FiveThirtyEight Politics

By FiveThirtyEight, 538, ESPN, Nate Silver

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 Aug 11, 2018

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 Jul 11, 2018

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 Jul 7, 2018

Description

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

Episode Date
Who Are Democrats Nominating?
43:02
The crew discusses which kinds of candidates are most likely to be nominated in Democratic primaries based on the results of every primary so far.
Aug 13, 2018
"You Can Go Low Sometimes"
47:38
The crew previews the last special election before the midterms and talks about how the news media should respond to Trump's attacks on the press.
Aug 06, 2018
Russia: A FiveThirtyEight Debate!
44:49
The crew debates the various theories about the connection between President Trump and Russia. We used this Lawfare article as a guide: https://tinyurl.com/yb5kzdvt
Jul 30, 2018
Democratic Socialists Are Here To Stay
50:12
The team discusses the role of democratic socialism within the Democratic Party. They also take stock of the public's reaction to the Trump-Putin summit a week later.
Jul 23, 2018
Trump Meets Putin
41:13
The crew reacts to President Trump and Russian President Putin's joint press conference, in which Trump questioned U.S. intelligence on Russian meddling.
Jul 16, 2018
Emergency Podcast: It's A Mueller Friday
21:34
The crew reacts to the news that special counsel Robert Mueller has indicted 12 Russian intelligence agents.
Jul 13, 2018
The Politics Of Brett Kavanaugh
56:24
The team reacts to the news that Brett Kavanaugh is Trump's nominee to replace Kennedy on the Supreme Court and debates what could go wrong in the confirmation process.
Jul 10, 2018
What Comes Next For Partisan Gerrymandering?
32:37
A look at where the debate over partisan gerrymandering stands after a SCOTUS ruling and the news of Kennedy's retirement. This week's regular podcast is out Tuesday.
Jul 09, 2018
How Swingy Is Roberts?
46:37
The team discusses the political jockeying underway over the nomination of a new Supreme Court justice. They also imagine a court with Roberts in the ideological middle.
Jul 02, 2018
The Upset Of The Season
23:01
In the heat of the news of Justice Kennedy's retirement, this podcast might have been lost forever. The team reacts to a major primary upset in New York's 14th district.
Jun 28, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Kennedy Is Retiring
25:36
The podcast team reacts to the news that Justice Anthony Kennedy is retiring from the U.S. Supreme Court.
Jun 27, 2018
Is Immigration The Issue of 2018?
52:56
The team discusses the continuing fallout from Trump's policy of separating families that illegally cross the border. They also ask why there aren't more GOP women in Congress
Jun 25, 2018
Bonus Episode: Masculinity In 2018
42:57
FiveThirtyEight partnered with WNYC's Death, Sex & Money podcast to do a survey asking what men think about being a man in 2018.
Jun 21, 2018
The Immigration Flashpoint
53:38
The team discusses the separation of children and parents at the border and the role that immigration plays in the GOP. They also react to a SCOTUS decision on gerrymandering.
Jun 18, 2018
Emergency Podcast: The Inspector General's Report
20:23
Nate Silver and Perry Bacon Jr. discuss the political implications of the inspector general's report on the 2016 FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton.
Jun 14, 2018
Trump Meets Kim
54:41
Trump is hours away from sitting down with Kim. The crew discusses what could happen and what on earth happened at the G7 summit over the weekend.
Jun 11, 2018
The Parties Decided Tuesday's Primaries
24:56
Around the country, establishment backed candidates did well in Tuesday's primaries. The crew reacts to the results and discusses the trends so far in the 2018 primaries.
Jun 06, 2018
The Super Tuesday Of The Midterms
42:05
Eight states are holding primary contests on Tuesday, including California, where the top two primary system could create some interesting results.
Jun 04, 2018
The Polls Are All Right
29:34
FiveThirtyEight has updated its pollster ratings for the first time since before the 2016 election. Nate and Galen discuss the state of polling and what to expect in 2018.
May 31, 2018
Things Look Less Good For Dems
47:44
Democrats' advantage in generic ballot polling has declined in recent months. The crew debates what that tells us about their prospects this fall.
May 29, 2018
A Year Of Mueller
49:02
The team takes stock of where the Mueller probe stands one year on. They also discuss Democrats' debate over reducing the role of superdelegates in presidential primaries.
May 21, 2018
A Democratic Squabble In Texas
28:38
Does the fault line in the Democratic Party really run through Texas's 7th district? Clare and Galen compare the candidates in what's become a contentious Democratic primary.
May 17, 2018
Partisanship Is A Hell Of A Drug
54:38
The team discusses partisanship in the first of a series of conversations about the midterms called "Priors." They also look at Americans' views of Trump's foreign policy.
May 14, 2018
Special Episode: Chasing Hillary
34:06
Nate Silver and Clare Malone sit down Amy Chozick, the author of "Chasing Hillary: Ten Years, Two Presidential Campaigns, and One Intact Glass Ceiling."
May 10, 2018
Primary Season Begins
55:34
Tuesday is the fist big primary Election Day of the 2018 midterms. The team discusses the most important races to watch. They also debate whether Trump deserves more credit.
May 07, 2018
The Giuliani Rampage Podcast
36:43
President Trump's new lawyer Rudy Giuliani contradicted the president about payments to Stormy Daniels during a two-day long media rampage.
May 04, 2018
How Much Trouble Is Manchin In?
50:31
Joe Manchin is one of ten Democrats defending a Senate seat in a state Trump won. The team looks at the Republicans vying to challenge him in West Virginia.
Apr 30, 2018
About That Texas Poll
47:03
The team debates whether the Texas Senate race is actually winnable for the Democrat. They also discuss the special election in Arizona and how to responsibly cover polls.
Apr 23, 2018
The Comey Episode
48:35
The crew debates the significance of former FBI Director James Comey's new tell-all book. They also look at public opinion of the recent U.S. airstrikes in Syria.
Apr 16, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Ryan To Retire
23:18
House Speaker Paul Ryan announced Wednesday morning that he will not seek reelection in 2018. Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari react to the news.
Apr 11, 2018
The Nightmare Midterms Hack
51:21
The team describes what a nightmare elections hack scenario would look like, based on reporting by Clare Malone. They also discuss the continuous scandals at the EPA.
Apr 10, 2018
Emergency Podcast: FBI Raids Trump's Lawyer's Office
18:30
The podcast crew responds to the news that the FBI raided the office and home of President Trump's personal lawyer Michael Cohen.
Apr 09, 2018
FiveThirtyEight Family Feud
55:03
The team plays a round of "FiveThirtyEight Family Feud" to help determine Trump's strengths and weakness. They also debate the merits of census's new citizenship question.
Apr 03, 2018
Special: Cambridge Analytica, Facebook, and Political Data
31:31
Clare Malone and Jody Avirgan speak with Daniel Kreiss of UNC about the use of FB data in the 2016 election -- and beyond. Listen to the history of data and politics series here: https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/political-data
Mar 29, 2018
How Do We Cover Stormy Daniels?
54:22
The team debates how to cover the alleged coverup and affair between Stormy Daniels and President Trump. They also dive into new data showing Americans are as divided as ever.
Mar 26, 2018
What If Trump Fired Mueller?
53:53
President Trump tore into the investigation by special counsel Robert Mueller this weekend. The team discusses what would happen if Trump fired Mueller.
Mar 19, 2018
The GOP Should Be Freaking Out, PA Edition
31:45
Democrat Conor Lamb looks poised to win in a Pennsylvania district that voted for Trump by 20 points. The podcast team discusses what the results mean for the midterms.
Mar 14, 2018
Emergency Podcast: Rexit
25:32
President Trump announced Secretary of State Rex Tillerson's firing on twitter Tuesday morning. The podcast team reacts.
Mar 13, 2018
The Most Special Special Election Yet
48:58
The crew discusses the candidates and environment heading into Tuesday's special election in Pennsylvania's 18th district - a district that Trump won by 20 points.
Mar 12, 2018
Does Trump's Mood Matter?
55:36
The team makes sense of a week of chaos at the White House and what it says about Trump's decision making. They also discuss how academics rank presidential achievement.
Mar 05, 2018
A Turning Point On Guns?
51:35
The team discusses whether the high school shooting in Parkland, FL is a turning point in the gun debate. They also play a round of political "would you rather?"
Feb 26, 2018
The Gun Debate
50:05
This episode is dedicated entirely to discussing the gun debate. The crew looks at public opinion, political strategy and what is likely to happen next.
Feb 20, 2018
Emergency Podcast: 13 Russians Indicted
25:05
The team responds to news that 13 Russians and 3 companies have been indicted in the special counsel investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election.
Feb 16, 2018
What's So Wrong With Nancy Pelosi?
59:06
The crew debates why Nancy Pelosi is such a target for Republican attacks and whether those attacks will actually move voters.
Feb 12, 2018
Has Trump Remade The GOP?
44:10
The team debates whether the Nunes memo was much ado about nothing, and discusses Trump's effect on the Republican Party.
Feb 05, 2018
Which Version Of Trump's Presidency Is Happening?
45:25
One year in, the day before Trump's first (proper) State Of The Union address, we revisit the "14 Paths" and discuss what version of President Trump we ended up with.
Jan 29, 2018
The Three-Day Shutdown
52:20
The Senate voted to end the shutdown less than three days after it began. Did Democrats get what they wanted? The team also discusses the uptick in Trump's approval rating.
Jan 22, 2018
Emergency Podcast - Government Shutdown
15:13
The politics team discusses the repercussions of the government shutdown after the Senate failed to pass a stopgap spending bill Friday night.
Jan 19, 2018
Immigration Showdown
54:13
With a government shutdown looming, Democrats and Republicans have hit an impasse over immigration policy. The crew discusses what's at stake.
Jan 16, 2018
The Gerrymandering Project: Conclusion
46:23
In the final episode of our gerrymandering series we consider some more radical electoral reforms and look back on the lessons we've learned.
Jan 11, 2018
Oprah, Palace Intrigue And Nuclear War
1:02:23
The crew discusses the possibility of an Oprah presidential run, a new book about the Trump White House and Trump's behavior towards North Korea.
Jan 08, 2018
The Gerrymandering Project: California
40:58
California took significant steps to try to rid redistricting of partisan politics. Politicians still sought to influence the process. Did they succeed?
Jan 04, 2018
Our Political Journalism Resolutions
39:56
2018 is here! We discuss our political reporting resolutions -- both for ourselves and the media in general -- as we head into a big new year.
Jan 01, 2018
Who's Running In 2020?
42:42
The crew throws caution to the wind and debates which Democrats are best positioned to do well in the 2020 presidential primary.
Dec 25, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Arizona
39:31
The number of competitive congressional elections has fallen dramatically in recent decades. Arizona tried to combat that trend.
Dec 21, 2017
Lessons From Alabama
44:16
The politics team sorts through the hot takes from last week's Senate election in Alabama. They also discuss the political implications of the proposed GOP tax overhaul.
Dec 18, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: North Carolina
43:12
A decades long debate has raged over how to ensure minorities have a voice in America. In the third installment of our series, we look at racial gerrymandering.
Dec 14, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Doug Jones Wins
30:26
Doug Jones became the first Democrat to win a Senate race in Alabama in a quarter century. The team discusses the factors that converged to make that possible.
Dec 12, 2017
The Alabama Election Is Here
52:35
The Alabama special Senate election is Tuesday. The polls have varied significantly in an election where turnout is hard to predict. The team weighs in on what to expect.
Dec 11, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Wisconsin
38:28
Is partisan gerrymandering illegal? In the second installment of our gerrymandering series we look at a Supreme Court case that could reshape how we draw political boundaries.
Dec 07, 2017
Are Taxes A Pyrrhic Victory?
53:40
The Senate passed a tax overhaul bill Friday night. The team weighs the political and policy implications and follow up on the fallout from Michael Flynn's guilty plea.
Dec 04, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Flynn Flips
15:33
A quick conversation in reaction the big news that Michael Flynn pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about conversations with Russian officials.
Dec 01, 2017
The Gerrymandering Project: Intro
30:19
What is gerrymandering? This is the first episode in a six-part series exploring the effects of gerrymandering and how reformers hope to change the system.
Nov 30, 2017
Congress's Broken Culture
44:48
Lawmakers return to Washington under pressure to confront sexual harassment by their own ranks. The podcast team also looks at the latest in the Alabama special Senate race.
Nov 27, 2017
Alabama Is Tied
47:43
The Alabama special Senate race is now tied, after numerous accusation that Republican Roy Moore molested and assaulted teenage girls. The podcast team reacts.
Nov 20, 2017
Franken Is Accused Of Harassment
22:24
Leeann Tweeden accused Senator Al Franken of kissing and groping her without her consent while on a USO tour in the Middle East. The podcast team reacts.
Nov 16, 2017
Alabama's Senate Race
42:26
Five women have accused Roy Moore, Republican candidate for Senate from Alabama, of sexual misconduct. The team assesses how this will affect the final month of the campaign.
Nov 13, 2017
2016 Anniversary Talk
49:14
A year after the 2016 election, Nate & Micah sit down to discuss what it was like to cover the race - from the mistakes FiveThirtyEight made to the emotions of the final weeks
Nov 08, 2017
A Good Night For Democrats
19:22
The podcast team responds to strong showing by Democrats across the board on Election Day 2017
Nov 07, 2017
Election Day 2017
51:10
Will Democrats begin their comeback on Election Day 2017? The podcast team shares advice on which races to watch and what the margins mean.
Nov 06, 2017
Sexual Harassment In Media And Politics
32:21
Major figures in political journalism are alleged to have been serial sexual harassers. What does it mean to have those men in charge of the way political news gets made?
Nov 04, 2017
Mueller's First Strike
44:31
Ex-chairman of the Trump campaign Paul Manafort was indicted along with two other campaign aides as part of Bob Mueller's special investigation. The team weighs in.
Oct 30, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Flake Is Out
31:20
GOP Sen. Jeff Flake from Arizona, a repeated Trump critic, announced he will not seek reelection in 2018. The podcast team discusses what that means for Arizona and the GOP.
Oct 24, 2017
Could Alabama Go Blue?
48:25
The 2017 elections are not far off. The team looks at the candidates and polling in the Virginia governor's race and Alabama's special Senate race.
Oct 23, 2017
Steve Bannon's War
47:07
Steve Bannon declared "war" on the GOP establishment at the Values Voter Summit last week. The podcast team discusses what that will mean for the 2018 midterms.
Oct 16, 2017
Corker Uncorked
51:02
GOP Senator Corker and President Trump went at each other over the weekend. The podcast weighs in on how Corker's criticism of Trump could affect GOP politics.
Oct 09, 2017
Trump's Response To Maria
49:38
The Trump administration is facing multiple crises: a mass shooting in Las Vegas, Puerto Rico recovering from hurricane Maria and rising tensions with North Korea.
Oct 02, 2017
Is Partisan Gerrymandering Illegal?
34:59
The Supreme Court is hearing a partisan gerrymandering case that could reshape how our democracy works. FiveThirtyEight brings you a deep dive into what is at stake.
Sep 28, 2017
Trump vs. The NFL
56:06
Over the weekend, President Trump targeted the NFL for player protests and was rebuked by owners, players and the players union. The podcast team weighs in.
Sep 25, 2017
Emergency Podcast: McCain Is A No
14:07
Sen. McCain is a no on the latest ACA repeal effort. The team debates what comes next.
Sep 22, 2017
Democrats Divided
54:28
As the Democratic Party increasingly embraces single payer healthcare and Clinton weighs in on her primary race against Sanders, the team discusses where the party is headed.
Sep 18, 2017
What Happened
56:59
Hillary Clinton is releasing a book this week chronicling what went wrong during her 2016 campaign from her perspective. The podcast team sizes up her assessment.
Sep 11, 2017
Immigration Politics
46:35
The White House has decided to end the DACA program. The podcast team weighs in on how voters view DACA and what Congress's options are for replacing it.
Sep 05, 2017
Harvey Tests Trump
57:28
Amid historic flooding in East Texas, the team talks about the political challenges natural disasters can pose to local officials, governors and the president.
Aug 28, 2017
How Trump Talks About Race
49:38
The team talks to political science professor Vincent Hutchings about the way Donald Trump spoke about race in the aftermath of Charlottesville.
Aug 21, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Bannon Out
16:49
In this emergency podcast, the team talks about what Steve Bannon's departure from the White House means for the people who remain.
Aug 18, 2017
Trump's Response To Charlottesville
56:49
President Trump did not condemn white supremacy by name in his initial response to the violence in Charlottesville. The team discusses the reasons and repercussions.
Aug 14, 2017
Enter The Grand Jury
46:49
The team weighs the significance of Bob Mueller empaneling a grand jury in the Russia investigation. They also look at persisting rifts in the Democratic Party.
Aug 07, 2017
Special Presentation: 30 for 30 Podcasts
17:02
A break from politics with an excerpt of a new audio documentary from 30 for 30 Podcasts, which our very own Jody Avirgan heads up. We present "The Fighter Inside," reported by Andrew Mambo. More at 30for30podcasts.com
Aug 05, 2017
White House Chaos
51:29
The team breaks down the latest White House staffing shakeups and asks how Chief of Staff John Kelly might correct course amid the chaos.
Jul 31, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Senate Repeal Fails
23:54
The podcast team breaks down the final votes and weighs who is most responsible for the Republican failure: Trump, McConnell or Ryan.
Jul 28, 2017
The GOP's Last(?) Ditch Health Care Push
40:48
The podcast team considers the options for Senate Republicans as they face a last ditch effort to repeal the ACA. Plus, how different would a Clinton presidency have been?
Jul 24, 2017
Six Months In
44:15
The podcast team digests the Senate's latest health care bill and debates which path Trump's presidency is on six months in.
Jul 17, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Don Jr.'s Emails
25:33
The podcast team reacts to emails in which Donald Trump Jr. accepts a meeting with a Kremlin-linked lawyer offering dirt on Hillary Clinton.
Jul 13, 2017
Why Trump Wants Voter Data
48:09
The crew discusses the Trump administration's request for voter data and why states are pushing back. Plus, with another good jobs report, can Trump claim to own the economy?
Jul 10, 2017
Trump Goes Global
38:39
Ahead of the G20 summit, the podcast team looks at changes in global perceptions of American leadership since Trump took office.
Jul 06, 2017
The Health Care Episode
50:13
The podcast team discusses the policies in the Senate GOP health care bill and debates whether it's likely to pass.
Jun 26, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Georgia And South Carolina Specials
29:15
The podcast team responds to the results of the special elections in Georgia's 6th district and South Carolina's 5th district.
Jun 20, 2017
The Most Special Special Election
50:32
The special election in Georgia's 6th district has become the most expensive House election in American history. The podcast team debates how much it matters.
Jun 19, 2017
Trump Under Investigation
19:12
The podcast team responds to new reports that President Trump is under FBI investigation for obstruction of justice.
Jun 15, 2017
The Base
50:55
The podcast team debates who actually makes up the base in each party and what role they will play in upcoming elections.
Jun 12, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Hung Parliament
27:48
No party won a majority in the U.K. election, resulting in a hung parliament. The podcast team reacts.
Jun 09, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Comey's Testimony
28:32
The podcast team reacts to former FBI Director James Comey's testimony about the events that lead up to his firing by President Trump.
Jun 08, 2017
Emergency Podcast - Comey's Prepared Testimony
22:42
The podcast team discusses former FBI Director James Comey's prepared testimony to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence.
Jun 07, 2017
Pittsburgh vs. Paris
49:01
The podcast team debates the political savvy of Trump's exit from the Paris climate agreement. Nate takes a look at what's going on in the crazy world of UK elections polls.
Jun 05, 2017
Do Democrats Need A Win?
53:35
The podcast team debates whether a Democratic loss in Montana's special election means challenges ahead for the party. They also parse smoke from fire in the Russia scandal.
May 30, 2017
What Now?
52:04
After the appointment of a special counsel to investigate possible ties between Trump's campaign and Russia, can the White House return to business as usual?
May 22, 2017
Emergency Podcast - The Comey Memo
24:34
The podcast crew assesses the fallout from reports of a memo by former FBI Director Comey in which he detailed conversations with President Trump.
May 17, 2017
The Scandal Meter
46:46
The podcast team sizes up how big of a scandal Comey's firing actually is. They also discuss how the census director's departure could affect the upcoming census.
May 15, 2017
Emergency Podcast: Trump Fires Comey
13:11
News broke late on Tuesday that President Trump fired FBI Director James Comey. We hop in the studio to discuss.
May 09, 2017
Health Care Winners And Losers
48:52
The podcast team talks to Anna Barry-Jester about how the GOP health care bill will affect real people. They also discuss the sizable polling miss in the French election.
May 08, 2017
Emergency Health Care Podcast II
32:12
The podcast team talks about the political implications of the AHCA health care bill passing the House.
May 05, 2017
99 Trial Balloons
45:57
The podcast team makes sense of Trump's one page tax plan with Ben Casselman. They also debate how the media has performed 100 days into the Trump presidency.
May 01, 2017
100 Days
52:58
The team assesses Trump's legislative agenda as he ends his first 100 days. They also discuss the Earth Day protests and gauge populism's appeal after the French election.
Apr 24, 2017
Georgia's 6th - Live From New York
1:07:16
The podcast team responds to GA-6 results live from the Comedy Cellar in New York. They also discuss upcoming European elections, play trivia and answer audience questions.
Apr 19, 2017
Trump's Paths, Revisited
48:42
The podcast team assesses the special elections in Kansas and Georgia and takes stock of President Trump's governing style as his administration approaches 100 days.
Apr 17, 2017
The Trump Doctrine (Maybe?)
46:44
The podcast team talks about Trump's decision to authorize airstrikes against Assad's regime in Syria and tracks who in Trump's circle is gaining and losing influence.
Apr 10, 2017
Sparks: Why Health Care Costs So Much
50:06
Our science team discusses Elizabeth Rosenthal's "An American Sickness." To catch part two, subscribe to What's The Point in iTunes or fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts
Apr 08, 2017
Filibuster Time
43:36
The podcast team discusses the political calculus of Democrats filibustering Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch. The crew also plays a new game: Smoke or Fire?
Apr 03, 2017
Live From Boise
39:22
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live from the Treefort Fest in Boise, Idaho. The team talks to Mayor Dave Bieter, plays a round of political trivia and answers questions.
Mar 27, 2017
Emergency Health Care Podcast: Live From Boise
21:46
Live from the Hackfort Festival in Boise, Idaho the podcast discusses the decision by Republicans to pull their health care bill without a vote in the House.
Mar 24, 2017
Three Polls And A SCOTUS Nominee
47:14
The podcast team discusses what to expect during a week of SCOTUS confirmation hearings and debates whether Americans' views on healthcare have truly shifted.
Mar 20, 2017
Trumpcare
50:45
The podcast team discusses whether the new GOP health care bill has a shot at becoming law. David Wasserman also joins the show to help measure trends in partisanship.
Mar 13, 2017
Hot Takedown: Politics In Sports
19:45
We bring you an excerpt from FiveThirtyEight's Hot Takedown podcast about why politics are more visible in sports today. Subscribe at fivethiryeight.com/podcasts (And if you're going to be at SXSW, come see Jody's events!)
Mar 09, 2017
Anatomy Of A Scandal
52:41
In light of continued questions over the Trump administration's relationship with Russia, Brandon Rottinghaus joins the podcast to talk about what can make a scandal damaging.
Mar 06, 2017
Party People
1:00:30
The podcast team wraps up the Party Time series and welcomes Perry Bacon Jr. to the staff, who will be covering the Trump administration from DC.
Feb 27, 2017
Party Time: 'Establishment' Democrats
48:07
In the final installment of "Party Time," Galen Druke and Clare Malone speak with so-called "establishment" Democrats about what went wrong in 2016 and what's to come.
Feb 23, 2017
A Month Of Trump
44:47
The Trump administration is one month old. The podcast team reflects on the biggest changes so far.
Feb 21, 2017
Party Time: The Bernie Sanders Party
50:36
In the third installment of "Party Time," Galen Druke and Clare Malone speak with Bernie Sanders supporters about their vision for the future of the Democratic Party.
Feb 16, 2017
Emergency Podcast: This Russia Stuff
27:55
Nate Silver, Jody Avirgan, and Micah Cohen jump into the studio to discuss what's smoke and what's fire in the latest reporting around the Donald Trump camp's ties to Russia.
Feb 15, 2017
Tea Party Parallels
50:36
Political observers are drawing parallels between today's anti-Trump protests and the tea party protests of 2009. The podcast crew digs into whether the comparisons are apt.
Feb 13, 2017
Party Time: Republicans Skeptical Of Trump
48:47
In the second installment of "Party Time," Galen Druke and Clare Malone speak with Republicans who are wary of Trump about where the GOP is headed.
Feb 09, 2017
Trump Vs. The Courts
48:36
The podcast team weighs in on Trump's response after a judge temporarily blocked his travel ban. They also discuss Trump's take on negative polls and his economic plan.
Feb 06, 2017
Party Time: The GOP Under Trump
44:50
In the first episode of our mini-series "Party Time," Galen Druke and Clare Malone speak with Trump allies about where the Republican Party is headed in the era of Trump.
Feb 02, 2017
Emergency Podcast: The SCOTUS Battle Ahead
29:27
The usual crew is joined by 538's Oliver Roeder (aka @ollie) to discuss the nomination of Neil Gorsuch to the Supreme Court, his history on the bench, and what comes next.
Feb 01, 2017
Chaos At The White House
55:19
President Trump's first week in office proved chaotic. The podcast crew looks for a strategy behind the chaos and talks to Meenekshi Bose about the shakeup in NSC membership.
Jan 30, 2017
The Beginning Of The Trump Presidency
49:50
Donald Trump's first few days as president were marked by executive orders, "alternative facts" and mass protests. Julia Azari and Erica Chenoweth help make sense of it.
Jan 23, 2017
Trump Vs. The Polls -- Vol. II
48:09
President-elect Trump is waging a new battle against polling, arguing his approval rating is "rigged." We break down the difference between approval rating and horserace polls
Jan 17, 2017
Trump And The Senate
47:59
The podcast team looks at the budding relationship between the Trump administration and the U.S. Senate. Confirmation hearings begin this week and ACA debate is underway.
Jan 09, 2017
Data Under Trump
55:35
A special episode on government data and the coming Trump administration. Featuring our usual crew and 538's Ben Casselman, Maggie Koerth-Baker, and Carl Bialik.
Jan 02, 2017
538 + The West Wing Weekly (Live)
45:28
Audio from our live show at LA's Crest Theater this summer discussing the use of polling in The West Wing. Subscribe to TWWW here! http://thewestwingweekly.com
Dec 26, 2016
2016 Final Thoughts
48:02
The podcast takes a moment to look back on 2016. They also discuss the latest from North Carolina's legislature and assess the future of Midwest electoral politics.
Dec 19, 2016
Russian Interference
45:35
The podcast crew discusses the latest news on Russia's interference in the presidential election and Amy Walter joins the show to talk about "draining the swamp."
Dec 12, 2016
Still Processing...
52:44
Nate and Harry report on a post-election forum where it was clear that emotions are still very raw. Then, economics editor Ben Casselman discusses Trump's new deals.
Dec 05, 2016
Recount, Really?
53:56
The team discusses whether Jill Stein's push for ballot recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania defies norms. They also debate how to cover Trump's tweets.
Nov 28, 2016
Americans Don't Trust Their Institutions
48:24
Julia Azari joins the show to talk about the historical precedent for Trump's administration thus far. Clare Malone talks about her latest reporting on trust in institutions.
Nov 21, 2016
The Transition Begins
47:36
The podcast crew uses new data to assess the conventional wisdom about the election and looks at President-elect Trump's first decisions in his new role.
Nov 14, 2016
Model Talk Debriefs The 2016 Results
34:51
Good Use Of Polling Or Bad Use Of Polling: The Model
Nov 11, 2016
President Trump
41:18
The day after Donald Trump won the 2016 election, our podcast crew gathered to discuss the path he took to secure the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.
Nov 09, 2016
Long Night; We'll Be Back In The Morning
00:51
Just a quick note to tell you that we're going to do a podcast mid-morning Wednesday to process Election Day 2016. Talk then.
Nov 08, 2016
It's Here - Final Election Preview
1:14:29
In our final preview of the 2016 election we assess the forecast model, discuss defining moments of the campaign and prepare for Election Day.
Nov 07, 2016
2 Days Left - House And Senate Preview
48:15
Dave Wasserman and Harry Enten discuss what to expect on Tuesday in key House and Senate races. We'll do our final presidential preview on Monday.
Nov 06, 2016
Bonus: Our Elections Docs
1:48:39
Revisit our three audio documentaries on past political moments. The Real Dean Scream | Obama/Wright (starts at 30:15) | Perot The Spoiler? (starts at 1:07:30)
Nov 06, 2016
3 Days Left (Diner Pod!)
30:27
Jody, Clare and Farai head to the diner to talk about the final days of the campaign, Latino turnout, lessons from Brexit and more.
Nov 05, 2016
4 Days Left
36:55
Today we talk about recent polls, how the media is covering the final days, and look at a vague Florida ballot initiative. Today's vid: https://youtu.be/7k6n46xBTxs
Nov 04, 2016
5 Days Left
27:15
The team discusses Clinton's polling trend lines, one Ohio bellwether county, and minimum wage initiatives. Today's vid: https://youtu.be/XHsnZT7Z2yQ
Nov 03, 2016
6 Days Left
30:06
Today the crew discusses why there are fewer polls this cycle, how to read early voting numbers, and WA's proposed carbon tax. Today's vid: https://youtu.be/W7QZnwKqopo
Nov 02, 2016
7 Days Left
30:10
In today's episode the crew talks about remaining surprises, how the model makes final calculations, and CA's proposition conundrum. Today's vid: www.vimeo.com/187772116
Nov 01, 2016
8 Days Left
42:58
In the latest of our daily podcasts, the crew talks about the media's response to James Comey's letter to Congress and discusses which states are in play in the final week.
Oct 31, 2016
10 Days Left (Blue Plate Special)
30:43
Jody, Harry and Micah hit the diner to talk about the latest in the FBI investigation of Clinton's emails, what counts as an "October surprise" and more. Next show is Monday.
Oct 29, 2016
11* Days Left
20:18
It's Friday and we have a new installment of 'Model Talk!' Nate Silver and Micah Cohen answer listener question about the forecast, recent trends and early voting.
Oct 28, 2016
12 Days Left
29:37
In the latest of our daily podcasts counting down to Election Day, we talk about new polls in Virginia and Georgia and look inside Trump's data game.
Oct 27, 2016
13 Days Left
25:45
In the first of our daily podcasts counting down to Election Day, we talk about tightening polls in Utah, leaked memos, and ballot measures.
Oct 26, 2016
A Two-Weeks-Until-Election-Day Extravaganza
58:10
Live from NYC, we discuss the state of the map, why the House probably won't flip, and indulge a counterfactual 2016 election. We are doing a show every day through Nov 9th!
Oct 25, 2016
DOC: The Real Legacy Of Ross Perot
41:00
Did Ross Perot spoil the 1992 election? Our latest audio documentary explores his impact on the '92 race and the appeal of the political outsider.
Oct 23, 2016
Evan McMullin Is In The Model
20:08
Nate and Micah discuss lingering uncertainties in the presidential race, including Evan McMullin's surge in Utah. We have a live show in NYC Oct. 24th FiveThirtyEight.com/Live
Oct 21, 2016
Third Debate Response
22:45
The podcast crew breaks down the third and final presidential debate, in which Donald Trump would not commit to accepting the results of the election.
Oct 19, 2016
What Wikileaks Shows
41:16
We discuss Donald Trump's increased talk of a "rigged" election, the latest WIkileaks revelations, and more.
Oct 17, 2016
What A Week
30:54
An all-hands-on-deck emergency podcast to break down a week of sexual assault allegations, GOP infighting, and conspiracy theories.
Oct 14, 2016
The Voters Part 3 - Undecided
29:25
Farai Chideya hosts a three-part series on the demographic groups that will help decide the election, with special guest Asma Khalid. In this installment: undecided voters.
Oct 12, 2016
Second Debate Reaction
40:09
After the second Clinton-Trump debate, the team gathers in the 538 offices to talk about what went down, and this very strange moment in American politics.
Oct 09, 2016
"When You're A Star, You Can Do Anything"
45:13
Hours before our live Chicago taping, lewd and sexist comments by Donald Trump appeared online. We react to the news and preview Sunday's debate.
Oct 08, 2016
The Voters Part 2 - Democrats
24:25
Farai Chideya hosts a three-part series on the demographic groups that will help decide this election, with special guest Asma Khalid. In the second installment: Democrats.
Oct 05, 2016
VP Debate Extravaganza
22:49
After watching Mike Pence and Tim Kaine duke it out, the crew gathers for a late-night, high-energy, VP-debate wrap-up. There's not much to say.
Oct 04, 2016
October's First Surprise
53:49
The crew discusses the glimpse we got of Donald Trump's tax returns, the post-debate bump for Clinton, and what to expect from the VP debate. Come to the NYC live show 10/24!
Oct 03, 2016
The Voters Part 1 - Republicans
20:22
Farai Chideya hosts a three-part series on the demographic groups that will help decide this election, with special guest Asma Khalid. In the first installment: Republicans.
Sep 28, 2016
First Debate Response
29:39
The first 2016 presidential debate is behind us. In a late night response podcast, the team tracks wins and losses on performance and policy.
Sep 26, 2016
FiveThirtyEight Elections
01:23
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Sep 26, 2016
Lightning Round: First Debate Preview
23:00
Five quick questions, and quick answers, to set you up for the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Join the live-blog tonight starting at 8pm ET.
Sep 26, 2016
The Senate Forecast Is Live
24:22
The Senate forecast is live! Nate Silver and Micah Cohen review the key races in the contest for control of the Senate. For NYC live show details fivethirtyeight.com/live.
Sep 23, 2016
We're On Broadway! (Kinda)
54:44
Live from Playstation Theater, we discuss the response to the NY and MN terror attacks, preview next week's debate, and more. Plus the next round of obscure election trivia.
Sep 20, 2016
Emergency Diner Pod: Clinton's Rough Polls
24:21
Did Hillary Clinton's rough week of polling set a new baseline for the election? Jody, Clare, and Harry hit the diner on Friday night to discuss, and eat whole grain waffles.
Sep 16, 2016
Baskets, In Context
57:52
We discuss the content and delivery of Hillary Clinton's comments about Trump's "basket of deplorables." Plus how to cover health, and the role of real-time Election Day data.
Sep 12, 2016
"I'm The Trump Of Data Journalism"
22:23
Nate Silver and Micah Cohen explain the latest movement in the forecast including why Ohio is less of a tipping point. We also announce ticket sales for our Chicago live show.
Sep 09, 2016
The Tightening
53:20
We assess how the media tries to provide "balanced" election coverage. Plus, what to make of the tightening polls. Remember, we've got live shows in NYC (9/19) and CHI (10/7)!
Sep 06, 2016
Extra: Enten vs. Polls; Druke vs. Luntz
28:19
Two extras for your holiday weekend: the latest in our collaboration with On The Media, and then an interview producer Galen Druke did with the pollster Frank Luntz.
Sep 03, 2016
Summer's Over
49:55
We try to set some basic rules for the home stretch of the election. NYC: Come to our live show on Sept 19th! Info at fivethirtyeight.com/live
Aug 29, 2016
Forecast Update - Correlated States
27:32
We are checking in on FiveThirtyEight's prediction model every other Friday. Nate Silver talks to Micah Cohen about how the numbers have moved and why.
Aug 26, 2016
Says Who? Polls.
53:52
Trump aired his first TV ad of the general election last week, but Clinton has already spent millions on them. We compare how the campaigns are spending their cash.
Aug 22, 2016
Clinton Republicans
42:17
The number of Republicans publicly supporting Clinton is on the rise. We look at who is most likely to crossover and whether they will affect Clinton's platform.
Aug 15, 2016
It's Unskew Season
56:18
We discuss the return of "unskewed" polls, whether Clinton's big lead is the new normal, and talk to Julia Azari about why this is the perfect year for third parties.
Aug 08, 2016
Are You In Love With The Model?
58:58
It's 100 days until Elections Day. After two weeks on the road, the podcast crew looks at the forecast's latest ups and downs. fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts
Aug 01, 2016
DNC Wrap: To The General
29:13
Our politics podcast crew finds a corner of the DNC to debrief Hillary Clinton's acceptance speech, who she's targeting, and what comes to expect from day one of the general.
Jul 28, 2016
DNC: Obama's Role
21:24
Nate Silver, Clare Malone, and Jody Avirgan talk about the third day of the DNC, which featured president Obama, and preview tonight's Hillary Clinton speech.
Jul 28, 2016
DNC: Those Tightening Polls (From On Point)
13:02
Harry and Nate join On Point with Tom Ashbrook to discuss the tightening polls and the fact that - if the election were held today - Donald Trump would be slightly favored.
Jul 26, 2016
DNC: Bernie On Board
25:28
Jody Avirgan, Farai Chideya, Clare Malone and producer Galen Druke talk about day one of the DNC, their conversations with Bernie Sanders protesters, and more.
Jul 26, 2016
DNC Preview: Can The Democrats Get It Together?
54:57
We're in Philly! Jody Avirgan, Nate Silver, Clare Malone, Farai Chideya and Harry Enten talk about the DNC email leak, the Kaine pick, and what to expect this week.
Jul 24, 2016
RNC Wrap: Law And Order
20:06
As the RNC is disassembled around them, Jody Avirgan, Nate Silver, Clare Malone, and Harry Enten record their late-night reaction to Donald Trump's acceptance speech.
Jul 21, 2016
RNC Emergency Pod! Boos Cruz
14:23
From a borrowed couch in the Cleveland arena, Jody Avirgan, Harry Enten, and Clare Malone react to a wild third night of the RNC, which featured huge boos for Ted Cruz.
Jul 20, 2016
RNC: Nate And Harry On On Point
17:23
From radio row at the RNC, Nate Silver and Harry Enten talk about the state of polling and the 2016 race with Tom Ashbrook of On Point radio.
Jul 20, 2016