the U.S. Open and try to help 538's Blythe Terrell pick a new favorite NFL team.
Aug 30, 2016
Stat School Summer Vacation Special
Hot Takedown digs into the vault this week to bring you two NFL Stat Schools back-to-back. Now's the time to pick your fantasy football teams using only advanced metrics.
Aug 23, 2016
Make Olympic Medals Great Again
Nate Silver joins the crew to tell us why the Olympic medal table is broken and how we should fix it. We also talk about the USWNT and Usain Bolt.
Aug 16, 2016
Subtle (And Not So Subtle) Dominance
The HTD crew discusses the dominant performances by U.S. swimmers and gymnasts at the Olympics. Plus what Ichiro's stats would look like had he played his entire career in MLB
Aug 09, 2016
The Ultimate Deodorizer
It's an HTD Olympics special. Allison McCann joins from Rio to preview the upcoming action. Then, Dave Zirin comes on to tell us why the Olympics are bad news for host cities.
Aug 02, 2016
It's A Ropeswing, Not A Leap
The Hot Takedown crew discusses this year's Tour de France with the WSJ's Jason Gay, the Major League's trade deadline and the WNBA's stat-busting new star, Nnemkadi Ogwumike.
Jul 26, 2016
They Call Him The Godslayer
The HTD team discusses the developments in the Russian doping scandal, the mysterious return of the home run and Hungrybox, the Esports champ who's gone from god to GOAT.
Jul 19, 2016
Who Is John Q. Public?
The HTD Crew welcomes Mina Kimes to discuss Von Miller's fight against the franchise tag, Daniel Murphy's revenge tour and dead days in the sports calendar.
Jul 12, 2016
He's Not Throwing Away His Shot
The HTD crew discusses Kevin Durant's move to the Warriors, the matchup between Bale and Ronaldo at the Euros and Djokovic's shock loss to Sam Querrey at Wimbledon.
Jul 05, 2016
Because Pat Summitt Existed
The HTD crew discusses the legacy of women's basketball coach Pat Summitt, the Derrick Rose trade and Kevin Durant's potential move to the Warriors.
Jun 28, 2016
There Is No Greatest Team Of All Time
The HTD crew discusses the Cavs' miraculous comeback in the NBA Finals, the USMNT's performance at the Copa America and Cristiano Ronaldo's form at the Euros.
Jun 21, 2016
The LeBrometer
Justin Tinsley joins the team to talk LeBron's return to form, the Stanley Cup Finals and the Howard U. soccer team from 1971 stripped of its title because of a statistic.
Jun 14, 2016
Why Can't You Outrun A Cheetah?
The HTD team talks about the NBA Finals, the usefulness of statistics when discussing Muhammad Ali and the USMNT's poor start to the Copa America.
Jun 07, 2016
The Thunder Really Did Blow It
The HTD crew discusses the Warriors' return from the dead, are joined by Chris Herring to talk African-Americans and analytics and look at who is going to win the Stanley Cup.
May 31, 2016
The Game Is 48 Minutes Long
The gang discusses the NBA Conference Finals, whether African-Americans talk about analytics with ESPN's Michael Wilbon and the goings-on at Rolland Garros.
May 24, 2016
Bonus: Ben Lindbergh Takes Over A Team
Ben Lindbergh talks about taking over a baseball team with sabermetrics. This is a cross-post of a recent episode of What's The Point. Subscribe:
May 20, 2016
The Ball Actually Does Lie
The HTD crew discusses the Western Conference Finals, concussions in women's sports and the centuries-old data set that helps us determine who really is the G.O.A.T in sumo.
May 17, 2016
Is It History Or A Hot Streak?
The HTD crew discusses the Chicago Cubs, the WNBA stars who play overseas in the off-season and long shot candidates in sports and politics with 538's Harry Enten.
May 10, 2016
Epidemic? What Epidemic?
The HTD triptych discusses legendary Leicester City's EPL title win, the quality of quarterbacks in the NFL and the reasons behind the decline in Tommy John surgeries.
May 03, 2016
NBA Seasons Should Last 16 Games
The HTD crew discusses how Steph Curry's injury impacts the Warriors' playoff hopes, the Cubs' fast start to the season and the Stanley Cup with the Wash Po's Neil Greenberg.
Apr 26, 2016
Analytics Has Killed Future Kobes
The HTD crew talks to Bill Barnwell about the mega-trade between the Rams and the Titans, discusses Kobe Bryant's fraught relationship with analytics and previews the NWSL.
Apr 19, 2016
Emergency Pod! The Warriors Win 73
Chad Matlin and Neil Paine look at the eye-popping numbers that describe the Warriors' record-breaking season, and ask if anyone has a chance of beating them in the playoffs.
Apr 14, 2016
Nobody Can Outsmart The Draft
The HTD crew discusses Jordan Spieth's historic collapse in the final round of the Masters, argues about the downfall of Sam Hinkie and previews this season's NHL playoffs.
Apr 12, 2016
Emergency Pod! UConn Wins Four In A Row
The Hot Takedown crew get together to gab about UConn's fourth consecutive national championship and ask: Is this the end of an era?
Apr 06, 2016
It's The Narrative Not The Numbers
The HTD crew discusses the NCAA men's final; Allison McCann joins to talk wage discrimination in women's soccer and Neil Paine delivers a special SigDig on the Warriors.
Apr 05, 2016
Syracuse Is A Spring Miracle
The HTD crew gabs about Syracuse's run to the final four in the men's and women's NCAA tournaments, the return of baseball and the Cricket World Cup with ESPN's Andrew Miller.
Mar 29, 2016
There's A Dearth Of Data In The WNBA
Sue Bird joins the HTD crew to discuss the data gap in women's sports, the madness of this year's NCAA tournament and the sexism row that's rocking the world of tennis.
Mar 22, 2016
It's March Madness Everybody!
The HTD team discuss NCAA tournament brackets, why Kansas is 538's favorite to win on the men's side and whether anyone has a hope in hell of beating UConn on the women's.
Mar 15, 2016
Live From Sloan w/ Morey And Battier
Shane Battier and Daryl Morey join HTD to discuss NBA box score stats, bracketology and what happened to the Rockets this season. Recorded in front of a live audience!
Mar 12, 2016
The Warriors' Haters Are Wrong
The Hot Takedown crew discuss why we shouldn't listen to the Warriors' critics, whether the NBA should move the three-point line back and if Gerrit Cole ought to be paid more.
Mar 01, 2016
Canadian Hockey Is In The Doldrums
The Hot Takedown crew discuss where it went wrong for Canadian hockey, how Daytona 500 races are getting closer and closer and why Anthony Davis's 59/20 game is so rare.
Feb 23, 2016
Hot Takedown - NCAA Parity, All Star Defense, Trading Trout
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Kate Fagan discuss whether fans want parity in NCAA basketball, NBA All Star defense and why trading Mike Trout might be good for the Angels.
Feb 16, 2016
Hot Takedown - Denver Defense, Cam's Petulance, Leicester's Lead
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Kate Fagan discuss the supremacy of Denver's defense, Cam Newton's post-Super Bowl antics and the meteoric rise of little Leicester City.
Feb 09, 2016
Hot Takedown - Super Bowl Statistics Special
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Kate Fagan discuss Cam Newton's confidence, Peyton Manning's terrible season and the hot takery of the Super Bowl's off week.
Feb 02, 2016
Hot Takedown - Brady's Kryptonite, Bye Bye Blatt, Fixing In Tennis
Chadwick Matlin and Neil Paine discuss whether the Patriots' loss was Stephen Gostkowski's fault, why the Cavs fired David Blatt and whether match fixing is rampant in tennis.
Jan 26, 2016
Hot Takedown - NFL Craziness, Dugout Decisions, Super Simmons
Neil Paine and Kate Fagan discuss why Mike McCarthy should have gone for 2, whether bad baseball plays are dying out and the potential of LSU's Ben Simmons.
Jan 19, 2016
Hot Takedown - College Football Final, Wild Card Surprises, Outstanding Ovechkin
Chadwick Matlin and Neil Paine discuss Alabama's onside kick magic, the unpredictability of this year's race to the Super Bowl, and rate just how good Alex Ovechkin really is.
Jan 12, 2016
Hot Takedown - NFL Playoffs, Ultimate Frisbee Stats, Millennials Ruining Basketball
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine, and Allison McCann discuss parity in the NFL playoffs, Ultimate Frisbee analytics, and conduct a statistical investigation into NBA Millennials.
Jan 05, 2016
Hot Takedown - NBA Stat School
Statman Neil Paine gives Kate Fagan and Chadwick Matlin a tour of basketball scoring stats, from points per game through usage percentage.
Dec 29, 2015
Hot Takedown - Adam Silver Discusses Sixers, Tanking, Draft and More
Special episode with NBA commissioner Adam Silver on the state of the draft, the Sixers tanking strategy, and whether he will ever ride a bear at the lottery.
Dec 21, 2015
Hot Takedown - Dominant UConn, Prince Porzingis, NCAA Academics
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Allison McCann discuss UConn's dominance, how Porzingis isn't like Dirk Nowitzki, and the College Football metric that doesn't make sense.
Dec 15, 2015
Hot Takedown - Perfect Panthers, Wonderful Warriors, Little Leicester
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Allison McCann discuss the perfect Panthers, whether the Warriors can be the best NBA team of all time, and Leicester leading the EPL.
Dec 08, 2015
Hot Takedown - Goodbye Kobe, Complicated College Football, MLS Playoffs
Chadwick Matlin, Neil Paine and Allison McCann discuss Kobe's retirement, the wackiness of College Football playoff scenarios, and the MLS playoffs.
Dec 01, 2015
Hot Takedown - A Crash Course In RB Stats
The latest edition of Stat School with Professor (aka Stat Man) Neil Paine. This time Kate Fagan and Chadwick Matlin get a lesson in how we evaluate NFL running backs.
Nov 24, 2015
Hot Takedown - Peyton's End Of The Road, Patriots' Age, Chelsea Sucks
Chadwick Matlin and Nate Silver discuss the downfall of Peyton Manning, whether anyone can stop the Pats, and ask ESPN's Mike Goodman whether Chelsea are doomed.
Nov 17, 2015
Hot Takedown - College Football's Messy Rankings, Gold Glove Analytics, Julie Foudy
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss our college football rankings, how analytics are changing Gold Glove voting, and talk to soccer legend Julie Foudy.
Nov 11, 2015
Hot Takedown - Mets' Blown Chances, Kobe Sucks, New Zealand's Rugby Prowess
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the World Series turning points, Kobe's assessment he's the 200th best player in the NBA, and the Rugby World Cup.
Nov 03, 2015
Hot Takedown - World Series Super Sabermetrics Special
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin preview the World Series in our own special way. Plus a showdown between Chad and FiveThirtyEight's resident Royals fan.
Oct 27, 2015
Hot Takedown - Hello CARMELO, Bunched NFL Wins, And A Startup Hockey League
Special guest Mike Pesca (Slate) joins Kate Fagan and Neil Paine to discuss our basketball projections, why so few NFL teams have winning records, and the brand new NWHL.
Oct 20, 2015
Hot Takedown - QB Stat School Is In Session
The latest edition of Stat School with Professor (aka Stat Man) Neil Paine. This time Kate Fagan and Chadwick Matlin get a lesson in how we evaluate quarterbacks.
Oct 13, 2015
Hot Takedown - MLB Playoff Preview, Maya Moore's Legacy, The Kick-pocalypse
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine and Chadwick Matlin try to fix the Wild Card system, discuss the WNBA finals, and talk to Ben Morris about kicking!
Oct 06, 2015
Hot Takedown - Injured QBs; The Nationals Implode; A NWSL Finals Preview
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss how much an injured quarterback hurts their team; try to untangle the Nationals' season; and talk women's soccer.
Sep 29, 2015
Hot Takedown - Nate Silver Defends Elo
Kate and Neil are on vacation, so Chadwick Matlin invites the boss, Nate Silver, in to discuss (and defend) the Elo rating system. Plus Allison McCann's Significant Digit.
Sep 22, 2015
Hot Takedown - Pats' Cheating; Djoker The GoAT; Cespedes MVP?
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin look for clues in the Patriots' home and road record, discuss Djokovic's U.S. Open win, and assess the Cespedes case for MVP.
Sep 15, 2015
Baseline #5 - A Final(s) Fifteen Minutes In Flushing
Last episode of the U.S. Open mini-pod from FiveThirtyEight. Carl Bialik and Grantland's Brian Phillips discuss Roberta Vinci's upset of Serena Williams, and Djokovic-Federer.
Sep 12, 2015
Baseline #4 - Fifteen Minutes In Flushing
A U.S. Open mini-pod from FiveThirtyEight. Today, Carl Bialik and the WSJ's Tom Perrotta discuss whether anyone can derail a Djokovic-Federer final or a Serena Grand Slam.
Sep 10, 2015
Hot Takedown - NFL Preview (Now With More Brady!); A Madden Challenge; U.S Open Update
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin preview the NFL season, challenge you to win Madden with Walt Hickey as your QB, and take a listen to our U.S. Open mini-podcast.
Sep 08, 2015
Baseline #2 - Fifteen Minutes In Flushing
A U.S. Open mini-pod from FiveThirtyEight. Today, 9/5, Carl Bialik and Louisa Thomas count Serena Williams's comeback and discuss what's next for Rafael Nadal.
Sep 05, 2015
Baseline - Fifteen Minutes In Flushing
A U.S. Open mini-pod from FiveThirtyEight. Today, Carl Bialik and Louisa Thomas visit Novak Djokovic's bakery and worry about Serena Williams's serve.
Sep 03, 2015
Hot Takedown - Americans At The U.S. Open; Serena's Endorsements; Fantasy Football Meets Analytics
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the sorry state of American tennis, Darren Rovell's comments about Serena Williams, and whether analytics can help your fantasy football draft.
Sep 01, 2015
Hot Takedown - A Crash Course In Pitching Stats
It's a new edition of stat school! Kate Fagan, Neil "Stat Man" Paine, and Chadwick Matlin look at the evolution of pitching stats through the ages.
Aug 25, 2015
Hot Takedown - A Statsy Premier League Preview; The NFL Gets Microchips
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the state of soccer analytics, preview the new Premier League season, and discuss the player tracking coming to the NFL.
Aug 18, 2015
Hot Takedown - We Tell John Starks His Advanced Stats, Streaking Blue Jays
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin celebrate John Starks' 50th birthday by talking to the Knicks legend about his game, through the lens of advanced stats.
Aug 11, 2015
Hot Takedown - Rousey The Outlier, MLB Trades, Track Doping
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin look at Ronda Rousey's fighting dominance, introduce a new metric to measure MLB trades, and the stunning data on doping in track.
Aug 04, 2015
Hot Takedown - Measuring Gender, Boston Says No, Soccer Woes
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the blurring gender lines in sports, why no one wants to host the Olympics, and the U.S. men's soccer loss to Jamaica.
Jul 28, 2015
Hot Takedown - Unstoppable Greinke, The Greatest Basketball Season Ever, And Baseball Brain Data
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss Zack Greinke's scoreless inning streak, Elena Delle Donne's amazing basketball season, and brain data for baseball.
Jul 21, 2015
Hot Takedown - A Special Stat-School Edition
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss three ways to measure batting: batting average, OPS (on-base plus slugging), wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created).
Jul 14, 2015
Hot Takedown - The Greatest Dynasty Of All, NBA Free Agency, and All Star Baseball
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss whether U.S. women's national soccer team is a dynasty, review NBA free agency and turn to the MLB All Star game.
Jul 07, 2015
Hot Takedown - Women's World Cup, Wimbledon, And Crazy Free Agency
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the U.S. women's national team lineup, preview Wimbledon and discuss the weirdness of the NBA's free agency.
Jun 30, 2015
What's The Point Teaser - Guest: Neil deGrasse Tyson
FiveThirtyEight has a new podcast! Here's part of the first episode of What's The Point -- small interviews about big data. Like what you hear? Find the full episode on iTunes
Jun 26, 2015
Hot Takedown - U.S. Women March On, NBA Draft Preview, And Is A-Rod A G.O.A.T.?
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the Women's World Cup; what analytics say about the NBA draft; and A-Rod's legacy.
Jun 23, 2015
Hot Takedown - Hockey's Modern Dynasty, NBA Finals, And A Baseball Hacking Scandal!
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the Blackhawks win; a big data scandal in baseball; and Lebron's dominance.
Jun 16, 2015
Hot Takedown - LeBron Goes It Alone, Serena's Dominance, WWC Update And Nate vs. A 12-Year-Old
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss whether Lebron can carry the Cavs; Serena Williams's 20th slam; and the start of the Women's World Cup.
Jun 09, 2015
Hot Takedown - WWC Bonus: Allison McCann with Julie Foudy, Christen Press, and Kelley O'Hara
A special episode with two interviews FiveThirtyEight's Allison McCann did recently previewing the FIFA Women's World Cup.
Jun 04, 2015
Hot Takedown - Blatter's Out, WWC, NBA Finals, And The Astros' Turnaround
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin on Sepp Blatter's resignation on the eve of the Women's World Cup; LeBron's chances in the NBA finals; and how the Astros got good.
Jun 02, 2015
Hot Takedown - Nadal's Decline, Every NBA Team Ranked, Do Stars Matter?
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss Rafael Nadal's rocky spring; our ELO rankings of every NBA team ever; and debate the question of whether star players always win championships.
May 26, 2015
Hot Takedown - Clippers' Collapse, Rangers' Squeakers, MLB Embraces Statcast
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the NBA conference finals; the NHL playoffs and why the Rangers win so many close games; and MLB's use of Statcast.
May 19, 2015
Hot Takedown - Deflategate, We Announce The NBA Draft Fix Winner!
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine, and Chadwick Matlin discuss the "deflategate" report, and pick a winner in our crowdsourcing project to fix the NBA draft and stop tanking.
May 12, 2015
Hot Takedown - Boring Boxing, NBA Round 2, Why The World Needs A New Baseball Stat
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine and Chadwick Matlin discuss Mayweather's win; round two of the NBA playoffs; and the advent of the new baseball stat DRA.
May 05, 2015
Hot Takedown - NFL Draft, Mayweather's Past and Boxing's Future, Athletes Going Broke
Kate Fagan, Neil Paine and Chadwick Matlin discuss the upcoming NFL draft; Floyd Mayweather's violent past; and Pablo Torre joins to follow up on why athletes go broke.
Apr 28, 2015
Hot Takedown - NBA Playoffs By The Numbers; Tanking; Tim Tebow, Take Magnet
Kate Fagan, Chadwick Matlin and special guest Caitlin Kelly of The New Yorker discuss the NBA playoffs, the NBA draft system, and Tim Tebow's baffling return to the NFL.
Apr 21, 2015
Hot Takedown - Spieth's Dominance; NBA MVP; Nate Silver Talks to a Stats Skeptic
Neil Paine, Kate Fagan and Chadwick Matlin discuss Jordan Spieth's dominant Master's performance; who has the edge for NBA MVP; and Nate Silver talks to a stats skeptic.
Apr 14, 2015
Hot Takedown - Emergency Pod! UConn's Win, Auriemma vs. Wooden, Will Anyone Catch the Huskies?
A special edition of Hot Takedown with Chadwick Matlin, Kate Fagin, and Allison McCann breaking down the UConn women's third consecutive national championship.
Apr 08, 2015
Hot Takedown - Duke Does It Again; Opening Day; Hedging Hockey
Neil Paine, Kate Fagan and Chad Matlin discuss Duke's NCAA championship; the Padres big trade; and why hockey teams play to not win.
Apr 07, 2015
Hot Takedown - Emergency Final Four Pod!
Live from Indy, a special podcast with Chadwick Matlin, Nate Silver, and Jody Avirgan breaking down Wisconsin's win over Kentucky, and previewing Monday's NCAA men's final.
Apr 05, 2015
Hot Takedown - Finally, Four; The Cubs Sit Their Spring Star; Fixing the PAT
Chad Matlin, Kate Fagin and Neil Paine discuss the men's and women's brackets; the Cubs decision to keep Kris Bryant in the minors; and possible changes to the point after.
Mar 31, 2015
Hot Takedown - Vintage Michigan State, Fixing the Women's Tournament, Trade Durant?
This week on Hot Takedown: Tom Izzo does it again, why the women's tournament isn't getting traction, and will the Thunder preemptively trade Kevin Durant?
Mar 24, 2015
Hot Takedown - Bracketology, Chip Kelly, and Chris Borland
Hot Takedown is a new sports podcast from FiveThirtyEight w/ Chad Matlin, Kate Fagan, and Neil Paine. This week: advice for your bracket; NFL free agency by the numbers; more.
Mar 17, 2015
Hot Takedown - Episode Zero
Hot Takedown is a new sports podcast from FiveThirtyEight with Chad Matlin, Neil Paine and Kate Fagan. Subscribe now to make sure you don't miss our first episode on 3/17!
Mar 13, 2015