Real Vision: Finance, Business & The Global Economy

By Real Vision

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Description

Understand the complex world of finance, business and the global economy with real in-depth analysis from real experts. We unlock access to the leading financial minds in the world to provide unbiased, in-depth analysis from real experts. The Real Vision podcast features our flagship series The Interview - the premier business and finance interview series in the world; And, the Daily Briefing which provides market analysis every weekday after US markets close and before Asian markets open. Subscribe today to get both of these shows totally free. Brought to you from Real Vision.

Episode Date
5 Big Questions for a Double-Dip Recession:DB -Nov25, 2020
2490
Max Wiethe and Real Vision managing editor, Ed Harrison, discuss Ed's outlook for a winter double-dip recession in the U.S. and the most important questions for determining the breadth, depth, and market implications of this prediction. How bad will the pandemic get before this wave can be arrested? How severe an economic brake will have to occur to get the virus under control? What short- and long-term impact will this have on businesses? What can policymakers do to mitigate downside risk and prevent worst-case outcomes? How will all of this feed through into asset markets? In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin, examines the juxtaposition between the markets hitting record highs and the broader economy as initial jobless claims rise for a second week in a row. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 25, 2020
The World Is Getting Back In Business: DB - Nov24, 2020
2382
Senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes back Tony Greer of TG Macro to make sense of today’s price action as the equity markets roar to all-time highs. After the pair briefly discusses the significance of the news that Janet Yellen will likely be named Treasury Secretary, Tony shares his analysis on the value rotation away from the tech giants into cyclical reflation plays like banks, casinos, hotels, and energy. As Tony says, “the world is getting back in business”. Ash and Tony then look the performance of Bitcoin as it approaches its 2017 highs, and explore the future of gold as an inflation hedge. Lastly, Tony gives an update on his trades in the cannabis sector. In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin analyzes the market rally to record highs as the Dow surpasses 30,000 for the first time ever and looks into the anticipated rebound in the economy for the second half of 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 24, 2020
Leveraged Finance at Full Throttle:DB - Nov 23, 2020
2431
Real Vision editor Jack Farley hosts Tyler Neville of Real Vision for a spirited debate about the fate of risk assets. Tyler makes the case that U.S. equities have a lot more room to run, basing his case on tight credit spreads and the Federal Reserve’s ever-expanding balance sheet. Tyler incorporates market breadth as well as venture capital funding to argue that the punch bowl may never be removed. Jack challenges Tyler’s bullish thesis, asking Tyler about the upcoming expiration of the Fed’s emergency lending programs and the possibility that the holiday season will accelerate the spread of the COVID-19 virus. Jack and Tyler then explore the future of so-called “zombie companies,” whose liabilities have swelled to over $1.2 trillion. In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin analyzes the promising developments of a coronavirus vaccine, how it impacts the markets, and why some sectors will benefit a lot more than others. For charts from Tyler as well as Jack, click here: https://rvtv.io/2URRNAH Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 23, 2020
Macro Mayhem: Filtering the Signal from the Noise: The Interview
2991
Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, welcomes back Keith McCullough, founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, to analyze how divergent indicators in inflation and growth are revealing trading signals for bonds, commodities, and equities going forward. McCullough breaks down his "Quad"-based investment process, going in greater depth on how "risk ranges" affect his trading across various asset classes such as corn, Chinese and Spanish equities, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Pal and McCullough explore how investors should think about liquidity risks, position sizing, and risk allocation, and the two discuss the role of these factors during a time with such confounding economic data. Filmed on October 21, 2020. Key Learnings: The interplay of volatility, volume and price offers asymmetric opportunities across all asset classes. The rate of change of inflation and growth can be an effective way to determine when to bet on high-conviction trades. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 22, 2020
The Central Bank Digital Currency Paradigm Shift: The Interview
4449
Bill Campbell, portfolio manager for Global Bond Strategy at DoubleLine Capital, sits down with Ed Harrison to discuss how he is making sense of the massive paradigm shift to central bank digital currencies. Campbell argues that central banks are late to the party as over 95% of global transactions are already digital, and together they explore the potential for bilateral digital currency settlement to replace the SWIFT system and put downward pressure on the dollar. They also discuss how CBDCs could upend the banking system as traditional revenue centers like cross border payments and custody of assets are muscled in on by central banks. Campbell also touches on how CBDCs could change the way that fiscal and monetary policy is conducted, leading to even more debasement of fiat money and why he thinks there is still one final move lower for yields left in the bond market. Filmed on October 30, 2020. Bill Campbell has written extensively on the topic and viewers can find links to his two most recent papers here: https://doubleline.com/dl/wp-content/uploads/Bilateral-Digital-Currency-Payments-October-2020.pdf and https://doubleline.com/2020/10/the-pandoras-box-of-central-bank-digital-currencies-bill-campbell-october-2020/. Key Learnings: Central bank digital currencies are visible on the horizon, and their roll-out will have a huge effect on how monetary and fiscal policy are conducted, the viability of the banking system as it exists today, and the way that global trade is settled and the value of the U.S. dollar. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 21, 2020
The Economics of Common Sense: The Interview
4115
With a phenomenal investment track record greater than perhaps even Warren Buffett and George Soros, Joel Greenblatt is renowned as one of the world's greatest investors in history. Yet recently, he has turned his gaze beyond markets to focus his attention on fixing problems in society, ranging from banking and retirement to education and even immigration. In this interview with managing editor Ed Harrison, Greenblatt discusses his common sense solutions to society's ills, using the same analytical framework that brought him tremendous success in the investment world. Greenblatt also shares his investment philosophy and current market outlook. Recorded on October 19, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 20, 2020
Is A Double-Dip Recession On The Horizon?: DB- Nov19, 2020
2437
Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison is joined by editor Jack Farley to break down the economic impact of the partial lockdowns U.S. officials are implementing day-by-day as cases and deaths from COVID-19 spiral out of control. Ed evaluates the latest rise in joblessness claims, the exponential increase in hospitalizations, the looming expiration of the CARES Act, and the Fed’s emergency lending programs, ultimately concluding that a double-dip recession in the U.S. could be on the horizon. Lastly, Jack and Ed discuss China’s first negative-yielding bond (denominated in Euros) as well as Bitcoin’s continued surge. In the intro, Haley Draznin looks at the increase in U.S. jobless claims filed this week and its broader implications on the markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 20, 2020
Tesla, Banks, Bonds, and Bitcoin: DB - Nov18, 2020
2199
Real Vision Managing editor Ed Harrison hosts Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to discuss the opportunities and risks on the investment horizon. Tommy explores whether the ongoing rotation into value will continue, sharing his views on sectors such as energy, financials, and retail. He and Ed then investigate whether bonds’ rally is a harbinger of trouble for stocks, and how various asset classes such as gold and bitcoin perform should there be a major selloff in the equity market. Lastly, Tommy discusses why he remains bearish on Tesla despite its significant rally, and shares his fundamental analysis of the electric vehicle maker as well as his framework for managing risk. In the intro, editor Jack Farley looks at oil futures, vaccine progress, and MTA’s woes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 19, 2020
A Technical Framework for Trading Ambivalent Markets: DB- Nov17, 2020
2225
Real Vision senior editor, Ash Bennington, welcomes Dave Floyd of Aspen Trading Group back to the Daily Briefing to evaluate price action in the S&P 500, the U.S. 10 year Treasury note, and a variety of currency pairs. Dave shares his framework for trading these asset classes, incorporating technical indicators such as moving averages, stochastic oscillators, relative strength indicators, Fibonacci retracement levels as well as some proprietary trading signals from Aspen Trading Group. Dave and Ash discuss how the relationship between price to volume can reveal “footprints” in various markets to identify inflection points. Finally, Dave shares his own views on the psychology of trading such as knowing when to be cautious and when to pull the trigger. Real Vision's Haley Draznin explains why the markets fell on Tuesday after record highs on Monday, looking closely at the timeline for a vaccine, uptick in coronavirus cases, Tesla moving to the S&P 500 from the Nasdaq, and US retail sales missing expectations. To sign-up to Real Vision to watch these interviews, click here: https://www.realvision.com/paradigm-shift Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 17, 2020
The Vaccine Rally: DB- Nov16, 2020
1875
Real Vision managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, discuss the all-time highs being set in the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average as the news of Moderna’s vaccine being 94.5% effective in preventing COVID-19 breathes life into U.S. equities. Ed evaluates the price action through his risk-on framework, exploring the possibility that record cash on the sidelines, held by central banks, households, as well as private equity firms, could further buoy markets. He and Ash then discuss how the increasing lockdowns across the U.S. will likely stymie growth, weighing how these opposing forces will impact markets going forward. In the intro, Jack Farley reviews price action in equity and volatility markets and shows a clip from Mike Green’s interview with Jim Chanos, the first interview in Real Vision's series “Paradigm Shift: Investment Ideas for a World in Flux.” To sign-up to Real Vision to watch these interviews, click here: https://www.realvision.com/paradigm-shift Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 16, 2020
Dueling Perspectives On China's Economic Reality
2997
Michael Pettis, senior fellow at the Carnegie-Tsinghua Center for Global Policy, and Kyle Bass of Hayman Capital Management are both keenly focused on the complex task of discerning China's economic reality. In this interview, Bass and Pettis attack the important issues of capital flight, China's massive economic inequality, and their domestic debt burden, just to name a few. They both tend to agree on what is most important, but not always the takeaway from the data. It is the nuanced differences in their interpretations of the current state of affairs that had even Kyle Bass remarking at how much he was able to take away from this enlightening and pleasantly civil back and forth. Recorded on October 7, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 15, 2020
Jeffrey Gundlach -- Waiting for the Next Big Trade
4360
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital, has evolved his investment style over the years, and although he is still the "bond king", increasingly he has become multi-asset with a focus on getting the macro right. In this interview with Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal, Gundlach explains how he thinks about time frames, position sizing based on asset class, and how his style changes based on whether the market is alpha or beta driven. He also provides his current outlook, arguing that there is not much opportunity in this environment and that the most important thing at the moment is managing risk while patiently waiting for the next big trade. He also touches on timely topics like the potential for a wave of insolvency, why he believes we are in the midst of The Fourth Turning, his skeptical view of bitcoin, and why he is bullish on the dollar in the short term despite his highest conviction macro view being pronounced dollar weakness. Recorded on October 1, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 14, 2020
The Next Phase: DB- Nov13, 2020
2884
Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, discuss the growing shutdown measures in the U.S. even as the S&P 500 makes all-time highs. Looking at declining mobility data, Pal explores how the prospect of a full lockdown in the U.S will depress economic activity as well as perhaps markets. He and Ash then discuss default risk and the stock sales of Pfizer’s CEO before zooming out into macro issues such as how stagnant money velocity affects retirees and how rise in the monetary base could buoy precious metals and bitcoin. In the intro, Jack Farley reviews price action, evaluates the distress of cruise liners, and the looming expiration of the Fed’s emergency lending programs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 14, 2020
Is The Value Rotation "Over": DB- Nov 12, 2020
2077
Real Vision managing editor, Ed Harrison, is joined by editor, Jack Farley, to break down a day of heavy selling across sectors as COVID-19 cases surge to unseen levels. Ed interprets what the Citigroup Economic Surprise Index means and shares his views on how, shutdown or not, the rise of coronavirus will likely depress economic activity. Ed and Jack discuss the flattening of the U.S. Treasury yield and the heavy selling of value equities, with Jack asking Ed whether the rotation into value will resurge or is in fact over. After quickly reviewing price action in volatility markets, Ed and Jack give a sneak peek of the “Paradigm Shift: Investment Ideas for a World in Flux” featuring Jim Chanos, Mike Green, Chamath Palihapitiya, Hugh Hendry, Kyle Bass, Jeremy Grantham, Jim Grant, William White, and many other legends of the investment world. In the intro, Peter Cooper explores the current state of the coronavirus epidemic in the States and reviews the jobless claims report that came out today. For the charts that Ed and Jack discuss, click here: https://rvtv.io/3lrQLY0. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 12, 2020
Credit and the COVID Mushroom Cloud: DB- Nov 11, 2020
2374
Senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, break down the pausing of the rotation out of growth and into value as cases and hospitalization in the U.S. surge to unseen levels. Ash breaks down Bill Ackman’s hedge against investment grade credit, and Ed explores how much central bank liquidity there is on the sidelines waiting to buoy asset prices. The pair also discuss taxes, the outcome of the U.S. elections, as well as Ed’s upcoming interview with Michael Howell. In the intro, editor Jack Farley looks at credit spreads and gives a sneak peek of Real Vision’s upcoming interview series with investing legends such as Jeremy Grantham, Jim Grant, Jim Chanos, Kiril Sokoloff, Sam Zell, Chamath Palihapitiya, Hugh Hendry, Raoul Pal, Kyle Bass, and Russell Napier. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 11, 2020
Market Euphoria: This Year's Trading Patterns Coming Undone
2345
Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, to examine the latest euphoric episode in markets. Greer discusses how the rotation in the markets demonstrates their renewed focus on a post-pandemic world as the pattern from the last several months of trading is coming undone. He shares his thoughts on the appropriate balance of a political perspective to a market outlook, where inflation will begin to crop up under a Biden administration, and trades he’s paying attention to in energy, tech, commodities, and more. In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin looks at how the markets have reacted to potential vaccine news and how big tech companies across the globe, like Amazon and Alibaba, have become a major focus for regulators. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 11, 2020
Daily Briefing Ask Me Anything
2660
NOTE: THIS DAILY BRIEFING WAS FILMED THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 5. Fielding questions from Real Vision subscribers, senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, analyze how the various outcomes of the 2020 U.S. election will impact markets. Ash and Ed talk about the future of Real Vision content, price action across bitcoin, bonds, and equities, and the likely underperformance of the 60/40 portfolio should the economy enter a cyclical downturn. Ash and Ed analyze how the prospect of divided government (i.e., a Biden presidency coinciding with a Republican senate) will affect earnings potential and fiscal stimulus. They also share their views on potential cabinets picks for the next U.S. President. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 09, 2020
Optimism for a Digital Future Amid Harsh Economic Realities: The Interview w/ Raoul Pal
2866
Howard Lindzon, general partner at Social Leverage, tells Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal why he is bullish on the digital future of business despite acknowledging the harsh economic realities that have emerged since COVID. Lindzon argues that there is a shortage of investible opportunities to capitalize on this trend and this is what we are seeing in stretched tech valuations. He also discusses how he has bet on the democratization of finance with his investments in StockTwits, Robinhood, and eToro and explains why he is still not sold on crypto despite being exposed to the space. Filmed on September 28, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 08, 2020
The Gold Bull Market Is Only in the Fourth Inning: The Interview (w/ Kiril Sokoloff and Raoul Pal )
3394
Kiril Sokoloff sits down with Raoul Pal to discuss why he believes the bull market for precious metals is only in its fourth inning. All-in costs of gold production are under $1000 compared to the current price of $1900, creating profit margins never seen before in the industry. In effect, the gold mining companies have become free-cash flow machines. With US federal deficits growing as far as the eye can see, and the US owing more to the rest of the world than any nation in history, a dollar crisis is brewing, which will launch gold on the next leg of its bull market. Filmed on October 16, 2020. Key Learnings: Gold and gold miners are under-owned, misunderstood, and the beneficiary of many other current economic and financial trends. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 07, 2020
Dissecting the Narratives: What Markets Are Anticipating in the Coming Weeks
2242
Managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, review this past week’s “everything rally” and key macro indicators against the backdrop of political uncertainty and COVID-19. Ed explains the two different narratives around the market rally — either the markets’ growing comfort over a split government or the markets had priced in more chaos that hasn’t yet come to fruition. He then also breaks down the narrative of a backpedaling economic recovery that the bond market and the macro indicators such as the ISM reports and jobs reports are reinforcing. Ash and Ed also touch on whether we’ll return to a high hospitalization and death rate with the resurgence of COVID-19 cases and reiterates how the social response and the durable changes to demand are not driven by policy alone. In the intro, Real Vision’s Haley Draznin walks us through the October jobs report, how it exceeded expectations and its impact on the markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 06, 2020
Daily Briefing - Nov 5, 2020
2828
Managing editor, Ed Harrison, is joined by Jay Pelosky, co-founder and CIO of TPW Investment Management, to provide an update on his current outlook amid a turbulent election and uncertain future with stimulus and COVID-19. Pelosky argues that markets are getting closer to end of this period of peak uncertainty around these variables and that deep cyclicals like airlines and oil will rally sharply higher. Pelosky also explains that as the election race comes to a close, markets have been oversold in the past week and are becoming more comfortable with the idea of a split government as investors gain clarity. He digs further into the question of stimulus - a matter of “when,” not “if” - and contends that a vaccine may roll out sooner than stimulus, which would cause the markets to react aggressively, raise rates, and could set up a rotation trade out of tech and into cyclicals. Finally, he also discusses asset allocation and his thesis of a tripolar world. In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin looks at markets rallying as the U.S. presidential election outcome is still uncertain and analyzes the K-shaped recovery that continues to form as the job market remains high. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 05, 2020
Too Early to the Party? Market Rallies and Election Anxiety: DB- NOV 4, 2020
2228
In light of the market rally along with election uncertainty today, Ash Bennington & Ed Harrison ask, "just what exactly are the markets celebrating?" Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 04, 2020
U.S. Election: Gamma Baptism of Fire: DB- NOV 3, 2020
2613
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Hari Krishnan, head of volatility strategies at SCT Capital, to break down the hidden forces driving markets on U.S. election day. Disagreeing with the linear narratives about how election results impact markets, Krishnan instead analyzes the market plumbing, looking at the trend spike in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet, interest rate volatility, and the likely forced selling options dealers’ will have to conduct should the S&P 500 start to show weakness. After Krishnan shares with Bennington his theory explaining the “kink” in the VIX futures curve, he imparts the following advice to traders: “never panic.” In the intro, reporter Haley Draznin breaks down investor optimism in global equities, the impact of high turnout of U.S. voters, and the halting of Ant Group’s massive I.P.O. Recorded on Nov 3, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 03, 2020
Calm Before the Storm: DB- Nov 2, 2020
1929
Real Vision senior editor, Ash Bennington, welcomes Tommy Thornton, president of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to break down his framework for trading markets as the U.S. Presidential election rapidly approaches. Thornton looks at market sentiment and trader positioning, concluding that investors are net long this market, which limits upside potential, with extremely low short interest. Bennington and Thornton explore price action in European markets and look forward to vaccine news. Thornton then describes several trades he sees in cannabis and coffee, advising viewers on the value of holding dry powder as well as not getting sucked into narratives. In the intro, editor Jack Farley takes a look at Europe’s lockdowns, election odds, and price action in the credit markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 02, 2020
Bitcoin Infiltrates Corporate America (w/ Michael Saylor and Raoul Pal)
7310
Michael Saylor, chairman & CEO of MicroStrategy Inc., joins Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, to discuss MicroStrategy’s major Bitcoin acquisitions. Saylor describes his background, what led up to the creation of MicroStrategy, and its recent push to bring Bitcoin into the corporate world. He explains his first encounter with cryptocurrencies and how his views on it have evolved over the years. Saylor touches on the power and value of Bitcoin and its unique utility of being able to convey “100 million dollars across 100 years.” Finally, Saylor shares how they store the Bitcoin owned by MicroStrategy and the timeline of the investment. Filmed on September 16, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 01, 2020
Masterworks: Art Investing for the Masses: Bonus Episode
2424
Not only is art one of the oldest asset classes in the world, but it also is one of the best performing. In this interview with Real Vision’s Max Wiethe, Scott Lynn, CEO of Masterworks, makes the case for investing in “blue-chip art” and explains how his company is bringing this asset class traditionally reserved for the ultra-rich to a whole new cohort of investors. Together, Lynn and Wiethe discuss “blue-chip art” and how not all artists are made the same when it comes to the returns, explore the art market’s relative outperformance and correlations with other asset classes, and finally how Masterworks’ new business model, allowing investors to buy shares of art from some of the world’s most famous artists, is completely changing the market. See important information: masterworks.io/disclaimer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 31, 2020
The Economics of Video Games and Movies: The Interview
2206
Strauss Zelnick, chairman and CEO of Take-Two Interactive and partner at ZMC, joins headhunter Christian Alexander of Macro Link to share the lessons he learned on his journey to the top of the media world. Take-Two Interactive is one of the largest gaming companies, and its stock is up over 900% since Zelnick became its CEO in 2011. Zelnick discusses his investment philosophy and compares the advantages and disadvantages of the film business, the music business, and the video game business. He also analyzes various secular trends on his radar including the widespread adoption of big data usage, a trend he calls "the data explosion." Recorded on September 23, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 31, 2020
Walking on Eggshells: Markets on High Alert with the Election & COVID-19: DB-Oct 29, 2020
1635
Managing editor, Ed Harrison, welcomes Stephen Kalayjian, chief market strategist of Ticker Tocker, to discuss the elevated levels of volatility and his forward outlook for markets over the coming months. With the U.S. election coming up in less than a week, Kalayjian describes how not only are markets are being worn down by the torrent of uncertainty surrounding policy outcomes with each respective administration, but also by how the sensitivity of this year’s election and the events that will unfold in the coming weeks are keeping markets on edge with COVID-19 exacerbating tensions further. He explains where he sees the opportunities and downside risk in U.S. equities in light of these circumstances and why the perception of economic growth in large cap tech stocks will propel their prices up further for the rest of 2020 through the beginning of 2021. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin analyzes the U.S. economy's record GDP growth, but explains the real obstacles going forward that will slow the recovery, perhaps severely. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 29, 2020
The Rubber Hits the Road: DB-Oct 28, 2020
2072
Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by managing editor Ed Harrison for a special edition of the Daily Briefing. Ed gives an update on his thesis, now that U.S. and European equities have continued to tumble, and analyzes how the halting of economic activity in Europe will likely cause a double dip recession that is very bad for risk assets. Ash breaks down the COVID-19 data on cases, deaths, and hospitalizations, and he and Ed look forward to see whether this past six months of economic recovery is nothing more than an “interregnum” or a “head fake.” Recorded on Oct 28, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 28, 2020
Bitcoin: "Finding Its Seat at the Macro Table" : DB-Oct 27, 2020
1756
Senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro back to the Daily Briefing to make sense of price action in equities, bonds, currencies, and commodities. Tony reviews Monday’s rout in U.S. stocks and corresponding pop in the VIX, and explores why FX volatility was so low. He and Ash then discuss Bitcoin’s surge upon the news that Paypal is allowing bitcoin transactions on its platform. They look at durable goods orders, oil, gold, as well as investigating how big central bank balance sheets might get going forward. Lastly, Tony shares his view on how the upcoming U.S. Presidential election might affect markets. In the intro, editor Jack Farley looks at home sales, mall foreclosures, and “lender-on-lender” violence in the credit markets. Recorded On: Oct 27 , 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 27, 2020
Market Shocks Around the Corner? U.S. Election & COVID-19: DB-Oct 26 , 2020
2390
Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to talk through the social, political, and economic ramifications of the various U.S. presidential election outcomes in tandem with the risk of a more forceful and perhaps lethal second wave of COVID-19. Ash and Ed discuss how the policy outcomes in a Biden administration are more limited than what a Trump administration would be such as the fate of FAANG and Trump’s recent executive order regarding the dismissal of civil servants. They also consider what would happen to stimulus after the election, how markets have priced in a blue wave and how the outcome could be deviations away from expectations, and what the policy response might be to a rise in hospitalizations. Ed also explains the impact the hysteresis effect could have on the economy and consumers as well as how that may lead to more durable consumption changes post-COVID. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin analyzes China’s Ant Group raising $34 billion, making it the largest IPO in history. Filmed on Oct 26, 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 26, 2020
The Bitcoin Life Raft: The End of Monetary & Fiscal Policy As We Know It w/ Raoul Pal
2197
Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, breaks down the events leading to the recent tidal wave of interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies. He touches on the various crises that have encouraged the rampant printing by central banks and the destructive consequences this has left in its wake. Touting Bitcoin as the unkillable “cockroach of finance” and the life raft for this transitional period in history, Raoul sees CBDCs as the killer of stable coins and the start of a new era in the world of monetary and fiscal policy - the first major steps of technology eating the traditional finance world. Pal says that all of the macro signals are pointing towards a major shift in how the system is run. He cites the allowance of banking custody for crypto assets by regulators, major corporate treasuries investing in Bitcoin, and new types of banks, such as Kraken, all as pivotal events in the coming shift to a digital asset world. Filmed on October 18, 2020. Aired on October 19, 2020 Reserve your spot for Real Vision Crypto launching soon... http://rvtv.io/CryptoTierLaunch Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 25, 2020
Impact Investing: Making the Case for Charter Schools: The Interview
3898
Are charter schools a wise addition to your investment portfolio? Charter schools receive less public funding from local and state taxes and federal programs than their district school counterparts, so they seek private funding in efforts to be able to operate to their fullest capacity. Programs like the New Market Tax Credit (NMTC) and opportunity zones provide several incentives for holding investments in charter schools. This type of impact investing also pays back in good deed as investors in charter schools have the satisfaction of knowing that their investments better education for America’s children. Eva Moskowitz, founder and CEO of Success Academy, the largest and highest-performing free, public charter school network in New York City, opens up about how she is reimagining public education and how the network has had to adapt to remote learning amid the coronavirus pandemic. Filmed on October 15, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 24, 2020
Raoul Pal: The Biggest Trade in the World: DB-Oct 23
2532
Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, arrives to the Daily Briefing frothing at the mouth with Bitcoin bullishness. Senior editor, Ash Bennington, tries in vain to contain Raoul’s enthusiasm, but with Bitcoin up over 20% this month, Raoul’s zeal simply cannot be restrained, and he proceeds to go at length about how this asset will become a global reserve asset as the world moves along an adoption curve of trust. Raoul and Ash proceed to discuss the ongoing progress to make crypto-assets easier to own for RIAs and institutional investors, and Raoul reflects on the relative risk/reward profile of bitcoin at a time with record low bond yields and a stock market at all-time highs. In the intro, editor Jack Farley breaks down the new Frankenstein of the fixed income world: the CLO ETF. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 23, 2020
The Latest Macro Data and What It Means for the Economy's Recovery: DB-Oct 22
2183
Managing editor, Ed Harrison, talks to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Advisory Group, about some of the most recent macroeconomic data releases such as jobless claims and existing home sales and what they portend for the economy. Boockvar also explains why recent comments from the Fed and the level on the 10-year Treasury bond matter. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin analyzes the surge in corporate bonds as companies have done so much refinancing in one year and she looks at the new jobless claims out today which are at the lowest level since the coronavirus pandemic hit in March. What this means: The macro is telling Boockvar to watch for an uptick in cyclical inflation and he’s using it in conjunction with bottoms-up analysis to build a portfolio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 22, 2020
Jared Dillian's Macro Outlook for Markets & Best Practices for Investors : DB-Oct 21
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap, to discuss the art of portfolio construction and his current outlook on markets. Dillian shares his thoughts on why investors whose sole focus is on returns fail and how to structure a portfolio that properly accounts for risk. He also breaks down how he gets exposure in real estate as well as how he’s thinking about the implications of the Fed backstopping the credit markets. Dillian also covers his thoughts on Bitcoin, time horizons, U.S. election outcomes, and trend following. In the intro, Real VIsion’s Nick Correa share the latest CEO confidence numbers and the next big, potential SPAC deal between Michael Bloomberg and Bill Ackman. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 21, 2020
DB-Oct 20, 2020 - Last Leg of the Ride: What 2020 Has Left in Store for Markets
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to discuss earnings, stimulus intervention, and investment time horizons. Thornton talks about how, despite stronger Q3 earnings, Q4 could demonstrate a pullback and whether the upcoming U.S. election could serve as a catalyst either to upside or downside. He also shares his thoughts on stimulus intervention and the hazards of MMT as well as on how he thinks about managing positions and time horizons. Thornton and Bennington also touch on the energy and financials sectors and how the election outcome could affect these sectors. Thornton also describes how he analyzes different sectors through technical indicators and how technicals enhance the way he invests. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin breaks down the markets reaction as lawmakers continue efforts to reach a spending bill and weighs in on the Fed’s cautious approach to possibly issuing digital currency. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 20, 2020
DB-Oct 19, 2020 - How rising infections will impact markets
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, is joined by managing editor, Ed Harrison, to interpret how the rising COVID-19 infections in Europe and the U.S. will impact markets. Ed conducts a deep dive on best practices for containing the virus while mitigating the economic damage, reviewing protocols in Norway, Sweden, Belgium, and New Zealand, and Ash looks at how China’s remarkable GDP growth could be related to its own containment strategy. Ed gives a sneak peek of his upcoming interview with legendary value investor Joel Greenblatt while Ash tells viewers about Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal’s surprise update on Bitcoin and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). Lastly, Ed and Ash discuss signs of stress emanating from the New York commercial real estate market. In the intro, editor Jack Farley gives a snapshot of today’s price action and looks at NASDAQ futures contracts and Royal Caribbean Cruises’ recent convertible bond deal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 19, 2020
The Interview - The Big Changes Coming for Major Asset Classes.
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Everyone knows Jeremy Grantham as the face of GMO, the behemoth money manager that has become legendary for its work on asset allocation, but Ben Inker, head of asset allocation at GMO since 1998, seems to be next in line for the throne. In this interview with Ed Harrison, Inker helps viewers make sense of the post-COVID investment landscape from the perspective of a major asset allocator. Together they discuss everything from the future of the 60/40 portfolio to bonds as an asset class in this new low rate world. They also dig in to US vs. non-US assets, the trouble with popular ex-post facto explanations for FAANG outperformance and narrative bubbles like Tesla, and why the financial sector can be so difficult to value. Filmed on September 21, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 18, 2020
The Interview - Reinventing the Monetary System with Decentralized Finance
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Alex Saunders, CEO and founder of Nugget's News, joins Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, to explain the reinvention of the monetary system through new crypto payments systems based on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stable coins. He tells Raoul the story of his introduction into the crypto world. Saunders also breaks down the expansion of global e-commerce through the explosive growth of decentralized finance. Filmed on September 15, 2020. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 17, 2020
DB-Oct 16, 2020 - The Debt Civil War and "The Organic Recession"
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, look forward to the relevant themes. Ed adds to David Rosenberg’s recent comments that “organically, the economy is still in recession,” and he and Ash reflect on (the? a bit awk) recent success of Sweden’s pandemic shutdown response. They then put a week of bank earnings into context and analyze Warren Buffett selling the bulk of Berkshire Hathaway’s holdings in Wells Fargo. In the intro, Ash speaks to Real Vision editor, Jack Farley, about “priming” in the markets for distressed debt. For reference, the video Ed discusses at the beginning can be found here: https://exchange.realvision.com/post/the-breakdown-what-all-financial-crises-have-in-common-5f89ad21d788a45104be209e. Visit realvision.com to get access for just $1 for months access. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 16, 2020
DB-Oct 15, 2020 - Choppy Stocks and Currency Swings
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Managing editors Ed Harrison and Roger Hirst analyze a choppy day of global market action. They look at European equities as well as currency swings in the Euro and the Australian dollar. Roger looks at gold, and Ed analyzes the effect of narrowing net interest margins on bank earnings and yield curves. They also discuss central banks’ role in facilitating fiscal stimulus as well as global debt levels and zombification. In the intro, Haley Draznin analyzes price action, Morgan Stanley’s earnings, and the re-emergence of COVID-19 lockdowns in Europe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 15, 2020
DB-Oct 14, 2020 - Credit Strains and the Bank Schism
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|Credit Markets| IPOs | Bond Issuance | Real Vision managing editor, Ed Harrison, is joined by editor, Jack Farley, to break down today’s bank earnings reports and look forward to the fate of the credit markets. Ed shares his framework for understanding the K-shaped bifurcation between investment banks relying on a flurry of IPOs and bond issuance and commercial banks who are left with spotty loans and narrowing net interest margins. Jack guides viewers through the remarkable performance of Goldman Sachs, particularly their trading division, and he also shines a light on the rising credit risks in Bank of America’s loan book. In the intro, Real Vision's Peter Cooper discusses how companies are postponing their plans to return to the office until the summer of 2021 and what the future of work arrangements may look like as remote work continues to present its pros and cons. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 14, 2020
DB-Oct 13, 2020 - The Bond Rally and the Dollar Retracement
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Daily Briefing | JPMorgan Chase| Citigroup |Finance | Investing Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro back to the Daily Briefing to make sense of big moves today in equities, bonds, and the dollar. Greer analyzes the latest CPI reading through the lens of the ECB’s piggy-back announcement that it too would let inflation run hot. Greer then breaks down today’s bond rally as the dollar retracement coincided with significant sector rotations in the S&P 500. Bennington and Greer then analyze the latest newsflow from Washington D.C, including the status of President Trump’s health, the progress of stimulus talks in Congress, and the outcome of the upcoming presidential election. In the intro, Ash speaks to editor Jack Farley about the latest earnings reports from U.S. banks JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 14, 2020
DB-Oct 12, 2020 - Real Vision AMA: A Peek Behind the Curtain
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S&P 500 | VIX |Economics | Trading | Investing Managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington answer questions from the Real Vision audience in this special edition of the Daily Briefing. They discuss everything from the latest jobs numbers, to the regulatory hurdles that banks are facing, to the Real Vision editorial process. They also look at junk bond defaults and the correlation between the S&P 500 and the VIX. Lastly, they explore whether credit is “the canary in the coal mine.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 12, 2020
The Interview - Why China Will Avoid Crisis by Any Means Necessary w/ Chris Balding and Michael Green
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Asia | China | Europe | GeoPolitics | Macro Technology After years living abroad in China and Vietnam, professor Chris Balding has returned to the U.S. because of concerns for his safety due to his role in exposing the data collection operations of Shenzen Zhenhua Data Technology. In this interview with Michael Green of Logica Capital Advisors, Balding lays out the initial findings from his expository research and updates viewers on the current state of affairs in China. Together they examine geopolitical tensions between China and the rest of Asia as well as China’s current relationship status with Europe and Russia. They also help viewers make sense of what is happening on the Chinese homefront and the macro factors driving capital flows into the country. Filmed on September 15, 2020. More information about the Chinese data gathering operation described in the interview can be found here: https://rvtv.io/33Cmxd7 and https://rvtv.io/3ktuDvg Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 11, 2020
Has Everything Changed? with Raoul Pal
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Real Vision CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal, kicks off an exciting two weeks of content on Real Vision by explaining why we are endeavoring to answer the ultimate question, "has everything changed?" As well, Pal switches hats into his role as head of GMI to update viewers on his "unfolding" thesis and his own view on the question, "has everything changed?" He argues that the insolvency phase is being signaled by banks, BBB equities, and bond yields while tech stocks are stubbornly stuck in the hope phase, which has morphed into a dangerous speculation phase. He also runs through his outlook for the roster of major global asset classes and explains why he thinks Bitcoin is "the world’s best trade." Filmed on September 17, 2020 and Aired on September 21 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 10, 2020
DB-Oct 9, 2020 - Software’s ever-tightening grip on the economy w/ Raoul Pal.
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is joined by senior editor Ash Bennington to look back at market action and make sense of several secular trends. Raoul shares several of the lessons from his interview with “The Bond King” Jeffrey Gundlach, which leads into a discussion about changes to risk appetite and time horizon within the hedge fund industry. Raoul and Ash then discuss the latest banning of crypto derivatives for amateur investors. They close by discussing wage deflation and software’s ever-tightening grip on the economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 09, 2020
DB - Oct 8, 2020 - Inflation Expectations and Its Effect on Treasuries and Currencies
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Ed Harrison and Roger Hirst break down some of the most significant price action they're seeing in markets. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin explains the back-and-forth on fiscal stimulus negotiations and why the Fed could issue a monetary policy offset to try and sustain economic momentum. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 08, 2020
DB-Oct 7, 2020 - The Fiscal Stimulus Vanishing Before Our Very Eyes
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Real Vision managing editor, Ed Harrison, is joined by editor, Jack Farley, to break down the vanishing fiscal stimulus and the K-shaped economic recovery. Ed interprets the latest economic data to give Jack his market outlook over the next six months. Ed then looks at how the impasse in the fiscal stimulus may widen the chasm between large corporations and small businesses. He and Jack then turn their gaze to the credit markets where the bifurcation between the haves and the have-nots is becoming even more apparent. In the intro, Real Vision's Peter Cooper takes a look at how President Trump has pulled the plug on fiscal stimulus negotiations, what he's targeting now, and how markets have been taking in the news. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 07, 2020
DB - Oct 6, 2020 - Market Rollercoaster: Headline vs. Macro Drivers
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, to examine the latest wild market swings. Despite a large selling episode on Friday with the announcement of President Trump being diagnosed with COVID-19, Tony discusses how the rally still has momentum as the macro indicators are still driving markets upward. Ash then asks how Tony is currently hedging the news of the president's health, and they talk about how FAANG is now getting pummeled even though the rally is still holding. They review historical examples of key anti-trust cases and share their thoughts on why breaking up big tech may catch retail investors flat-footed. They wrap up their conversation with Tony sharing some trading lessons he's learned from his experience and what he's looking out for next. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin explains why stocks took a dive Tuesday afternoon after President Trump said he ordered an end to stimulus negotiations until after the November election. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 06, 2020
DB-Oct 5, 2020 -Are We in an Economic Depression?
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Senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison break down another day of risk-on sentiment as the market evaluates the state of President Trump’s health and the chances of another round of fiscal stimulus. Ed explores whether the term “depression” is appropriate, through the lens of his interview today with David Rosenberg. Ed and Ash then look at how duration risk and political gridlock might impact markets going forward. Lastly, Ash discusses his interview on Friday with Brian Estes, and looks forward to Live Q&A's with Lyn Alden, George Goncalves, and Ted Seides on “The Exchange”: https://exchange.realvision.com/. In the intro, editor Jack Farley takes a look at movie theater chain Cineworld's decision to shutter hundreds of theaters in the U.S. and U.K. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 05, 2020
The Interview w/ Raoul Pal & Marc Cohodes: When Megatrends Collide
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Marc Cohodes is well known as a confident and vocal short-seller willing to fight harder and dig deeper into a company than anyone else in the business. But when he sees the buying opportunity of a lifetime, he's just as willing to get to work on the long side and spread the good news. In this interview with Raoul Pal, Cohodes explains why the combination of a booming e-commerce business, the massive call option of tokenization, and the tZERO blockchain network have him extremely bullish on Overstock even after riding the stock from $3 to $90 in its most recent run. As well, they discuss Marc's other "all in" call on Camping World, a company that, much like Overstock, has him licking his chops and continuing to buy alongside insiders who have not stepped out of the market in spite of the general frothiness that abounds. Cohodes also updates viewers on the personal and emotional rollercoaster that has been his MiMedx short. Air Date: 4 Sep 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 04, 2020
The Interview - Turkish Lira: A Recipe for Disaster?
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Michael Nicoletos, CIO and co-founder of Appletree Capital, is joined by John Floyd, head of macro strategies at Record Currency Management, to analyze the mounting pressures on the Turkish Lira as well as other emerging market (EM) currencies. Floyd breaks down his bearish thesis on the Turkish Lira (TRY), citing Turkey's deeply negative real rates, dwindling FX reserves, and a banking sector deeply indebted to foreign creditors on a dollar- or euro-denominated basis. Floyd and Nicoletos then discuss the knock-on effects of a Turkish Lira collapse as so many European banks (especially Spanish ones) are heavily exposed to Turkey. Lastly, Floyd shares with Nicoletos the various trades to express this view. Aired on September 11, 2020 on realvision.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 03, 2020
DB-Oct 2, 2020 - White House Outbreak and the Teetering Equity Market
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Real Vision CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal, joins senior editor, Ash Bennington, to interpret the latest financial newsflow. Raoul explores the possibility of a top forming in U.S. equities through the lens of his “GMI crash pattern.” He and Ash then analyze President Trump’s diagnosis of COVID-19 and investigate its potential market impact. Raoul then talks about today’s interview with hedge fund legend Dmitry Balyasny as well as next week’s interview with bond kingpin Jeffrey Gundlach. Raoul and Ash briefly discuss the criminal charges brought against BitMEX, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges. Lastly, Raoul shares his view on the enfeebled energy sector. In the intro, Real Vision’s Jack Farley breaks down the price action following the COVID-19 outbreak in the White House. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 02, 2020
DB-Oct 1, 2020 - Reflation and Recovery: The Long-Term Outcomes of Today's Market Pressures
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, joins managing editor, Roger Hirst, to break down today’s price action. Using Julian Brigden’s Expert View from September 28th as a springboard, Roger discusses the pressures that central banks are under to create reflation in an environment of low productivity, low growth, and a weaker dollar when they have instead contributed to asset price inflation. Roger and Ed also analyze the rebound in equities by considering how US equities are carrying out a bullish narrative of recovery as compared to poorer equity performance outside of the US. Wrapping up their conversation, Roger also offers his thoughts on the NASDAQ futures short position as well as how pensions are being threatened now. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin takes a look at the rise in SPACs as first blank-check ETF makes its trading debut today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 01, 2020
DB Sep 30 - 2020 - The Ultimate "Pain Trade"
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Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison hosts Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Advisory Group and editor of The Boock Report. Boockvar shares his macro analysis on what he calls “the pain trade": companies that have been the most hurt by COVID-19 and have the most to gain from re-opening. Boockvar and Harrison review the latest economic data and discuss what is and what is not priced into the markets. Boockvar also discusses banks as the ultimate value trap and why they may be poised for an ultimate turnaround should the long-end of the yield curve tighten. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin breaks down two major technology companies, Palantir and Asana, and their direct listings on the NYSE today and how this could reshape the IPO market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 30, 2020
DB Sep 29 - 2020 - Manic Markets: Energy, Tech, Financials, and Sentiment
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, to break down recent price action in markets. Tony provides his latest thoughts about what’s happening in the energy sector and where oil is headed as we begin to close out 2020, reviews his stance on the tech rally and its sub-sectors, and offers his perspective on the financials sector. Ash and Tony also discuss market sentiment with the U.S. presidential election fanning the flames of anxiety and the risk of COVID-19 still looming. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin looks ahead at what investors will be watching for in the first US presidential debate and its impact on continued market volatility. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 29, 2020
DB-Sep28, 2020 - How Ultra-low interest rates transform the investment landscape.
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to make sense of the biggest 3-day breakout in equities since April. Through the lens of Ed’s most recent piece in "Credit Writedowns." Ed and Ash explain why low interest rates tend to make growth stocks more valuable relative to value stocks, and why the recent rally in small-cap value stocks might be short-lived. Ed looks forward to his interview with hedge fund legend Leon Cooperman, which airs tomorrow, on Tuesday, September 29. The pair also discuss discount rates, portfolio rebalancing, and endogenous credit creation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 28, 2020
The Interview-The Banks are Going to Crash the Stock Market w/ Steven Van Metre
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Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, is joined by Steven Van Metre of Steven Van Metre Financial to discuss the most pressing issues on the macro horizon. After exploring whether quantitative easing (QE) and low rates are inflationary or deflationary, Johnson and Van Metre take a deep dive into the plumbing of the Treasury market and specifically the operations of the Fed's FOMC. Van Metre explains why he believes the Fed's policies have actually caused banks to tighten their lending standards rather than loosen them as the Fed intended. The pair then take a look at swap lines and the Eurodollar funding market as well as the effect a credit contraction would have on the U.S. dollar. Lastly, Van Metre talks about his Real Vision journey and how the knowledge he’s gained has helped him as an investor as well as a financial advisor.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 27, 2020
The Interview - Larry McDonald: "The Cobra Effect"
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What happens when the monetary and fiscal engines run too hot? This is the question that Larry McDonald, New York Times bestselling author and founder of the Bear Traps Report, explores with Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal. McDonald and Pal start by analyzing the valuations of high-flying tech stocks and discuss whether they will continue to soar or make an early landing. The pair then examine in detail the remarkable price action seen over the past few months in commodities such as precious metals, lumber, and natural gas. McDonald compiles this appreciation as evidence to explore his thesis that excessive stimulus could serve as a "cobra effect" to augur a hyperinflationary economic collapse.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 26, 2020
DB- Sep25, 2020-Ruffled Feathers: Major Market Outlooks and the Political Timebomb
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, come together to analyze the price action in stocks, bonds, and currencies. Ed looks forward to his interview with Leon Cooperman, and Ash interprets the latest economic data, including today’s dismal print for durable goods orders. They then consider the latest political news and discuss how the upcoming presidential election will impact markets. In the intro, Ash speaks to Real Vision editor, Jack Farley, about stocks, credit spreads, and a steepening VIX curve. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 25, 2020
DB-Sep 24, 2020-The Pivotal Momentum Shift In Stocks And Currencies.
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, hosts managing editor, Roger Hirst, to break down wild market swings that have characterized the last week of price action. Roger explores key retracement levels in the IBEX and FTSE 100 as well as the recent weakness in bank stocks, using his analysis from his latest episode of “The Big Conversation.” Ed then discusses the momentum shift over the past two weeks from growth to value through the lens of his interview with Ben Inker, heir apparent to Jeremy Grantham at GMO. The pair then look at the head-and-shoulders pattern in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and explore whether currencies could be a release valve for volatility adjustment. In the intro, Ed speaks to Real Vision reporter, Haley Draznin, about the steady rise in jobless claims released today, which signal continuing layoffs as the economy recovers slowly from the coronavirus pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 24, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep23, 2020 - Bearish on the S&Ps, Bullish on Silver
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, joins Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, to review and analyze today’s price action. Ed and Dave first discuss the continuing sell-off in equities and examine Dave’s bearish position on the S&Ps. They also consider the dollar’s move upward, what opportunities may exist for the yen as a result, and how low volatility in bonds is prompting higher volatility in the FX space. Finally, Dave shares his thoughts on the sell-off in silver, explains what technicals he uses to manage the trade, and at what levels he’ll retest his bullish thesis on precious metals. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 23, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 22, 2020 - Pass the Baton: Is the Market Rally Sustainable?
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, welcomes back Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss the ongoing inflation trade. Tony expounds on his bullish posture toward oil and some of the technical indicators he uses to analyze different securities. He also reviews some of the current policy stances that emerged from last week’s FOMC meeting, explaining how he leverages these policy shifts to seek out price inflation across different asset classes. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin monitors the continued volatility in the markets and addresses the potential risks investors are paying close attention to in the coming weeks including another stimulus relief bill out of Congress, a new spending bill, and surging coronavirus cases in the U.S. and abroad. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 22, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 21, 2020 - Stocks, Gold, and Silver: A Violent Market Selloff.
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Real Vision senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, discuss a volatile day in markets. Ed and Ash analyze today’s sell-off in stocks, gold, and silver as well as a significant rally in bonds. They then consider the resignation of Nikola founder, Trevor Milton, the rumors of European bank consolidation, and the passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg. Ed looks forward to his interviews with Jim Berry, Deloitte’s U.S. real estate leader, and Ben Inker, head of asset allocation at GMO. Lastly, Ash speaks to Real Vision editorial intern Bryce Zuccoli, who was recently diagnosed with COVID-19. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 21, 2020
The Interview -Cities Aren't Dying - Demography & Rates Drive Housing w/ Logan Mohtashami
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If you haven’t been living under a rock, you’ve probably heard the narrative that cities are dead and that white collar workers, now unburdened by the ability to work from home, are fleeing to the suburbs as fast as they can. Logan Mohtashami, lead analyst at Housing Wire, explains to Real Vision’s Ash Bennington why it is nothing more than an interesting narrative. He goes on to add that, aside from a few pockets in New York and San Francisco, the relative strength in the suburban housing market is being driven by the only factors that matter -- demographics and mortgage rates. Bennington and Mohtashami also drill down on the relationship between bond yields and mortgage rates and the knock-on effects into housing demand that you could see depending on different scenarios for those rates.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 20, 2020
The Interview - How to Buy and Store Physical Metals w/ Mark Yaxley and Raoul Pal
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There will always be debate surrounding what is the best way to gain exposure to precious metals. Should you buy gold miners, an ETF, maybe trade futures? It can all seem very complicated, but what if you want to do it the way it has been done for centuries -- owning physical metal with your name on it stored in a vault in a secure location? Mark Yaxley, general manager at Strategic Wealth Preservation (SWP), sits down with friend and client Raoul Pal to answer that very question and discuss how SWP has made it easy to buy, sell, and store precious metals in the Cayman Islands in a safe, legal, and affordable way for countless clients from all over the world. Together, they also discuss the state of the physical gold market, Mark and Raoul’s outlooks for the asset class, differences between coins and bars from assorted global producers, and the types of clients Mark is seeing step into the physical market at this exciting time for precious metals. Filmed on August 19, 2020. To find out more about SWP or open a physical metals account, go to www.swpcayman.com/realvision. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 19, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 18,2020 - Market Slip and Slide: The Fallout from the Fed's FOMC Meeting
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Real Vision CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal, is joined by senior editor, Ash Bennington, to look forward to the future of markets as well as Real Vision. After they evaluate how the market interpreted the Fed’s latest FOMC meeting, Raoul broadens the conversation beyond equities to make sense of the flatness in bond yields and credit spreads. Raoul and Ash then discuss the upcoming two-week exploration on Real Vision, “Has Everything Changed,” as well as discuss how Real Vision’s new platform, “The Exchange,” is allowing Real Vision members to connect with each other and form a “hive mind.” In the intro, Jack reviews market price action and gives a sneak peak of “Has Everything Changed.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 19, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 17, 2020 - When the Other Shoe Drops: Earnings, Market Mania, Unemployment
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to discuss the latest in markets, macro, and coronavirus. They discuss how the results of the upcoming earnings season will provide a gauge on the health of the economy and solidify its standing as 2020 begins to come to a close. They also speculate on the ongoing persistence and momentum to the upside in equity markets, short-dated options trading amongst retail investors, and the sudden proliferation of special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs). Ash and Ed then debrief yesterday’s FOMC meeting, lay out the impact the Fed’s actions will have on the bond market, and consider whether the Fed really is out of ammo at this point. In the intro, Peter Cooper shares the latest jobless claims data and enumerates on the flaws of solely relying on this data to understand the health of the labor market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 17, 2020
Daily Briefing - September 16, 2020 - Retail Investors Are the Megalodon of the Market: Hirst
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, invites managing editor, Roger Hirst, to take a deep dive into options to gain clarity on what this market’s greatest, current mover is. Roger argues that, contrary to conventional thought, currently the institutional “whales” are less influential than the retail investors, who are driving the options markets and have made themselves out to be the “megalodon.” He breaks down how retail investors are contributing to momentum through options, how “air pockets” in equity markets and contract expiries are linked, and how rising volatility will continue to increase “air pocket” risks. Roger then elaborates on why he believes these aren’t structural risks as of yet, but rather that insolvency risks are more near-term by observing how zombification of large-cap companies is on the rise due to misallocated capital and QE infinity. Ash and Roger then finish off their conversation by exploring the renewed risks to a clean Brexit. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin analyzes at the correlation between retail sales out this morning and the performance in the market. She also looks at the surge in IPOs this week, including Snowflake’s debut today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 16, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 15, 2020 - Markets Likely to Continue Higher Through End of Year: Tony Greer
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, welcomes back Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, to discuss the latest in markets. Tony breaks down what he’s seeing in the tech shakeout and explains how he’s approaching the recent correction in equity markets. He walks through the indicators he watched and how that guides his investment decisions. Ash and Tony then discuss the ongoing suppression of oil demand, especially as fears of lagging demand will persist for years rise, and how Tony is maintaining his long natural resources position. Tony then offers his final thoughts on what he’s looking out for as the week goes on. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin examines the rise of retail investors and why institutional investors are turning to platforms like Reddit and Twitter to track retail in efforts to gain an edge in the market and gain a better understanding of why they are flocking to stocks like Nikola. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 15, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 14, 2020 - How Options Mania is Driving Stock Market Price Action
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the animal spirits that are driving this market. After reviewing historical financial panics, Ed and Ash take another look at whether options mania is exerting influence on equity price action. They explore the “Softbank narrative” through the lens of volatility investor and arbitrageur Benn Eifert, and examine how speculators are buying options from market makers who are forced to delta-hedge their position, as they don’t want to take a directional position. Lastly, Ed and Ash look forward and see if there is “another shoe to drop” as fall approaches. In the intro, Jack Farley and Ash Bennington discuss the OPEC’s latest monthly oil market report. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 15, 2020
The Interview- Fleckenstein and Rule: Miners Are a Call on Unintended Fed Policy w/ Bill Fleckenstein & Rick Rule
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Bill Fleckenstein, president of Fleckenstein Capital, sits down with Rick Rule, president and CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings Inc., to talk about the macro drivers of the recent precious metals bull market and what to look for when investing in miners. Using their decades of experience in the industry, Rule and Fleckenstein explain why regardless of a specific price target and because precious metals investments as a percentage of the total market for savings and investments is far below the average over the past 50 years, reversion to the mean has precious metals exposed investments poised to march higher. Rule provides his explanation as to why Warren Buffet, who has called gold a pet rock in the past, has recently allocated a portion of Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio in Barrick Gold Corporation. Fleckenstein argues that there is a problem with using traditional NAV-based analysis and provides viewers with strategies to find hidden value when analyzing miners and to avoid the pitfalls that many investors fall victim to when investing in the space.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 13, 2020
The Interview - COVID-19: The World's Crash Course in Data Analysis and Modeling w/ Christina Ramirez
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For much of the population, analysis and projections of COVID-19 cases, mortality, and the associated policy response have brought forward the importance of statistical analysis and modeling techniques that many have never learned and, at best, probably haven't used since long past college years. This has resulted in heated debate, politicization, and huge differences in policy decisions and attitudes across jurisdictions. In this Interview, Christina Ramirez, professor of biostatistics at the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, sits down with Michael Green of Logica Capital Advisors to help viewers understand the constantly evolving story that the data is telling. Together, they examine the quality of the available data sets, how the consequences of lockdowns have born themselves out in other data like reports of child abuse, and how data indicates that as our knowledge and experience has grown, so too has our ability to combat the pandemic. Viewers can find more info about Christina Ramirez's work and access her updated data sets and charts here: Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 12, 2020
Daily Briefing- Sep 11, 2020 -Debt, Demographics, Crypto, and "The Exchange" w/ Raoul Pal
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is joined by senior editor Ash Bennington to reflect on the latest financial newsflow as well as Real Vision's new projects. After briefly discussing oil’s recent price action of oil, Raoul and Ash break down how the Fed's action is affecting different segments of the credit market, and they also weigh in on Jeffrey Gundlach's recent comments that default rates on high-yield credit could double. Raoul then explains why the importance of demographics means that inflation is not always purely a monetary phenomenon. Raoul and Ash then discuss Real Vision Creative Studios, the forthcoming Real Vision crypto channel, as well as "The Exchange," Real Vision’s brand new platform for members to share knowledge with each other. In the intro, Ash speaks to editor Jack Farley about Nikola, Softbank, as well as a week of ample credit issuance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 11, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 10, 2020 - Where and How Will Economic Growth Come Into the Picture?
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Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison is joined by Tyler Neville to discuss how the recent market sell-off may have been a temporary equity volatility-driven event due to credit spreads. They question where economic growth is going to come from and how funding in the private markets may fuel it. Real Vision reporter Haley Draznin weighs in on the juxtaposition between the real economy and the financial economy and Citigroup’s announcement today naming Jane Fraser as CEO, becoming the first woman to lead a major Wall Street bank. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 10, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 9, 2020 - The Banking Crisis No One's Talking About
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the market plumbing that’s fueling the wild price action on Wall Street. Ed and Ash first break down the tremendous pressures on banks, which find themselves in a cash-strapped economy lending to businesses with drastically-curtailed incomes. Ed then weighs the notion that central banks are ‘cartels’ in that they have a monopoly on the money supply. Ed and Ash then analyze the true effect of QE, exploring whether it will actually spur lending growth rather than just inflating asset prices. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses the JOLTS report and the woes of commercial real estate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 09, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 8, 2020 - Dramatic turmoil playing out in equity markets
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap, to discuss the dramatic turmoil playing out in equity markets. Dillian discusses how the speculative bets in derivatives markets affect price action, and provides greater clarity on Softbank’s role in the ongoing saga. Dillian and Bennington also discuss Tesla’s selloff, the upcoming Canadian election, and the U.S. dollar. In the intro, Jack Farley explores the true effect of Softbank’s call-buying. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 08, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 7, 2020 - Real Vision AMA: Crypto, Austrian Economics, and Foreign Service
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In this Real Vision Daily Briefing, managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, answer questions from Real Vision subscribers, about markets, their respective journeys, as well as Real Vision itself. Ed shares his experience of working in the foreign service, and he describes how his time spent working in the fixed income markets caused him to become more receptive to Austrian economics. Ash discusses his journey of transitioning from working in fintech to becoming a financial reporter, and he also explores his passion for cryptocurrency. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 07, 2020
The Interview-The Unwinding: Gold, The Credit Cycle, and the Monetary System - w/ Dan Oliver and Simon Mikhailovich.
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History is often overlooked and misunderstood, especially financial history. Dan Oliver of Myrmikan Capital, LLC and Simon Mikhailovich, managing director of The Bullion Reserve, explain the role of gold and the credit cycle through history, comparing today to the credit crises that have occurred roughly every 100 years since the 1720's – the Mississippi Bubble in France, Europe's reckoning with a post-Napoleon order in the 1820's, and the post-World War I calamities of the 1920's and 1930's. Using history to set the table for their discussion of gold, central banking, and the credit cycle, Dan and Simon break down how these forces push the monetary system down the dangerous "goat path" towards unwinding. Despite the seemingly dour circumstances, Oliver and Mikhailovich explain why there is still hope for wealth preservation and even incredible returns for those investors who choose not to continue down the "goat path."  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 06, 2020
The Interview - w/ Milton Berg - The Return of the Turning Point Master
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Milton Berg, Founder and CIO of Milton Berg Advisors, joins managing editor Ed Harrison to analyze the technical patterns and market internals on his radar. From his repository of over 10,000 indicators, Berg selects and discusses the ones he thinks are most compelling, such as 5-day breadth thrust, consecutive volume-up days, and the put/call ratio. Berg then observes that the equity markets are behaving like commodities, in that they are trending upward as volume spikes. Lastly, Berg and Harrison try and reconcile some oddly bullish indicators with the macro backdrop with Berg casting doubt on the long-term sustainability of central bank’s ability to ballast asset prices.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 05, 2020
Daily Briefing-Sep 3, 2020-The Hidden Forces Behind the Market Panic - w/ Raoul Pal and Ash Bennington
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Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, is joined by senior editor, Ash Bennington, to reflect on a week of extreme price action. They analyze the dramatic crash of U.S. equities on Thursday and its connection to the speculative activity in derivatives markets. After weighing the significance of Softbank’s unmasking as the big “NASDAQ Whale” that has been buying a massive amount of calls on big tech stocks, Raoul and Ash have a broader discussion about how volatility regimes evolve and bleed into each other. Raoul then provides a strategic update on his “unfolding” thesis, shares his thoughts on Europe, and explores the possibility of a W-shaped recession. Finally, Raoul and Ash discuss the “Festival of Learning” that Real Vision hosted this week, as well as give a sneak peek of Real Vision’s new community feature, “The Exchange.” In the intro, Jack Farley and Ash discuss today’s jobs report and look at market volatility. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 04, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 3, 2020 - Real Vision Dissects Today's Market Volatility.
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, to discuss the levels he’s looking at after U.S. equity markets cratered today. Dave considers whether there are structural changes occurring in the markets and provides his insight into the frothiness by drawing comparisons between now and markets in the early 2000s. He also breaks down his tactical approach and how he makes his picks. Ash is also joined by Real Vision’s Roger Hirst, sharing his thoughts on how rising implied volatility was signaling a potential drawdown in the past few weeks. Roger explains how he analyzes the VIX and the volatility curve to understand this rare market signal and expands on Ed Harrison’s points about derivatives playing into rising volatility and what bond yields converging to zero means for real yields. Roger also provides his response to James Altucher’s segment from yesterday’s Daily Briefing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 03, 2020
Daily Briefing - Sep 2, 2020 - Risk of an Equity drawdown
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to talk about the risk of an equity drawdown for retail investors in particular. Ed and Ash explore how market volatility is increasing and the fact that bond yields globally have converged to zero makes a drawdown that much more severe. They also talk about how the activity in the derivatives market is playing into the uptick in market volatility. Ash also hosts James Altucher to discuss his recent article in the New York Post about the narrative of the death of cities, and Ed and Ash provide their thoughts. In the intro, Nick Correa discusses Australia’s slide into recession after almost 3 decades of economic expansion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 02, 2020
Daily Briefing – Sept 1, 2020 – Fed’s Inflation Memo Sparked A New Leg Of The Rally: Tony Greer
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator, to discuss how the Fed’s “inflation running hot” memo has been translated by the markets. With a weakening dollar, rally in TIPS, and a steeper yield curve, Tony argues that the asset price inflation happening is the way the Fed had intended it to be and that understanding how the Fed fits into the equation will shape the investor’s understanding of the sustainability of this rally. He and Ash examine the price action and continuous rotation across different sectors as well as how commodities continuing to rip is an expression of an ever-weakening dollar. Tony then provides his forward guidance for the remainder of the week. In the intro, Nick Correa goes over the newest U.S. manufacturing numbers as well as what’s happening with copper and other industrial metals. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 01, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 31, 2020 – This Bull Market Is Built On A Very Shaky Foundation: Ed Harrison
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How is it that the real economy can be so weak while the asset markets continue to fly? Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison explores this and more with senior editor Ash Bennington. Ed and Ash discuss the ever-widening chasm between Wall Street and Main Street and use Hyman Minsky’s “two-price model” as a framework to understand this dichotomy, and they analyze how asset markets have responded differently to interest rate cuts than the markets for goods and services. In that context, they explain how the sinking labor force participation rate reveals a hidden unemployment which will keep inflation subdued. In the intro, Ash and Jack Farley discuss Jack’s recent interview with Jason Buck on the Real Vision blog, and they also interpret the re-opening woes of airlines and colleges. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 31, 2020
The Interview - w/ Parrilla and Pal - A Macro Masterclass in Portfolio Construction and Management
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Diego Parrilla, portfolio manager and author of "The Anti-Bubbles" and "The Energy World," returns to discuss his poignant predictions that are coming to fruition one-by-one in this conversation with Real Vision CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal. As well, Parrilla gives a master class on how he has developed his own macro framework and the subsequent portfolio construction and management that has served him extremely well both before and after the March crash. After establishing his current outlook, Parrilla focuses on the 5% of his portfolio dedicated to finding outsized returns using options and what he calls the goalkeepers of your portfolio.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 30, 2020
The Interview- Samra's Rules for Value Investing
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 David Samra, Portfolio Manager of Artisan Partners’ International Value Fund, speaks with Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison about the subtle art of value investing. Samra, who defines value investing simply as buying something well below its intrinsic value, shares the four criteria he and his fund use when looking at stocks: undervaluation, quality, financial strength and management alignment. He and Ed also discuss how investors can avoid the pitfalls of so-called "value-traps" – i.e. when a stock is cheap because there’s a reason it's cheap. Lastly, Samra analyzes two companies that are in his fund’s portfolio: ABB and Compass Group PLC. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 29, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 28, 2020 – Inflation is a Proxy for GDP: Ed Harrison
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Real Vision senior editor, Ash Bennington, and managing editor, Ed Harrison, react to the new U.S. consumer spending report out today from the Commerce Department. Despite gains for three consecutive months, momentum fell as the COVID-19 pandemic lingers and fiscal support dries up. They also discuss inflation rhetoric following yesterday’s announcement from the Fed to keep interest rates lower for longer as well as the Fed’s dual mandate and how they may need to retire the use of the Phillips Curve. Real Vision editor and reporter Haley Draznin is introduced for the first time to discuss her new role and what financial news stories she is keeping a close eye on. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 28, 2020
Bonus Episode: The Festival Of Learning Pre -Party With Raoul Pal & Damian
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With just days to go before The Festival of Learning kicks off on Wednesday Sept 2nd, Real Vision Co-Founder and CEO Raoul Pal and Real Vision Co-Founder and Chief Creative Officer Damian Horner hosted a Pre-Party. They announced more than 10 new additions to the festival line-up, answered your festival questions, and lots more. Don’t have a ticket yet? You’re running out of time… Get your ticket here - http://realvision.com/festival Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 28, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 27, 2020 – Sentiment is Shifting in the Markets: Tommy Thornton
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to check the pulse of the market. Tommy discusses how frothy markets have seen price action heavily skewed by sentiment, and how, with companies withholding guidance for the year, investors are flying blind. He and Ash go over some of the tools Tommy utilizes to examine market trends and momentum, explore how short sellers are currently getting smoked, and consider whether the Fed can continue its QE binge. Tommy then provides his view on the Fed’s move toward average inflation targeting and his forward outlook for the next few months. In the intro, Nick Correa provides an overview of Fed Chair Jay Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and how the Fed is shifting course regarding inflation targeting. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 27, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 26,2020 – U.S. Headed For the Fiscal Cliff in September: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to discuss risk assets, credit markets, and the fiscal cliff. Within an environment of secular stagnation, they talk about the cross-asset play between bonds and equities as well as how overall credit tightening in the financials sector and the velocity of M2 money plummeting will have pernicious effects on growth. They also consider the dichotomy of monetary and fiscal policy and why the Fed will have to continue throwing all their chips in should fiscal authorities continue to be hawkish. In the intro, Nick Correa gives an overview of the tightening of credit markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 26, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 25, 2020 – Markets Are Starting To Telegraph The Onset Of Inflation: Tony Greer
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator, to continue their discussion of the wild inflation trade. They first look at ExxonMobil getting the boot from the Dow Jones and how it reflects a weak energy sector and the rotation of tech upward, describing how the boom across tech subsectors are correlated to Fed policies. Tony also notes how the baton has been passed over to commodities as well as they continue exploding and how a sell-off in bonds will sustain the commodities’ rally while denoting a rise in inflation. He closes off by providing an update on his thoughts on the DXY, why dollar weakness is a part of the commodities bull case, and what might be driving the rallies in the yen, euro, and Aussie dollar. In the intro, Nick Correa talks about tech’s ongoing dominance in the market by looking at Dow Jones’ makeover and how tech companies are lining up to file their IPOs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 25, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 24, 2020 – Real Vision Talks K-Shaped Recovery, Tesla, Money Fund Fee Waivers
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a series of financial news stories -- from the so-called “K-shaped” recovery to the struggles American college towns are facing to Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s ringing the alarm bell on TikTok. They also evaluate Tesla’s meteoric rise, looking at comments made by Joel Greenblatt, a legendary investor as well as a Real Vision guest, that he “can’t explain it." Lastly, Ed and Ash scrutinize the rise of “investing gurus” on social media platforms. In the intro, Jack takes another look at the U.S. housing market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 24, 2020
The Interview- w/ Simon Dixon & Raoul Pal- Banking the Future
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Simon Dixon, CEO of bnktothefuture.com, joins Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, to break down the intersection of the crypto world and the world of traditional finance. Starting his career in investment banking and joining the monetary reform movement along the way, Dixon understood early on the shortcomings of the fiat money system. He and Pal talk about applying traditional financial ideas to the crypto world and argue that doing so will create a stronger financial system for the future. Pal and Dixon discuss the early days of bitcoin, the intersection between central banks and crypto technologies, and their ideas about the relationship between bitcoin, dollars, and gold. Finally, they talk about how the principles of behavioral economics could impact the interplay between fiat currencies, cryptocurrencies, and the composition of future of financial markets.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 23, 2020
The Interview -w/ Marko Papic and Mike Green -- The Next Decade for Geopolitics and Markets
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We can all remember when geopolitical tensions and trade wars were the most important headlines seeming to move global markets up or down depending upon their tenor, but recently the global pandemic and the associated policy responses have brought the focus home with all eyes squarely on domestic fiscal policy. In this interview with Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisors, Marko Papic, partner and chief strategist at Clocktower Group, looks forward at the coming decade of the 20's and explores the growing importance of government consumption and investment to GDP, the countries and assets that will emerge as winners and losers from the rewiring of the global economy, and why the cold war is a poor analogy for U.S. relations with China. As well, they discuss why news of the European Union’s death has been greatly exaggerated and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 22, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 21, 2020 – W-Shaped Recession Isn’t Off the Table: Raoul Pal
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is joined by senior editor Ash Bennington to reflect on the future of markets at this unique juncture. Raoul begins by giving Ash a glimpse of how his “unfolding” thesis has evolved, particularly with regard to the dollar. The discussion of currencies naturally leads Raoul and Ash to talk about the ongoing meltdown of the Turkish Lira (TRY). Raoul explains the correlation between Bitcoin and the TRY and explores whether it’s a sign of capital flight by Turkish investors. After a brief detour into New York City’s woes, Raoul and Ash consider how this consumer-led recession is widening the divide between skilled and unskilled workers, as well as between the rich and the poor. They then discuss Joe Biden’s recent nomination, the upcoming presidential election, and the importance of evaluating markets in a non-partisan way. In the intro, Jack Farley notes a stark contrast in the PMI data between Europe and the U.S. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 21, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 20, 2020 – The Best Thing For Asset Prices Is A Deep Recession: Roger Hirst
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts managing editor, Roger Hirst, to discuss ongoing global monetary and fiscal policy support, how central banks may need to adjust their course, and what the long-term ramifications would look like. Ash and Roger review the latest FOMC minutes and consider the effects of looser inflation targeting and the implementation of yield curve control. They dig deeper into the push and pull of inflation targeting by looking at the risks of aiming for reflation and ending up with stagflation. In an environment of low rates and low yields within a deflationary structure, Roger and Ash explore how aggregate debt and growth could be negatively impacted in the long run. Finally, they look at how these scenarios would be expressed in currency markets—the continuing disparity between the dollar and the DXY and the growing pressure for a weaker euro and yen. In the intro, Peter Cooper examines the scaling back of U.S. dollar liquidity swaps, the newest unemployment numbers, and the FOMC minutes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 20, 2020
Daily Briefing – Aug 19, 2020 – Euro Strength Driving Dollar Weakness, Inflationary Breakout Stories: Roger Hirst
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Roger Hirst, to take a deep dive into the apex predator of currency markets: the U.S. dollar. Roger argues that the size and speed of the dollar’s fall is driven more by euro strength, flowing out from the ECB’s move toward debt mutualization, than it is by dollar weakness. He explains how certain EM currencies are still weakening as compared to the dollar and how the ECB and the BOJ may find it difficult to hit their inflation targets should their currencies continue to strengthen. Roger also expounds on how bond yield convergence between the U.S. and Europe is contributing to euro strength. In light of these potential structural challenges and the supply and demand bottlenecks due to COVID-19, Ash and Roger then explore how to play the trade and the ongoing bifurcation of financial markets and the economy. In the intro, Peter Cooper looks at Apple’s $2 trillion valuation and Target’s Q2 earnings report. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 19, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 18, 2020 – The Inflation Trade Just Caught Fire Again: Tony Greer
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts Tony Greer, editor of The Morning Navigator Newsletter, to discuss the S&P 500 breaking record highs and the wild inflation trade. Tony considers where inflation is cropping up and how dollar weakness is connected to a dovish Fed. He also talks about the biggest market movers—bitcoin, FANG stocks, precious metals, and miners—and where the market may be headed should low interest rates persist. Ash and Tony explore what is happening in the housing market and what is influencing its activity. They top off their conversation by looking at the risks of momentum strategies to novice investors, ESG strategies catching fire, and Tony’s approach to position sizing. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses the kick-off of the Democratic National Convention and the latest on CalPERS. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 18, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 17, 2020 – Goldman’s S&P Target By No Means Out of the Question: Max Wiethe
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, is joined by editor, Max Wiethe, to talk gold, stocks, housing, and New York. After Ash analyzes the dismal Empire Manufacturing reading, he and Max discuss the NAHB housing number and explore what it means for the future of New York as professionals flee big cities for the safety of the suburbs. Ash and Max then interpret Goldman Sachs' increase of its price target for the S&P 500, which leads into a discussion of the future of U.S. equities more broadly. Lastly, Ash and Max discuss the case for and against precious metals and emphasize understanding both sides of the trade. In the intro, Jack explores dislocations in the U.S. housing market, looks at Berkshire Hathaway's investment in Barrick Gold Corp, and gives a sneak peak for Tuesday and Wednesday for Real Vision's "Precious Metals Week." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 17, 2020
The Interview - The Dawn of Chaos w/ Hugh Hendry and Luke Gromen
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The global economy had been running higher for over a decade, and the coronavirus has been a major speed bump. But what happens when central banks have replaced the airbag with a dagger? This is the very question that Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, explores alongside Luke Gromen, president and founder of Forrest for the Trees. Hendry and Gromen explore the fate of the U.S. dollar through the lens of Charles Kindleberger's theory about "monetary hegemony."They analyze the various interest rates and current accounts of different countries and break down how these nations manage their exposure to commodity risk.  Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 16, 2020
The Interview w/ Mike Green & Sri Thiruvadanthai - Policy Response to COVID-19 and the Fate of the United States.
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Mike Green of Logica Capital sat down with Srinivas Thiruvadanthai, director of research at the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center, in the last interview to be filmed in Real Vision's studios before the world and our daily routines would be drastically changed by unforeseeable total lockdowns. A lot has changed since then, and in this new interview, they reexamine their outlooks with the advantage of fresh data. Together they discuss the side effects of policies like total lockdown, increased unemployment insurance, and PPP while also examining the social and economic undercurrents that, although accelerated by COVID-19, were established long before it arrived on our shores. Using historical parallels to the Roman Empire, Sri and Mike also think about their long-term outlooks for the U.S. and its currency, taking a view that the U.S. is not in its dying days. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 15, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 14, 2020 – The Crypto Space Is The Best Trade In The World: Raoul Pal
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Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, is joined by senior editor, Ash Bennington, to reflect on the current state of markets. Raoul and Ash discuss the upcoming “precious metals week,” and Raoul shares his views on gold, silver, and mining stocks and provides insight into his trading framework. Raoul and Ash then turn to cryptocurrency: Raoul analyzes Bitcoin’s risk/reward characteristics, and Ash details the technological breakthroughs of Ethereum 2.0 with Raoul maintaining it is the macro that is driving the extreme price action of this nascent asset class. In the intro, Jack gives a sneak peek of next week’s interviews on precious metals. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 14, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 13, 2020 – Private Portfolios Skewing Toward Long Duration Assets As Bond Proxies: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to discuss secular stagnation, initial jobless claims, and the fiscal cliff. They begin by exploring Ed’s takeaways from his interviews with Milton Berg and Charlie McElligott, their contrarian stances, and how price signal distortion is pointing toward secular stagnation. Ed and Ash also parse the differences between seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims and how the treatment of the data shapes the way an investor understands employment trends during the pandemic. They wrap up their discussion by considering USPS funding, the lapse in fiscal aid, and the significant political tail risks ahead for this election cycle. In the intro, Peter Cooper reviews the latest initial jobless claims numbers and the plight of essential workers. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 13, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 12, 2020 – Millennials Are Trading On Hype: Robert Leonard
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Robert Leonard, VP of Growth and Innovation at The Investor’s Podcast Network, to discuss how novice and millennial investors are currently navigating the markets. Robert explains how the real economy and markets are currently disconnected and how that lays the foundation for a future market correction. He also dives into his investment framework and how he combines both value and momentum strategies. Ash and Robert wrap up their discussion by examining how novice and millennial investors tactically and philosophically approach markets, especially in the past few months, and what the potential ramifications of that will be for this demographic. In the intro, Peter Cooper shares how airlines and Disney are currently working to conserve cash flow in an environment of suppressed demand. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 12, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 11, 2020 – Why Aren’t Bond Yields Rising?
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Tyler Neville to discuss secular stagnation and the financial chicanery happening in markets. With stocks rising above global GDP, Ash and Tyler consider how the increase in bond issuance has been electric all while yields aren’t rising. Tyler also argues how people look at markets through a political lens, but not a demographic lens, and how demographics can further shape an investor's understanding of what’s occurring. They also talk about the DXY in juxtaposition with the federal deficit, the relationship between spot gold and gold miners, and what the future holds for pension funds. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 11, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 10, 2020 – Buy Signals May Actually Be Sell Signals in Equity Markets
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Real Vision senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to discuss the pivotal forces driving markets. They discuss bank balance sheets in Europe and how compression of net interest margins are damaging bank earnings. Ash discusses supply constraints of consumer staples, and Ed analyzes volatility, market breadth, and “bear steepening” through the lens of his recent interviews with Milton Berg and Charlie McElligott. They also look forward to a market of lower growth and higher prices. In the intro, Jack analyze Berkshire Hathaway’s recent Q2 earnings report. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 10, 2020
The Interview - Druckenmiller Protege on Tech Investing and Developing Your Own Framework
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We all get our start somewhere, and often the formative experiences of our early years shape our career path for years to come. Beeneet Kothari, managing partner at Tekne, was fortunate enough to spend a large chunk of his formative years at Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Capital where he became the youngest portfolio manager in the history of the firm. In this interview with Christian Alexander, headhunter and author of Macro Link, Kothari outlines his biggest takeaways from working with legends of finance and eventually starting and running his own successful fund. He explains why some of the most important lessons he learned are not hard and fast rules but ways to think, and why even after working at one of the most successful macro shops in the world, he built his fund with a narrow focus on his first love of tech investing. Additionally, he provides his views on bargain hunting, diversification and portfolio concentration, provides his outlook for technology investing in general, and argues against thinking of technology as a sector in the traditional sense.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 09, 2020
The Interview-The Austrian Perspective on Recoveries, Bubbles, and Monetary Policy.
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For decades, the schools of economic thought that have informed monetary and fiscal policy decisions have been decidedly not Austrian; but, outside of the echo chambers of Washington D.C., Austrian School economics is in a boom as academics and civilians alike see the predictions and promises of the mainstream fall short. Guided by his Austrian views, Robert P. Murphy, senior fellow at the Mises Institute, has been astute with many of his predictions of the side effects of mainstream economic policies. Together with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, Murphy reintroduces the core of Austrian economics and compares and contrasts with other major economic schools of thought in relation to how each try to make sense of past and recent economic developments and the responses to them. He also attempts to answer the question of whether the Fed's monetary bazooka has ushered in a swift end to the recent business cycle and set us on course for another underwhelming economic expansion.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 08, 2020
Daily Briefing - Aug 7 2020 w/ Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal.
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is joined by senior editor Ash Bennington to discuss the current state of different asset classes at this unique juncture. Raoul shares his view on the dollar, precious metals, and bitcoin. He also provides a strategic update on his unfolding thesis. Raoul guides viewers from the hope event into the insolvency phase as high-frequency data show slowdowns in economic activity. Raoul and Ash discuss why they think bitcoin is a favorable trade, and they explore why buying calls on the VIX and puts on the S&P 500 could ballast a gold-heavy portfolio. In the intro, Jack Farley discusses today's Employment Situation Report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 07, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 6, 2020 – GDP Looks Backward; Stock Market Looks Forward : David Bahnsen
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Senior editor Ash Bennington speaks to David Bahnsen, founder and managing partner of The Bahnsen Group, about the economics of re-opening and the state of the U.S. equity markets. Bahnsen weighs the risks and rewards of reopening the U.S. economy during the ongoing pandemic, using the Swedish "no-lockdown" model as an example. Bahnsen and Bennington also discuss the methodology of calculating GDP change as well as the widening chasm between the S&P 500 and the drastic economy contraction. Bahnsen explains this bifurcation by noting that the GDP looks backward while the stock market looks forward. In the intro, Jack Farley reviews the latest initial claims data and gives a strategic overview of the dramatic price action in the Turkish Lira. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 06, 2020
Daily Briefing - Aug 5, 2020 - The Pandemic Is Everything Right Now: Ed harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to discuss some of the latest data coming out, revealing the health of the US economy. They go over the July ADP Nonfarm Payroll number, what the disappointing results say about where the economy stands, and why the pandemic really is something to seriously consider as a market driver. They also talk about the uptick of coronavirus cases globally, the Swedish outcome, and how the world would get closer to a new normal. They wrap up their discussion by exploring bifurcation, the divide between the real economy and the financial economy, and when that reality becomes important to markets as well as the bifurcation between the market winners and losers during the pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 05, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 4, 2020 – Central Banks Don’t Have Things Under Control: Mike "Mish" Shedlock
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Senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by Mike "Mish" Shedlock of TheStreet.com to discuss gold and the looming fiscal cliff. Shedlock analyzes the purported "short squeeze" on gold, shining a light on the various players in the future as well as physical markets for gold during its ascendant rally. Bennington and Shedlock then analyze the dysfunction in Washington and gyrating asset markets through the lens of expiring unemployment benefits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 04, 2020
Daily Briefing – August 3, 2020 – Downside Risk Has Not Been Fully Appreciated By Markets: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Ed Harrison, to reckon with the idea of whether a COVID-19 vaccine will be the “medical bailout” everyone is staking their hopes on. Ash and Ed give an overview of where many major nations are currently in their battle against the pandemic and consider if this new normal is truly sustainable in the long-term. They also discuss the continued move toward a virtual world, how this is an omen of absolute collapse in certain industries, and how the pandemic has become a politically charged subject in the midst of a US election cycle. In the intro, Nick Correa shares some of the data from the Household Pulse Survey, revealing the ways fiscal stimulus has made up a portion of aggregate spending for American consumers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 03, 2020
The Interview - Angrynomics: Twilight of the Technocrats w/ Mark Blyth and Eric Lonergan
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The neoliberal model of free trade, open borders, and liberalized capital flows is under assault. Traditional economic models with rational agents and efficient markets don't accord with reality, and people are starting to notice. Even recent advances in behavioral economics have failed to capture this disconnect. Mark Blyth, William R. Rhodes Professor of International Economics at Brown University, and Eric Lonergan, macro hedge fund manager at M&G Investments, explore and seek to resolve these conflicts in their new book, "Angrynomics." Blyth and Lonergan examine how the outsourcing of economic management to grey-suited bureaucrats is fomenting a populist backlash that is redrawing political battle lines and molding the destiny of different asset classes in ways few fully grasp. They analyze the recent largesse of central banks as a sort of asymmetric put-option which rewards those who hold assets and punishes those who don't. Blyth and Lonergan also explore potential solutions, which include dual interest rates, citizens' wealth fund, and - yes - even helicopter money. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 02, 2020
The Interview - The Spirit of St. Louis: A View From Inside the Fed w/ David Andolfatto
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David Andolfatto, economist and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joins Pedro da Costa, senior reporter at Market News International, to give a peek behind the curtain into the Fed’s monetary policy at this unique market juncture. Andolfatto analyzes the most recent economic data and estimates that we are headed towards a "W-shaped" recovery. He then describes the remaining tools the Fed still has at its disposal. Da Costa and Andolfatto also analyze the pandemic as an accelerant of secular trends, such as working from home and rapid adoption of technology, as well of the lasting impacts of this acceleration. They also explore helicopter money, the commoditization of consumer loans, as well as the looming threat of inflation. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 01, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 31, 2020 – Passive Investing Is A Misnomer: Mike Green
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Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision favorite Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisors. Mike Green gives a strategic update on the markets, and, through the lens of his renowned critique of passive investing, analyzes flow data on ETFs and mutual funds to conclude that the markets could be due for some turmoil in the coming months. Green and Bennington also discuss today’s interview with Green and Rob Arnott, one of the world’s leading quantitative investors. Green also shares his views on "volmaggedon" and the similarities between short-vol and bonds. In the intro, Jack reviews recent FAANG earnings and gives a preview of Jason Buck’s three-part “Ahead of the Curve,” a deep-dive into volatility featuring interviews with Chris Cole, Jerry Haworth, and Bastian Bolesta. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 31, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 30, 2020 – Dollar Decline Narrative is Exaggerated: Marc Chandler
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, hosts Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, to discuss currency markets, the dollar’s reserve status, and the world’s loosening grip on the goal of economic efficiency. Chandler and Harrison parse how a seemingly weaker US recovery is expressing itself through currency markets. Chandler also shares his thoughts on why the dollar losing reserve status and the loss of US hegemony are not as compelling by appealing to the dollar’s cyclical trends. Finally, they discuss how nations are reducing their dependency on economic efficiency as the end all, be all, what that looks like, and how the pandemic is catalyzing these trends. In the intro, Nick Correa reviews the latest GDP numbers for the U.S. economy and what implications it has over the next few months. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 30, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 29, 2020 – The Fed is the Dominant Agent in this Market: Ash Bennington
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, and senior editor, Ash Bennington, come together to discuss the Fed in light of the FOMC’s announcement today. Ed and Ash drive home how the Fed, at this time, is the dominant agent in these markets and how investor’s feelings regarding Fed action can interfere with one’s ability to make money. Because of the Fed’s mandate, Ed and Ash discuss why they are “the only game in town” and how it’s led them to respond to the crisis with unprecedented force. They then consider the weight of the arguments concerning the dollar losing reserve currency status and examine the implications of the Fed’s latest announcement. In the intro, Nick Correa covers what’s happening in gold markets and whether the rally is “overhyped” as well as Santander’s and Barclays’ earnings announcements. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 29, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 28, 2020 – Real Vision Talks Politics, Stimulus, and Blockchain
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins Max Wiethe to cover the types of U.S. stimulus that have been implemented so far, the battle happening in Congress, and the crypto space. Ash and Max do a deep-dive into the types of monetary policy the Fed can implement and the alphabet soup of facilities they have set up to respond to the crisis. They also discuss at length what the current negotiations could mean for the 2020 elections, how the robustness of the recovery is what matters at this stage, and how the dysfunction of Congress is on display. Finally, they talk about gold breaking its all-time highs, bitcoin nearing $11,000, and the long-term view of the crypto space. In the intro, Nick Correa talks about the newly-unveiled proposal from the Republicans for fiscal stimulus and the sources of tension as Congress races toward passing a relief bill. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 28, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 27, 2020 - Dollar Strength is Off the Table Now: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts managing editor, Ed Harrison, to break down the recent price action in gold and bitcoin, and to analyze the health of the U.S. economy as COVID-19 continues to spread. Ash and Ed also consider how the dollar continues to weaken and where rates are headed, as well as speculate on what the next iteration of US fiscal policy will shape up to be. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at the plumbing of the gold market. Sponsor Link - Keep Coming Back : http://keepcomingbackpodcast.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 27, 2020
The Interview - How Will China Emerge From the COVID-19 Crisis? w/ George Magnus
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In many ways, China is at the center of the public health and economic crisis that has gripped the entire world for most of 2020, but recently more focus has been placed on the U.S. and Europe. George Magnus, research associate for the China Centre at Oxford University, helps viewers revert their gaze back towards the global superpower sized elephant in the room. Together with Real Vision's Ed Harrison, Magnus examines the current state of affairs for China from the perspective of the western countries left with a bad taste in their mouths after China's handling of the COVID-19 outbreak, but also from the internal perspective of a country looking to restart its growth engine and position itself for a world with fewer allies and a new economy with less reliance on traditional global trade partners. In addition, they examine the health of the Chinese banking system, the return of credit growth in China, and the potential for western sanctions and the outright weaponization of the U.S. dollar.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 26, 2020
The Interview - Lining Up The Dollar Dominoes w/ Brent Johnson and Lyn Alden
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Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, joins Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy for an in-depth discussion on the fate of the world's most important currency: the U.S. dollar. Johnson gives a strategic update on his "Dollar Milkshake" thesis and explains his bullish long-term view of the dollar, based on the outstanding glut of dollar-denominated debt. Alden considers this analysis and introduces a less bullish view, which she bases on the U.S.'s high trade deficit and negative net international investment position (NIIP). Using many detailed charts, Alden and Johnson compare their ideas and reach something of a synthesis between their two views. The pair also reflect on the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, and they also explore whether a move to a multipolar currency world is possible. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 25, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 24, 2020 – Inter-Asset Correlations Can Be Telling: Max Wiethe
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Senior editor Ash Bennington is joined by editor Max Wiethe to reflect on a week of divergent price action. Ash and Max analyze the extreme rallies in precious metals, with Max describing his macro framework through the lens of his Real Vision Live interview with Greg Weldon. Ash then explores the rapidly approaching fiscal cliff, which leads into a philosophical discussion on financial journalists’ penchant for making uncertain connections between news headlines and moves in asset prices. Max describes his view on the dollar, and Ash and Max close by examining the dislocations between and within different equity indices. In the intro, Jack Farley goes over the latest economic data and explores the recent bid to rescue Brooks Brothers from bankruptcy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 24, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 23, 2020 – We Are In A Secular Stagnating Market: Tyler Neville
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, joins Real Vision’s Tyler Neville to break down his ideas around secular stagnating markets, demographics, and pensions. Tyler discusses how mega corporations are no longer playing to win, but playing to not lose and how the Fed’s monetary policies, especially in response to the pandemic, entrenches calcified companies, rendering the zombification effect. Ed and Tyler also examine how markets no longer reward innovative ideas with capital, but rather have converted into a debt refinancing mechanism and encourages a rentier market. They wrap their discussion by exploring how lack of funding will push pensions to go risk-on, whether Tesla can be likened to Amazon, and what may be coming to markets next. In the intro, Nick Correa shares the state of Kentucky recently filed lawsuit against Blackstone and KKR and how this highlights the extreme weaknesses and woes of the pensions industry at large. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 23, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 22, 2020 – Gold Rally Could Be Signaling Inflation Fears: Jim Bianco
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, hosts Jim Bianco of Bianco Research to discuss the Fed and Judy Shelton’s recent nomination, the significance of flows, and his forward look on markets and the economy. Bianco and Harrison first analyze the extreme opposition of Shelton’s nomination as a Fed Governor and consider how the Fed has been a domineering force in supporting markets for the past few months. Bianco then breaks down the types of retail investors and why their influence can prove to be powerful in driving market movements. They end their discussion by talking about the recent rally in gold and silver, and Bianco’s perspective on the bifurcation of markets and the economy, whether stimulus can be effective forever, and the damaged psyche of consumers. In the intro, Nick Correa gives an overview of the status of the US’s new relief bill and how the Federal Pandemic Unemployment Compensation program will end sooner than most Americans believe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 22, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 21, 2020 – There Is Only One Story: Europe – Ed Harrison
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to talk about how EU leaders have closed in on its landmark recovery deal. Ash and Ed examine how European political dynamics have shifted and why this may not really be Europe’s “Hamiltonian moment.” They look at how federalism has played out in the US, how the EU differs in its makeup, and what existential threats the EU faces should their efforts fail. They wrap up their discussion with the unique threats the EU may face with coronavirus should it boomerang back to Europe. In the intro, Nick Correa covers the EU recovery deal’s details and shares some of the difficulties in reaching a deal. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 21, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 20, 2020 – Jobless Claims Will Rise By 500,000 Over Next Month: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, hosts managing editor, Ed Harrison, to analyze the economic news of the day. Ed and Ash examine the recent jobs figures, and Ed describes why he believes the current jobless claims may be significantly underreported. They also discuss gold, and analyze ongoing progress of the EU recovery deal. In the intro, Jack Farley places in context recent movements in the dollar, yen, and euro. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 20, 2020
The Interview - Debt Deflation Holy Grail w/ Richard Koo
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Real Vision Managing Editor Ed Harrison talks to Richard Koo, Chief Economist at Nomura Research Institute. Koo is famous for his work on balance sheet recessions, a rare type of recession where drastic liquidity injections fail to increase the money supply because they remain trapped in the financial system, as there's no low demand for loans since companies focus on minimizing debt rather than maximizing profits. He and Harrison discuss this framework in detail, and use it to analyze our current economic crisis the world faces. Koo draws a contrast between the traditional balance sheet recession, where a bursting of a debt-financed bubble causes a collapse in asset prices and an emergence of debt overhang, with what he refers to as a "pandemic recession," where an exogenous collapse of economic activity leads to disappearing income and a tightening of financial conditions. Koo and Harrison also discuss the various toolkits available to central banks and fiscal authorities worldwide, and Koo shares what he thinks what a sound policy response might look like. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 19, 2020
The Interview - Inside the COVID-19 Vaccine Project w/ Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad
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Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director of the Emerging Infectious Diseases Program at Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, joins Ash Bennington to explain what the Department of Defense's coronavirus vaccine research project is doing to combat the pandemic. Dr. Modjarrad breaks down the different factors that have culminated to increase the difficulty of creating a vaccine. He shares details on the vaccine that his research group is creating with nanoparticles that bind to the virus itself. Finally, he answers questions like, "how long will vaccine deployment take?", "what effects do mutations have on the success of vaccines?", and "how does one protect themself from COVID-19?" from the perspective of an infectious disease doctor on the inside of the scientific effort to mitigate this deadly pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 18, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 17, 2020 - Gold Miners The Only Action In Town: Raoul Pal
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is joined by senior editor Ash Bennington to reflect on weakness in the banking sector and the odd flatness that has characterized the market for the past month. Raoul gives a taste of “Afterhours with Raoul,” in which he goes over how to build a macro framework and size position. Raoul and Ash also explore whether the Fed is suppressing volatility and take a look at CLOs through the lens of the most recent episode of Ahead of the Curve. In the intro, Jack examines Netflix’s plunge and the 30-year mortgage rate reaching an all-time low. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 17, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 16, 2020 – The Reopening Has Stalled: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest jobless claims numbers and its particular significance this week. They start off by discussing Ed’s latest interview with Robert P. Murphy and Austrian economics. They then distinguish the difference between non-seasonally adjusted data and seasonally adjusted data and why that’s critical to understand the news coverage of this week’s jobless numbers. Ed and Ash end their discussion on Bank of America’s earnings, why several major US banks have had mixed results this week, and what it says about the embedded inequalities in the system. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses California Resources and why their bankruptcy is a foreshadowing for companies who are in trouble and are tapping into credit markets to carry them through the pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 16, 2020
Bonus Episode - The Interview - Steve Keen -- We Need a Private Debt Jubilee
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In these unprecedented times of economic stress, the mainstream playbook has been tossed out the window as fiscal and monetary authorities continue to throw everything but the kitchen sink at the problem of synchronized global economic downturn. In this interview with Ed Harrison, heterodox economist Steve Keen argues that, although some of these policies are headed in the right direction, many are completely missing the core issue – ungodly levels of private sector debt. Together, Keen and Harrison discuss common misconceptions about private debt, MMT, and the circumstances where ballooning public debt led to hyperinflation. They also break down Keen's argument that the exogenous nature of the COVID crisis might improve the palatability of a much-needed private debt jubilee. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 16, 2020
Daily Briefing – July 15, 2020 – Fed Tightening May Be Defining Factor for Equities and the Dollar: Roger Hirst
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in markets and macro. Bennington and Hirst consider the divergence of large-cap stock indexes and small-cap stock indexes, the DXY falling with the dollar weakening, and how the momentum of US equity markets is slowing due to Fed balance sheet tightening. They also dive into banking and explain why the recent earnings reports for some of the US’s large banks reveal the bifurcation of the real economy and financial markets. In the intro, Peter Cooper talks about Goldman Sachs’ 2020 Q2 earnings and explains why it exceeded expectations by a wide margin. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 15, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 14, 2020 - The System is Rigged Against Ordinary People: Ed Harrison
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss Q2 earnings for banks such as JPMorgan and Wells Fargo and use it as a barometer to talk about market cycles. Ash and Ed consider how the abysmal results in financials can cloud our understanding of where markets are at in the cycle. They also break down the sector weightings in the S&P 500, examining how severely underrepresented certain industries are and how that is distorting equity market performance. They also ponder the ways in which the system is currently “rigged,” the sorts of inequities that arise out of it, and how the pandemic is exposing it all. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses the Q2 earnings for JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, and analyzes how effective the Payroll Protection Program has been in supporting small businesses in the US. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 14, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 13, 2020 - Record Tesla Stock Price Reeks of Desperation - Ed Harrison
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Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts Ed Harrison for a conversation about life and markets during coronavirus. Using Tesla as a jumping off point, they take an existentialist turn and explore what might bring people to speculate on a stock that, by all traditional metrics, is extremely overvalued. Ed proffers that people who take a gamble on Tesla and other retail favorites do so out of a sense of desperation in order to feel a sense of control, at a time when they feel powerless. Ash provides additional color on Ed’s theory by analyzing the impact of fiscal stimulus. Ed and Ash also they frame their thinking through today’s interview with Mark Blyth and Eric Lonergan. In the intro, Jack Farley explores the coming “fiscal cliff” in the U.S., and puts Tesla’s extreme price action in context. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 13, 2020
The Interview - Professor Richard Werner joins Hugh Hendry - More Power To The Princes
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Professor Richard Werner joins Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, for a deep-dive into the world of central banking. They explore the process of credit creation and examine the fundamental role it plays in inflating asset bubbles, the popping of which can wreck whole economies but can be very good for central bankers. They analyze the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) remarkable record of credit expansion, including its use of lending quotas, through the lens of Werner’' renowned book, "Princes of the Yen," which was a number one bestseller in Japan. They also look at the ongoing efforts of the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) to provide liquidity during this unprecedented global crisis at all costs, particularly debt monetization and quantitative easing (a term Werner himself coined), which Werner suggests could lead to a widespread bank nationalization – or a "Sovietization" of the banking sector, as he says. Werner argues that the ECB is undemocratic and that it bears a closer similarity to the Reichsbank (1876 – 1945) than it does to the Bundesbank (1957-present). Hendry and Werner conclude their lengthy discussion by looking forward: they scrutinize the current and future monarchs of the global monetary order, who are no longer princes but who may be on their way to becoming kings. Hugh Hendry can be found on Twitter at @hendry_hugh and on Instagram at hughhendryofficial. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 12, 2020
The Interview - Stephanie Kelton -- MMT and the Deficit Myth
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By both surprise and necessity, Modern Monetary Theory is here at our doorstep. And with neither major party remaining as the party of 'fiscal responsibility', it seems there is little standing in the way of MMT becoming the premise for US government spending initiatives. That’s why it is more important than ever to understand the thinking behind MMT and the common misconceptions surrounding it -- and to prepare your portfolio for its increased acceptance by politicians who view it as an invitation to spend. In this interview with Marshall Auerback of the Levy Economics Institute, Stephanie Kelton breaks down the arguments put forward in her new book, "The Deficit Myth: Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy". Together they discuss why MMT does not give governments carte blanche to spend indiscriminately. Kelton also articulates why comparing government debts to private debts is flawed. She explores the varying gradations of monetary sovereignty as it relates to constraints on countries potentially using MMT as an economic framework. Finally, Kelton touches on the 'job guarantee vs. UBI' debate and much more in this interview that is sure to be a learning experience for MMT skeptics and believers alike. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 11, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 10, 2020 - The V-Shape Recovery Idea is Dead: Raoul Pal
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Is the idea of a V-shaped recovery dead? Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal and senior editor Ash Bennington explore that question in depth through the lens of the virulent reemergence of COVID-19 in the U.S. Raoul and Ash break down the alarming rise of cases coming out of many states and analyze the effect that this ominous second wave will have on markets. They also discuss Ash’s seminal interview today with Dr. Kayvon Modjarrad, director for Emerging Infectious Diseases at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. Raoul is firm in belief that the human reaction function is what matters and that the virus’s effect on behavior is more significant than the virus itself. Raoul concludes that caution is prudent in these uncertain times and that the bond market is sending the clearest signal to investors. In the intro, Peter Cooper examines market news and coronavirus data. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 10, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 9, 2020-Fee-Free and Passive Trading Are Distorting Price Discovery: Tyler Neville
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Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison hosts Real Vision's Tyler Neville to discuss the ever-expanding chasm in markets between fundamentals and flows. Drawing upon his experience on the buy-side, Tyler analyzes how market forces such as commission free trading and the widespread adoption of passive ETFs have distorted price discovery, and he and Ed explore whether this means that the bull market mania could last longer than the bears expect. Ed is skeptical and argues that the pain on Main Street must eventually move to Wall Street as well. Ed and Tyler also explore how macro tailwinds such as demographics affect the pension system. In the intro, Peter Cooper looks at job destruction that's currently happening in several different countries and what the long-term effects the pandemic may have on employment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 09, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 8, 2020 - ETF Inflows Could Make Market Vulnerable - Ed Harrison
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Ash and Ed first dive into recently released interviews with Stephanie Kelton and with George Magnus and share their takeaways from those pieces. They also talk about how flows are buoying equities, the “summer lull” that is occurring in markets, and the developing macro picture that could pull the rug out from underneath unsuspecting investors in the next few months. In the intro, Peter Cooper explains how coronavirus has affected millions of Americans’ living situations and what lies ahead for both renters and homeowners. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 08, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 7, 2020 - Macro Backdrop Signals Slowing Global Growth.
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Managing editor Ed Harrison joins Dan Russo, CMT, chief market strategist at Chaikin Analytics, to discuss the latest developments and trends in markets. With his blend of technical and fundamental analysis, Russo shares where he’s seeing relative strength in equities and explains why understanding the macro picture and the interconnected relationships of various asset classes is important for equity traders. Russo and Harrison also dive into currencies, bonds, and the macro trends, especially as it pertains to inflation. In the intro, Peter Cooper talks about remittance and why it’s a critical piece of puzzle for the global economic recovery. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 07, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 6, 2020 - Sentiment Is All That Matters
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Max Wiethe joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss sentiment, the 2020 election, and forward earnings and what sort of impact that will have on markets in the coming months. Max and Ed first break down Peter Atwater’s interview from last week on Real Vision, examining his thoughts on current market sentiment and US politics, which then leads them to consider what a Democratic sweep would mean for fiscal policy and how MMT policy would affect equities. They also talk about the growing consensus around the Fed’s indirect influence on equities, what variables would challenge the narrative of the Fed’s omnipotence, and how the growing number of companies suspending EPS estimates makes the future that much more unclear. In the intro, Peter Cooper shines a light on Warren Buffett's recent purchase of major natural gas pipelines from energy giant Dominion Energy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 06, 2020
The Interview w/ William White & Brent Johnson- July 5, 2020
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At few moments in history have the policies of global central banks been as important as they are today. Former central bank insider and senior fellow at the C.D. Howe Institute, William White, tells Santiago Capital's Brent Johnson just how we’ve gotten to this point. Dr. White puts forward the nuanced view that he is glad policymakers have implemented certain tools to lessen the impact of the crisis while also driving home the point that at best we are kicking the can down the road. The pair also discuss central bankers' recent abdication to fiscal authorities, the political limitations of policy tools supporting foreign markets, and the fate of the global dollar system. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 06, 2020
The Interview w/ Kyle Bass & Raoul Pal - The State of Global Macro through Coronavirus Chaos
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Kyle Bass, founder and CIO of Hayman Capital, joins Real Vision's Raoul Pal to break down the state of global macro. Bass talks about the bifurcation between capital markets and the real economy due to unprecedented monetary policy response. Bass and Pal discuss both temporary and permanent behavioral changes in response to coronavirus shutdowns and the potential for the global economy to stave off an insolvency crisis. Finally, Bass shares his perspective on U.S. – China tensions and provides viewers with a few ideas for investments that can help portfolios navigate today's uncertain markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 04, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 3, 2020 - Special Edition
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In this special, Fourth of July edition of the Daily Briefing, senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison sit down to answer questions from our viewers concerning everything from crypto to markets and more.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 04, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 2, 2020 - Will The US Pay the Price for Reopening?
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Bennington and Harrison dive into the June jobs report and talk about how it fits into the overall picture of the US's economic recovery. They also explore the implications and future trajectory of the coronavirus's spread and its continuing impact on the economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - July 1, 2020 - Crypto Can Change the World
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Editor Max Wiethe joins senior editor Ash Bennington to debrief Real Vision’s Crypto Gathering conference. Ash shares his insights from some of the panels he participated in and his recommended pieces of content for viewers if they didn’t have an opportunity to participate. Max and Ash also tee up the case for bitcoin and debate why and how the crypto space will have enduring relevance for years to come. In the intro, Nick Correa discusses the Fed’s Main Street Lending Program and its chilly reception by both lenders and borrowers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 01, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 30, 2020
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Managing editor Ed Harrison joins Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, to discuss how to evaluate markets from a technical perspective. Believing that it’s important to “follow the tape” and trade what an investor sees, Floyd shares where he believes bonds and the S&P are headed and how both technical and fundamental analysis inform each other in a market rocked by COVID-19. Harrison and Floyd also touch on distortions of market signals, volatility, currencies, and silver. In the intro, Nick Correa discusses the potential impact of the Payroll Protection Program on small businesses and how the spread of the virus in the US further hurts their chances of making it through the pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 30, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 29, 2020
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Editor Max Wiethe joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Max and Ed examine how the US is currently dealing with the virus and whether that means the nation is par for the course or has “gone off the reservation” as compared to other countries. They also talk about the risk factors that could put a highly volatile market over the edge, consider the longevity of US outperformance, and explore the current market rotation. They wrap up their discussion by sharing their thoughts on the latest video on Real Vision Essential and announce a special edition of the Daily Briefing on Friday as the U.S. observes Independence Day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 29, 2020
The Interview - How Coronavirus Exposed the "Shaky Foundation"
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What happens when an upheaval so massive forces financial markets, governments, and society to rethink how our systems work? Michael Krieger, author of the Liberty Blitzkrieg, joins Real Vision to explain what coronavirus and the response to the outbreak has revealed about the condition of American systems – from financial markets to the health care system. Tracing the story of financial markets and societal trends over the past two decades, Krieger outlines how our systems have been pushed to the brink – focusing on emergency policy responses and the everything bubble. He also provides viewers with potential solutions to the systemic decay that has been brought to the forefront by the coronavirus outbreak. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 28, 2020
The Interview - Public Employee "Plunder" and California's Perfect Storm
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Steve Greenhut, Western region director at R Street Institute and author of "Plunder: How Public Employee Unions are Raiding Treasuries, Controlling Our Lives and Bankrupting the Nation," joins Mike Green of Logica Capital Advisers to discuss his coverage of the political paralysis that surrounds the issue of pensions in California. He guides Mike on a deep-dive into the gargantuan public employee compensation complex and how that complex bleeds into every other aspect of California government spending. He argues that public employees have forced state and local governments into a corner wherein they cannot maintain their obligations because of the massive burden of pension disbursements and employee compensation. Due to a lack of transparency, pension assumptions based on guesswork, and legal precedent overturning democratic decisions, Greenhut says that the perfect storm that will surely "surprise" Californian politicians has been plain to see for longer than a decade.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 27, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 26 ,2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss a day of pain on Wall Street as the coronavirus shows no signs of relenting and the normally cautious Federal Reserve issued an alarming mandate to large-cap banks. Ed and Ash also flesh out their thinking on a potential "double-dip recession" and a second wave of coronavirus. In the intro, Jack Farley looks at COVID-19 data and analyzes the dire results from the Fed's "stress test" of the banking sector. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 27, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 25, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison break down the latest economic data amid a bullish day on Wall Street. They discuss the rising infections in states like Texas, Arizona, and Florida, and they take a data-driven look at the apparent stalling of the jobs recovery and the reversal of the durable goods slowdown. Ash looks at how peoples’ marginal propensity to spend is affecting the recovery, while Ed explores whether different asset classes are pricing in different recovery “shapes” (equities pricing in a V-shape, high-yield pricing in a Nike swoosh, and investment grade pricing in a “reverse radical”). In the intro, Nick Correa discusses what's happening in Texas and how the virus spread undetected for several weeks before the US locked down. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 25, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 24, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Roger Hirst to analyze the anatomy of bubbles, propelled by emotional mania, and how that is relevant to today’s markets. Bennington and Hirst discuss how equity markets appear to be inflated by flows rather than grounded in fundamentals and why the Fed’s balance sheet is the key driver of all of the recent price action. They also explain why time horizons are a critical piece to how traders should form their thesis and shapes the way they look at the market as well. In the intro, Nick Correa shares the IMF’s latest update on its global GDP projections, what’s happening in CDS markets, and the cost of business operations during coronavirus. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 24, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 23, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest news in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Bennington and Harrison first analyze the breaking story about Wirecard, a German fintech company, and its implications for Germany. They also talk about how the Fed has released the animal spirits on markets, bolstered by exorbitant amounts of liquidity, and anticipate the pullback in consumption in light of a W-shaped recovery. Finally, they explain how the pandemic reasserting itself will end up strengthening the dollar and lead to a liquidity crunch. In the intro, Nick Correa explains the latest developments in the Wirecard story and provides some context around how they arrived at this point. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 23, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 22, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison explore the perilous state of the global markets amid the unrelenting spread of coronavirus. They discuss the disturbing “second wave” of coronavirus in the U.S. – in states like Florida, Texas, and Arizona – as well as around the world and evaluate how the continued spread will impact economic growth and financial returns across different asset classes. Ed hazards whether the U.S. yield curve will see bear-steepening (or bull flattening), and Ash puts the widening “breadth” of the U.S. rally in proper context. In the intro, Jack Farley explores why CLO managers are often rendered incapable just at the time that bold action is most required. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 22, 2020
The Interview - Credit Chaos and Fool's Yield: Updating the Thesis withDan Rasmussen and Greg Obenshain
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Dan Rasmussen, the CIO and Founder of Verdad Capital Advisers, speaks with his colleague Greg Obenshain, Verdad's director of credit, to examine the credit market sell-off over the past two months. They focus on the recent widening of spreads and other areas of financial markets hit hardest by the recent acceleration. Rasmussen asks Obenshain what the biggest factors for returns in corporate credit are, the turmoil in the credit markets has impacted the energy sector, and where they see the biggest opportunities for investors will be coming out of the crisis. They also update Verdad's Fool's Yield thesis that the company has been writing about since January 2020 and that Rasmussen has presented to Real Vision members in the past few months. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 21, 2020
The Interview - The Electrodollar: Venture Capitalism, Technology, and Silicon Valley
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Venture capitalist, Bill Tai, has been at the intersection of venture capitalism and innovation since the early days of Silicon Valley before the orchards were replaced with technology company corporate headquarters. He joins Real Vision's Raoul Pal to provide his uniquely qualified perspective, having experience on both the technology development and financing sides of Silicon Valley. Tai and Pal discuss data science, Tai's explanation of the "waves of innovation," and where Tai sees the next wave of innovation currently developing. Tai also talks about his early investment in Bitcoin, his view of digital assets separate from Bitcoin including CryptoKitties, digital currencies like Libra, and what he calls "the Electrodollar."  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 21, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 19, 2020
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal joins senior editor Ash Bennington to reflect on a week of muted volatility amid a "quadruple witching" and unprecedented interventions from the world's major central banks. Raoul and Ash analyze the ECB's recent meeting around fiscal policy, and whether the Bank of Japan (BOJ), European Central Bank (ECB), and Bank of England (BOE) will follow the Fed and go into "hyperdrive," as Raoul puts it. The pair also discusses Apple's decision to close stores in the U.S. as the coronavirus continues to spread. Lastly, the pair looks forward to the upcoming "Crypto Gathering" on Real Vision. In the intro, Jack Farley discusses the recent Wirecard scandal and gives an overview of new action in the burgeoning corporate debt market. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 19, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 18, 2020
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Managing editor Ed Harrison joins Peter Boockvar, CIO of Bleakley Advisor Group, to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Harrison and Boockvar dive into what the trajectory of inflation will be and how it’s not a monolithic concept, talk about the possibility and implications of a V-shaped recovery, and explore the broader investment opportunities ahead. In the intro, Peter Cooper explains how the wedge between Wall Street and Main Street continues to be driven deeper. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 18, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 17, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, to discuss the latest in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Thornton argues that the need for intervention in repo markets starting back in the fall of 2019 indicated that the market wasn't healthy going into the coronavirus shutdown— and that if it was, the level of stimulus markets have received would’ve been unnecessary. Thornton also talks about how the market is currently too hot and what the risks are for speculators going forward. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses how companies are issuing debt at extreme levels and how that bodes ill considering how coronavirus is still a major tail risk. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 17, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 16, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to unpack today's positive retail numbers as well as whether the recession is now "over" (even if in name only). Bennington and Harrison explore what this actually means in the technical sense, but how it may lend itself to a double-dip recession in the same way the Great Depression was. They also discuss the increased spread of the virus, the public perception of COVID-19 wrecking more havoc on the economy, and Jay Powell’s testimony before the Senate Banking Committee today. In the intro, Peter Cooper discusses how the Fed’s announcement on its corporate bond-buying program as well as burgeoning retail sales numbers have supported the stock market rallies this week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 16, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 15, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss a day of "risk on risk off" on Wall Street. Ed maps out a new paradigm he's noticing in the world of energy, equities, and the dollar, and Ash places the vacillations of U.S. stocks in context of central bank liquidity and the ongoing pandemic. Ed and Ash also discuss the CALPers bold move into private equity and private debt. In the intro, Jack Farley looks at the shape of the "volatility smile" and discusses the looming bankruptcy risks in the oil and gas sector. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 15, 2020
The Interview - The New Frontier with Trevor Mottl and Raoul Pal
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Trevor Mottl, managing director at Lazard Labs, speaks to Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal about how machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) can inform and transform the investment process – from idea generation to position sizing to risk management. He tells Raoul about the AI team he runs at Lazard Asset Management that uses machine learning to identify patterns in markets too complex for the human brain to recognize in order to reliably generate alpha too obscure for human investors to reliably capture. Mottl also breaks down his three-piece framework of finance – which includes pricing, time horizon, and liquidity – and explains how this framework has shaped his investment philosophy and informed his macro outlook. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 14, 2020
The Interview - When The Whole Daisy Chain Unwinds
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James Aitken, partner at Aitken Advisors, joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal to discuss the intricate relationship between bond and FX markets and how this often overlooked connection is playing out at this critical juncture of the credit cycle. Aitken and Pal put the recently announced central bank policies – remarkably generous swap lines, sweeping repo facilities, and the revival of quantitative easing (QE) – in proper context and analyzes how central banks' commitment to be the "buyers of first resort" will affect cross-currency basis swaps, yields on corporates, and the U.S. dollar. Aitken also describes his investing framework to deploying capital in this unprecedented economic crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 13, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 12 , 2020
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal and Real Vision managing editor Ed Harrison discuss today’s undulating recovery as global equities tried to regain ground lost in yesterday’s market rout. Raoul and Ed explore why today’s snapback wasn’t as strong as expected and Raoul places this discussion within the context of his “unfolding” thesis. In the intro Jack Farley discusses the VIX and a daring attempt by Hertz bondholders to take advantage of the moment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 12, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 11, 2020
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Managing editor Ed Harrison joins Lloyd Khaner, general partner and CIO at Khaner Capital Management, to discuss his macro outlook for the next year and beyond. Khaner explains some of the growth opportunities he sees in equity markets and breaks down how he determines value in a volatile market saturated with liquidity. In the intro, Peter Cooper gives an update on how the global reopening has affected the spread of coronavirus. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 11, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 10, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins Jay Pelosky, CIO and co-founder of TPW Investment Management, to unpack his contrarian and bullish thesis on the economy and markets. Pelosky argues that the big plays for 2020 is not in tech, but in commodities, as well as in value stocks and cyclicals. He explains that the overwhelmingly strong stimulus, both in the forms of monetary and fiscal policies, have undergirded demand in a way that will allow it to spring back later in the year. Pelosky also discusses why this is the decade of Europe and ESG, the growing appreciation for EM currencies, and the potential headwinds that might dampen the current broad appetite for equities. In the intro, Jack Farley reviews the Fed’s latest press release and delves into some of their rate forecasts and economic projections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 10, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 9, 2020
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 Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss market sentiment in light of NBER's recent announcement that the U.S. slid into recession in February. Bennington and Harrison explore whether market participants are betting that liquidity will mitigate the credit cycle's severity and whether this could be a miscalculation that catches investors off guard, leading to a “double-dip” recession. They also draw comparisons between today’s markets to that of the dot-com era, highlight the shift toward momentum trading, and share their thoughts on how durable damage to demand can bring an unnaturally elevated market crashing down later in the year. In the intro, Peter Cooper explains the surge in new online brokerage accounts and explores particular instances of excess speculation by retail investors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 09, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 8, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison map out their framework for the rest of 2020. Ed and Ash look at the steepening yield curve and the continued ascent of U.S. equities. Ed gives additional color to his macro thesis and reflects on his bullish call in April on Europe’s re-opening. Ed and Ash also look forward to the upcoming interviews with Michael Howell and Darius Dale. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at the rising tensions between Germany and the ECB. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 08, 2020
The Interview - How to Stay Safe on the Rollercoaster Ride (w/ Ric Edelman)
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Ric Edelman, chairman and co-founder of Edelman LLC, speaks to Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington about how investors can position themselves for success during this unprecedented crisis. Edelman analyzes the ongoing calamity through the lens of behavioral finance, and gives recommendations for how investors should be thinking about their savings and investments. He recommends that investors take the long-term, thoughtful approach and not worry about short-term price gyrations - but he does prescribe caution for investors who are averse to wild swings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 07, 2020
The Interview - Profiting from Mispriced Credit Risk with Daniel Zwirn, CEO of Arena Investors
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 Daniel Zwirn, CEO of Arena Investors, kicks off Debt Week by bringing his unique credit framework to Real Vision. Zwirn argues that a decade of cheap money has worsened credit quality, but that nevertheless there are lucrative fixed-income opportunities on the long- as well as short-side. He warns of the risks he sees in leveraged loans (as well as the CLOs that package them), noting the "asset-liability mismatch" as one of his most severe concerns. Other topics include: regulatory change, interest rate risk, and idiosyncratic plays in energy and real estate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 06, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 5, 2020
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Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal and senior editor Ash Bennington discuss a roaring day on Wall Street as the U.S. labor market breathed a sigh of relief. Looking at everything from tech valuations to the AUD/USD trade, Raoul and Ash dive deeper into this jam-packed news day to see whether the economy really is on the mend. In the intro, Jack Farley touches on these themes and previews Raoul’s interview with Gerard Minack. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 05, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 4, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. Bennington and Hirst talk about the trajectory of the global recovery and growth—specifically, they explore the exponential increase in the savings rate, the vicious cycle the Fed might find itself in as they continue to support asset prices, and the potential for "zombification"of corporations through misallocated capital. They also dive into how sentiment is currently driving financial markets, why passive investors may not be prepared for the air pockets of potential drawdowns, and how easy monetary policy actually encourages growth deflation. In the intro, Nick Correa analyzes today’s ECB announcement to expand its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program (PEPP). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 04, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 3, 2020
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 Senior Editor Ash Bennington joins Managing Editor Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. Bennington and Hirst discuss what “returning to normal” means for markets—whether it’s breaking into a new regime or a return to the status quo. They also dive into “the dollar smile,” where bond yields are headed, and commercial real estate in the UK. In the intro segment, Real Vision’s Nick Correa talks about the 1968 influenza pandemic and how the world’s response to pandemics in the past was vastly different from the response today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 03, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 2, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to delve into whether the pandemonium in the U.S. will ever spread into capital markets. They analyze the historical performance of markets during times of civil unrest and explore whether U.S. equities have "priced in" the possibility that the ongoing mass protests in the U.S. could accelerate the spread of COVID-19. Ed and Ash also discuss the yield curve and retracement levels for the S&P. In the intro, Real Vision's Nick Correa talks about the 1957 pandemic, the Eisenhower recession, and how they may intersect. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - June 1, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss how the roiling civil unrest in the U.S. could affect businesses and financial markets. They look at the correlation of the Citi Surprise index and bond yields, and Ed introduces three historical parallels to compare to the current moment. Ed and Ash reaffirm that Real Vision’s core remit is to analyze markets. In the intro, Jack Farley gives an overview of global PMI data and Goldman Sachs’ revised forecast for the S&P 500. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 01, 2020
The Interview - with Kiril Sokoloff and Raoul Pal -Gold, Germs, and Self-Preservation
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Kiril Sokoloff, chairman and founder of 13D Global Strategy and Research, joins Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, to discuss the ongoing coronavirus pandemic and its long-term consequences on monetary policy, investing, and geopolitics. Pal and Sokoloff analyze how a protracted quarantine might slow economic activity to such a degree that central banks become more active than they ever have before, either by monetizing debt or by purchasing risk assets outright. The pair also explore how the crisis might affect the 2020 election, the practice of stock buybacks, and specific assets like oil, gold, and the Japanese Yen. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 31, 2020
The Interview - Don't Hate the Fed, Hate the Game
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Recently the Federal Reserve has taken unprecedented steps to backstop the market, sending investors scrambling to relearn the “rules of the game,” and inciting arguably justifiable outrage from others. Matt Rowe, CIO of Headwaters Volatility, and Jared Dillian, editor of The Daily Dirtnap, debate the utility of this outrage and explore whether the level of shock is justified considering the long history of the “rules changing”. Additionally, they examine the misaligned incentives for investors and governments, try to make sense of the recent rally in equities and the bifurcation of the high-yield market, and look forward at the potential for big surprises like bailouts or the Fed stepping into the equity market.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 30, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 29, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the latest developments in markets and macro in the era of coronavirus. Bennington and Harrison talk through the risks and potential upside to growth as European institutions debate bailouts in Europe, the possible ripple effect of President Trump’s call to revoke Hong Kong’s special trade status, and the plausibility of the renminbi becoming a global reserve currency. In the intro, Real Vision's Peter Cooper discusses some of the latest economic data coming out of Canada. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 30, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 28, 2020
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Managing editor, Ed Harrison, joins managing editor, Roger Hirst, to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. They talk through why US equities are still not suffering even though the real economic data demonstrates an increasingly bleaker picture. In light of that, Harrison and Hirst break down what lessons to draw from this investing environment. In the intro, Real Vision’s Jack Farley looks at the continued layoffs in the airline and tech industries. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 29, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 27, 2020
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Senior editor, Ash Bennington, joins managing editor, Roger Hirst, to discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. Bennington and Hirst analyze what’s happening in Europe, including the recently proposed EU stimulus package, ballooning European debt, and the underlying structure of the eurozone. They also discuss recent moves in equity prices and the current landscape of currency markets. In the intro, Real Vision’s Nick Correa shares the details of both the EU’s and Japan’s proposed stimulus bills for economic relief. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 27, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 26, 2020
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Managing editor Ed Harrison and senior editor Ash Bennington break down the brewing tensions between China and the United States. They comprehend the consequences of a potential "decoupling" between the two superpowers and analyze the possibility of a new Cold War. Ed and Ash also analyze the continued rise of U.S. equities and look forward to see whether the ongoing crisis will be the shortest recession in history or if there is some "post-snapback malaise" in store. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at what could be the first convertible bond default in the history of Chinese markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 26, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 25, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington joins Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to discuss the latest developments in macro and coronavirus. Bennington and Pal discuss the collapsing velocity of money and stagnant US growth, the Canadian and Australian housing markets, and what the future of commercial real estate may look like in a post-coronavirus world. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 25, 2020
The Interview - The Second Wave Is Going to Be Much, Much Worse
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Dr. Dena Grayson speaks to Pedro Da Costa about the ongoing efforts of medical professionals to save lives and stop the COVID-19 pandemic in its tracks. She evaluates the promising new drug Remdesivir and discusses her work on similar drugs such as Galidesivir and Favipiravir. She shares her thoughts on herd immunity, the possibility of a vaccine, as well as the different efforts of governments worldwide to contain the pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 24, 2020
The Interview - The Third Act
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Hugh Hendry, founder and former CIO of Eclectica Asset Management, joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal to analyze the state of markets at this unprecedented juncture of uncertainty and to reflect on a lifetime of macro investing. Raoul and Hugh explore how gold could perform in a debt deflation and whether central bank largesse is sufficient to help risk assets weather the storm. After a thorough investigation into the interplay between volatility and price, they contemplate the prospect of a “gilded depression” – one in which cataclysmic economic disaster is kept solvent by never-ending fiscal stimulus and where asset prices are continually re-inflated by incessant injections of central bank liquidity. Hugh can be found on Twitter at @hendry_hugh and on Instagram at hughhendryofficial.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 23, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 22, 2020
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Senior editor Ash Bennington sits down with Real Vision CEO and co-founder Raoul Pal to explore the latest developments in markets and macro. They dive into why debt mutualization won’t be enough to save Europe, what the elimination of GDP targeting means for China, and how Hong Kong’s limited autonomy is slipping from its grasp with China’s latest security law announcement. The pair also discuss the challenges of a solvency crisis, the rising threat of deflation, and the plummeting two year U.S. Treasury yield. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 23, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 21, 2020
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Real Vision's managing editors Ed Harrison and Roger Hirst sit down to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and coronavirus. Nick Correa talks about the new waves of infections in South Korea and the country's unique challenges in containing and stopping the spread. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 21, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 20, 2020
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Real Vision’s senior editor Ash Bennington and managing editor Roger Hirst analyze the latest developments in markets. Bennington and Hirst discuss the implications of fiscal burden-sharing in the European Union within the framework of French President Macron and German Chancellor Merkel’s recent joint proposal for a €500 billion aid fund. The pair also unpack the technical and supply and demand dynamics driving oil markets, the concentration risk in the largest stocks of the S&P 500, and key technical levels in US equity markets. During the intro, Real Vision’s Nick Correa discusses the reopening of Spain, and the unique hurdles the Spanish will face as they begin their journey to economic recovery. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 20, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 19, 2020
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Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the retracement of the S&P 500 amid a distressing Bank of America study that found that only 10 percent of fund managers are anticipating the V-shaped recovery that has been promised. Ed and Ash also explore the troubling stories coming out of Latin America, the trouble in the European banking sector, and the potential of a redenomination of the Euro into legacy currencies. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a closer look at PNC Financial’s sale of its stake in Blackrock. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 19, 2020
The Interview - A Pandemic Focused Pension Health Update
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Long before the market’s most recent correction, underfunded pensions were already a huge concern. Now that prices have fallen along with interest rates, pensions are in an even worse position than before. Leo Kolivakis, publisher of Pension Pulse, returns to update Ed Harrison and Real Vision viewers on the state of the global pension system with a specific focus on how the short vol trade and private market investments have and will continue to be affected by the crisis.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 19, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 18, 2020
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Real Vision Senior Editor Ash Bennington hosts Managing Editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a roaring day on Wall Street. They analyze the extreme bullishness in today's session through the lens of Fed Chair Powell's remarks, and discuss yield divergences in European sovereigns, as well as the valuation of European banks. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at recent 13F filings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 18, 2020
The Interview - Corona Crisis: The View from The Valley
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 Balaji Srinivasan is a highly accomplished investor, entrepreneur, executive, and academic. In this conversation with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington, Srinivasan unpacks his tech-centric view of combating the coronavirus — informed by his background in the medical testing space and his Ph.D. work in microbial genetics at Stanford. Srinivasan also served as the Chief Technical Officer at the digital currency behemoth CoinBase and as a general partner at the storied Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. Srinivasan also shares his perspective on what changes the US government needs to institute in order to compete with China to control the coronavirus outbreak.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 17, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 15, 2020
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Real Vision's CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal, joins Senior Editor Ash Bennington to update viewers on his "Unfolding" thesis about the trajectory of the COVID crisis and its effects on the economy and markets. He also unpacks his views about the solvency risks in the BBB bond market and reviews highlights from his interviews with legendary investors Howard Marks and Kyle Bass. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 15, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 14, 2020
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Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison is joined by Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and the coronavirus crisis. Peter Cooper talks about how China, Hong Kong, and South Korea are facing setbacks with a new wave of cases. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 14, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 13, 2020
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Real Vision's senior editor Ash Bennington sits down with managing editor Roger Hirst to discuss the latest in macro, markets, and coronavirus. They dive into the psychological and economic repercussions that the shutdown has had on both New York City and London. They also talk about how the Fed's intervention in markets has played a role in supporting asset prices, the level of uncertainty about where they will go in the future, and why currency markets are the optimal place to express a macro position. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 13, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 12, 2020
1924
Real Vision's Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. They dive into the havoc wrecked on the jobs market, the continuously moving plans to reopen the US economy, and Dr. Fauci's warning today to the US senate. They also review what's happening in the Eurozone and which European economies may be a model for the US's own reopening. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 12, 2020
The Interview - The Fed's New Unwritten Mandate
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Professor Mark Blyth and Professor Adam Tooze explore how coronavirus is laying bare the hidden risks embedded within our financial systems and how central banks worldwide are scrambling to paper over those chasms of danger. To them, it seems that the Federal Reserve has rewritten its remit, and they discuss how rather than try and keep prices stable or keep unemployment low, the sole focus of the Fed right now seems to be supporting asset prices at any cost, even if that means bailing out leveraged entities who took on too much risk. They also discuss Europe and how this crisis is heightening the contradictions within the Eurozone and pushing the European banking system to the brink. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 11, 2020
The Interview - An International Perspective on COVID-19
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With every day of lockdown and every dollar of stimulus, policy and markets are becoming more and more intertwined. That is why Pedro da Costa has been conducting a series of interviews with central bankers, policymakers, and the economists who inform their views. Pedro continues this series with Dr. Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Together they examine the efficacy of the current fiscal and monetary policy response and how this crisis is affecting globalization, emerging markets, and the state of the European Union.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 11, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 11, 2020
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Real Vision's Ash Bennington and Managing Editor Ed Harrison discuss Raoul's Expert View, "Global Recession - What's Next?", which was released today. Bennington and Harrison then take a deep dive into the real economy with a special focus on the risks posed by debt deflation. The pair also talk about the reopening of the global economy with an eye toward recent events in Germany. In the intro, Jack Farley looks at a dramatic new chapter in the WeWork saga. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 11, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 8, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision Co-Founder and CEO Raoul Pal as they look forward to the biggest voyage Real Vision has ever gone on: Global Recession: What's Next? Over the course of this two-week content campaign, some of the brightest minds in finance will be sharing their views with you. Raoul and Ash also discuss the broad impact and context of the coronavirus crisis and look ahead to what we will learn in the coming weeks from economic data. In the intro, Jack Farley analyzes the unprecedented labor statistics and shares the story of one U.S. worker who lost his life on the job. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 08, 2020
The Interview ( Bonus Episode ) - Another Great 'Mortgage Meltdown'
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Columnist for HousingWire, Logan Mohtashami of AMC Lending Group sits down with Real Vision's Ash Bennington to discuss the "complete meltdown" he sees in the residential mortgage space during the coronavirus crisis. Mohtashami and Bennington discuss housing prices, the dynamics in the mortgage market in a time of crisis, and the overall lending environment. The pair also touch on the economics of US demography, commercial real estate, and the quantum shifts in retail property in commercial real estate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 08, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 7, 2020
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Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison is joined by Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and the coronavirus crisis. Harrison and Hirst examine the effects of central bank liquidity on asset markets. Real Vision’s Peter Cooper gives an overview of the Eurozone’s economic future, the challenges Italy faces next as they descend from the peak of the outbreak, and Norway’s central bank cutting rates to zero. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 08, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 6, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Roger Hirst. Today, Bennington and Hirst explore the relationship between fundamental and technical analysis in the context of the Coronavirus crisis. The pair also discuss the role of the European Central Bank in light of the recent landmark decision by the German constitutional court. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 06, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 5, 2020
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Real Vision’s Ash Bennington and Tony Greer, editor of Morning Navigator, discuss recent market action. Bennington and Greer discuss price action in the S&P 500, whipsawing oil markets, and the reopening of the US economy. Real Vision's Peter Cooper discusses shifts in consumer spending over the last few weeks, J. Crew filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, and Hertz being granted emergency forbearance to avoid bankruptcy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 05, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 4, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison to discuss recent developments in markets, macro, and the coronavirus crisis. Today, Bennington and Harrison discuss Warren Buffett and his statements at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting, the state of the airline industry, and the risks and limitations of reopening the global economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 04, 2020
The Interview - The Charts of Truth
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Peter Brandt, Founder of Factor LLC, speaks to Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal, about the dramatic price action he’s witnessing in equities, commodities, currencies, gold, and bitcoin. A veteran technical analyst, Brandt tells Pal about the charts on his radar and how they are informing his investing perspective. Raoul discusses how he interprets these chart patterns through the lens of dominant market narratives and shares how they are informing his macro framework. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 03, 2020
The Interview - The Fed Opening the Flood Gates
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Dr. Thomas Hoenig, distinguished senior fellow at George Mason University's Mercatus Center, joins Pedro da Costa, columnist at MarketWatch and Forbes, to discuss Dr. Hoenig's experience as former chief executive of the Kansas City Fed and former vice chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Drawing upon his experience as a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's principal organ for making large asset purchases, Dr. Hoenig discusses the current extreme measures that the Fed is taking in order to support asset prices during this unparalleled exogenous shock that the quarantine has inflicted on markets. They explore how large the Fed’s balance sheet could get and what a sustained zero-interest policy will mean for investors, workers, and employers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - May 1, 2020
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Ash Bennington joins Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal for an exploration of how to find the macro signal amid the noise of economic indicators, alternative data, and confounding price action. Raoul describes an alarming pattern he's been noticing in data on foot traffic, and gives his view on whether fiscal and monetary policy will be able to "paper over the cracks." Raoul and Ash then analyze the recent mortgage payment figures, and have a little bit of fun with Elon Musk's recent antics. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 02, 2020
Daily Briefing - April 30, 2020
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Real Vision's Managing Editor Ed Harrison sits down with Roger Hirst to discuss what's going on in markets today. Harrison and Hirst touch on the economic numbers coming out of the U.S. and Europe, the possibility of China exporting deflation, and how the market will move forward in light of this information. Please take a moment to fill out the survey below. Your input will help us provide you with the best and most relevant content. https://survey.libsyn.com/adventuresinfinance Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 30, 2020
Daily Briefing - April 29, 2020
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Real Vision's Ash Bennington sits down with Roger Hirst to discuss the latest economic data: dismal GDP numbers, consumer spending, as well as other stats in the real economy. Bennington and Hirst analyze the recent technical levels on the S&P, and explore how the new COVID-19 treatments being tested could impact the timing and pace of re-opening the economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 29, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 28, 2020
2169
Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison to discuss recent developments in markets, macro, and the coronavirus crisis. Today, Bennington and Harrison discuss the U.S. recession outlook, economic sentiment, and whipsawing prices in global oil markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 28, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 27, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison for analysis of the day’s events. Bennington and Harrison discuss the shape & speed of the coming recovery as well as the different economic trajectories of the U.S. and Europe. Please take a moment to fill out the survey below. Your input will help us provide you with the best and most relevant content. https://survey.libsyn.com/adventuresinfinance Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 27, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 24, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Tony Greer, Editor of the Morning Navigator, to get a trader's-eye view of what’s happening in markets. Greer unpacks the underlying supply & demand dynamics of what drives markets higher during dismal news cycles in this must-see wrap-up of the week’s market action. With markets and headlines moving faster than ever, we are now bringing all Real Vision members a new ultra-timely show to help you keep up with the dynamic news cycle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 24, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 23, 2020
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In this episode of the Real Vision Daily Briefing, Managing Editor Ed Harrison hosts Roger Hirst for a discussion about emerging market credit risk, helicopter money, and the unwinding of the commodity daisy chain. With markets and headlines moving faster than ever, we are now bringing all Real Vision members a new ultra-timely show to help you keep up with the dynamic news cycle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 23, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 22, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Roger Hirst for a discussion about governments’ response to coronavirus and its implications for fiscal and monetary policy. The pair also cover the broader outlook for the global economy and the risk of structural changes caused by the pandemic. With markets and headlines moving faster than ever, we are now bringing all Real Vision members a new ultra-timely show to help you keep up with the dynamic news cycle. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 22, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 21, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Ed Harrison, Real Vision’s managing editor, to break down the day’s events. In today’s episode, Bennington and Harrison continue their discussion on oil markets — and tie the broader macroeconomic fundamentals into technical market dynamics. The pair also discuss MMT, the structure of the USO ETF, and emerging market debt forbearance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 21, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 20, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Ed Harrison, Real Vision’s Managing Editor, to break down the day’s events. Today, the pair take a deep dive into the chaos of the profoundly fractured oil markets. Bennington and Harrison also discuss the long-term prognosis for the eurozone in a post-coronavirus world. In the intro, Jack Farley discusses the teetering CLO market and analyzes a short play that has paid off big time. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 21, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 17, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Ed Harrison, Real Vision’s Managing Editor, to break down the week’s events. The pair cover the U.S. banking sector, risks to the commercial real estate market, Russian central bank policy action, and compare and contrast the timing and trajectory of the COVID Crisis to the GFC. Bennington and Harrison end on a discussion of the changing role of China in the global political and financial system in the wake of the current crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 17, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 16, 2020
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On today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing, Roger Hirst and Ed Harrison discuss FX markets, high yield credit, and EM fixed-income through the lens of Brent Johnson’s “dollar milkshake theory” and Mike Green’s thoughts on the concentration of capital. Harrison and Hirst analyze the impact that the Fed’s yield curve control will have on net interest margins for banks and whether central banks will draw a “line in the sand.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 16, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 15, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Roger Hirst to talk markets and economics. In this episode, Bennington and Hirst discuss the dismal economic data coming out of the U.S. including industrial production, retail sales, and the Empire State Manufacturing index. The pair also consider oil prices, the crisis’s impact on the money market, and potential durable shifts to the structure of the American economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 15, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 14, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison to discuss the day’s events. In this episode, the pair unpack new GDP growth forecasts, the latest economic warning from the IMF, and the first round of Q1 2020 bank earnings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 14, 2020
Adventures in Finances - Daily Briefing - April 13, 2020
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Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison to discuss the events of recent days as the coronavirus crisis grinds forward. Harrison and Bennington focus on the role of banks in financial crises as a transmission mechanism to the broader economy. The pair also consider risks to the high yield market and the role that exchange traded products play in providing liquidity in the global debt markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 13, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 10, 2020
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Real Vision CEO & co-founder Raoul Pal joins Ash Bennington for a big picture look at the events of the last few weeks in the wake of coronavirus with a focus on the global economy. Pal and Bennington discuss the broad changes brought on by the virus, including its impact on US equity markets, the bond market, long-term and durable realignments in the global economy and supply chains, and the rising tide of political risk and fragility across the globe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 12, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 9, 2020
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Real Vision's Roger Hirst and Ed Harrison talk about the Fed’s intervention into high yield ETFs and whether that support would spill over into equity markets to support shares on a sustained basis. In that context, they analyze Mike Green’s theory that continued passive investment flows would help equities back to new all-time highs, and they examine how oil markets are a barometer of market sentiment as well as demand in the real economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 09, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 8, 2020
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Real Vision’s Ash Bennington hosts Roger Hirst to discuss the rally in US equities against the backdrop of coronavirus. Hirst and Bennington discuss the rally from both a technical and fundamental perspective, weaving in the narrative of the breakdown in the real economy. The pair also discuss the monetary and fiscal response to the crisis, challenges in the real estate business, and the ultimate path forward to reopening the economy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 08, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 7 2020
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With markets and headlines moving faster than ever, we are now bringing all users a new ultra-timely show to help you keep up the dynamic news cycle. Real Vision's Ash Bennington and Ed Harrison unpack the seemingly widening gulf between macroeconomic events and price action in markets. In this episode, they discuss the impact of coronavirus on the global labor market, loan forbearance, the potential for dislocations in the credit markets, and the most recent medical developments on the ground. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 07, 2020
Adventures in Finance - Daily Briefing - April 6 2020
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With markets and headlines moving faster than ever, we are now bringing all users a new ultra-timely show to help you keep up the dynamic news cycle. Ash Bennington hosts Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison to discuss the apparent disconnect between today’s market euphoria and the severe risks and uncertainty now facing the world economy. The pair discuss spiking unemployment, political risk, ballooning debt, and the corporate earnings outlook.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 07, 2020
Dr. Gio Valiante — Sustainable Excellence in Investing and Life
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Dr. Gio Valiante, founder of Fearless Golf and head performance coach at Point72 Asset Management, coaches individuals at the highest levels of sports and finance. Dr. Valiante provides tips and stories focused on improving performance and sustaining excellence over long periods of time. Please note that this podcast is comprised of shorter clips that previously appeared on Real Vision, compiled here for ease of listening — introduction by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 15, 2019
Mark Ritchie II — The Critical Tell for the Stock Market
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Mark Ritchie II, CIO of RTM Capital Advisors, sits down with Real Vision’s Ed Harrison to discuss how he has re-positioned his investments after going 100% cash in December. He believes that the reaction to the Fed’s cut over these next few weeks are crucial to market tone for the next six to nine months. Filmed on July 2019 in New York - introduction by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 08, 2019
What Will a Recession Do to Venture Capital? With Josh Wolfe and Raoul Pal
2017
Josh Wolfe, co-founder of Lux Capital, sits down with Raoul Pal to examine the indicators that are warning that the economic cycle is reaching an inflection point. Wolfe and Pal discuss the idea that inflated valuations in venture capital are being caused by the incremental buyer’s desperate search for growth. Wolfe warns that if the cycle indeed turns, a liquidity crisis could emerge. Filmed on July 9, 2019 in New York. Introduction by Drew Bessette.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 01, 2019
Gold & “The Bitcoin Standard” with Saifedean Ammous and Marty Bent
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Is there a path for bitcoin to become the new gold standard? Economist Saifedean Ammous, author of the ‘The Bitcoin Standard: The Decentralized Alternative to Central Banking,’ joins Real Vision to share his views on both gold & bitcoin. From an Austrian perspective, he points out the paradoxes of Keynesianism and details the implications his thesis might have on the global monetary system. Hosted by Marty Bent. Filmed on October 9, 2019 in New York. Introduction by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 25, 2019
China vs. The U.S.: Trade War to Cold War? (with Kyle Bass and Robert Spalding)
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Kyle Bass sits down with retired Brigadier General Robert Spalding to discuss the reality inside China. Spalding spent years living in China as Defense Attache in Bejing & served as the chief China strategist for the chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Spalding has deep knowledge of the people, culture, economy, & military of China in and examines the multifaceted threat to the US posed by the rising Asian superpower. Filmed on September 27, 2019 in Washington D.C. - Introduction by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 18, 2019
The Gold vs. Bitcoin Debate with Barry Silbert and Roy Sebag
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Earlier this summer, we released two interviews debating Grayscale Bitcoin Trust’s “Drop Gold,” campaign. Grayscale is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group founded by Barry Silbert. He provides the argument for Bitcoin and explains the thinking behind the “Drop Gold,” campaign to Real Vision CEO, Raoul Pal. Then Roy Sebag, CEO and founder of Goldmoney, provides his rebuttal to Stephan Spears of McEwen Mining. These interviews were published June 2019. Introduction by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 11, 2019
Understanding Dollar Repo Madness with Danielle DiMartino Booth and George Goncalves
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Danielle DiMartino Booth, chief strategist at Quill Intelligence, interviews George Goncalves of The Bond Strategist in his first appearance on Real Vision. As former insiders of the Dallas Fed and US Treasury primary dealers, Danielle and George deconstruct the US Dollar liquidity problems and help clarify the major structural issues confronting the repo markets. Filmed on September 18, 2019 in New York - introduction provided by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 04, 2019
The Chinese Mirage with Chris Balding
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Christopher Balding, associate professor at Fulbright University Vietnam, delves into the many layers of the Chinese economy with Mike Green of Thiel Macro. Balding and Green discuss the inconsistencies in the overarching bullish narrative on China, and explain how the debt machine works in the Chinese real estate markets. Filmed on August 27, 2019 in Los Angeles and published on Real Vision September 6, 2019 - introduced by Drew Bessette. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 27, 2019
WeWork, Amazon, Fannie Mae and Berkshire: Whitney Tilson’s Hedge Fund Odyssey
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Whitney Tilson details his transformation from momentum trader to an investor living by Warren Buffett’s advice that “it’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.” Tilson shares his views on WeWork’s IPO trouble, Amazon, Fannie Mae, and beaten-up European financials. This interview was published as a video on Real Vision in September, and the podcast introduction is provided by Alex Rosenberg. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 20, 2019
Barry Silbert Forecasts the Future of Crypto
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Barry Silbert is the founder and CEO of Digital Currency Group, a cryptocurrency investment trust that is now worth as much today as the whole asset class was five years ago. In this conversation with Raoul Pal, Silbert discusses the long-term outlook for cryptocurrencies, as well as some of the most promising blockchain businesses being build today. This interview was published as a video on Real Vision in June, and the podcast introduction is provided by Alex Rosenberg. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 13, 2019
Are Unfunded Pensions Secretly Driving Markets? (With Brian Reynolds and Tyler Neville)
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Brian Reynolds, former chief market strategist at Rosenblatt Securities, tells why unfunded pension liabilities are the real engine for the U.S. credit boom, and how this financial engineering has produced one of the greatest bull markets ever. A legal mandate requires these funds to earn 7.5% returns, and when they fail to do so, taxpayers foot the bill. As a larger percentage of these pensions are moved onto corporate balance sheets, the tightrope these pension funds walk gets more and more precarious. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 06, 2019
Bitcoin, Gold, and the Future of Macro Investing (Dan Tapiero with Raoul Pal)
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Bitcoin, Gold, and the Future of Macro Investing (Dan Tapiero with Raoul Pal) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 30, 2019
Russell Clark - Devaluing the Chinese Renminbi
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Russell Clark of Horseman Capital warns that a Chinese currency shock could be the spark that burns down the entire global economy. In an hour-long conversation with Real Vision editor Roger Hirst, which was released as a video on Real Vision in July, Clark forecasts that Chinese policymakers will eventually respond to the trade war by changing the rules of the currency game. He then walks through the massive consequences that he believes this action could have. Intro provided by Alex Rosenberg. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 23, 2019
Real Vision Classics #5 - Josh Wolfe interviewed by Michael Green
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What will the future look like, and what will that future mean for businesses and investors? Michael Green of Thiel Macro sits down with Josh Wolfe of Lux Capital for an incredibly though-provoking conversation about technology, manufacturing, the economy, and investment opportunities. Alex Rosenberg introduces the audio version of this long piece, which was filmed in June 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 18, 2019
Real Vision Classics #4 - Raoul Pal interviewed by Dee Smith
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Social media power, the proliferation of artificial intelligence, and the destruction of the rules-based global order. How are these massive trends connected? Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision and the mind behind the Global Macro Investor, sits down with Dee Smith of Strategic Insight Group for a wide-ranging and deep-diving conversation about these topics and more. Alex Rosenberg introduces the audio version of this long piece, which was filmed in August. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 11, 2019
Real Vision Classics #3 - Stanley F. Druckenmiller Interviewed by Kiril Sokoloff
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One of the most widely watched videos on Real Vision this year was investment visionary Kiril Sokoloff’s interview of hedge fund legend Stanley F. Druckenmiller. Now we are releasing the audio version of this incredible interview to podcast listeners. Alex Rosenberg and Brian Price introduce the piece, which was filmed in September. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 04, 2019
Real Vision Classics #2 - Joe Duran Speaks to Brian Price
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One of the most beloved videos released this year on Real Vision was our interview with Joe Duran, the founder and CEO of United Capital. Now we are allowing podcast listeners a chance to hear the full audio version of the piece. The man who conducted the October interview, Brian Price, introduces it alongside fellow Real Vision editor Jake Merl. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 28, 2018
Real Vision Classics #1 - Mark Cuban in Conversation with Kyle Bass
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As a holiday treat, we are bringing you Mark Cuban’s full conversation with Kyle Bass. The video version of this interview was released on Real Vision in November 2017. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 21, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #28 - The Fate of Waste, Nuts, Space & More
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What do we know about the strange places we’ve been? In this season finale, Justine, Alex and Roger provide updates about the topics previously covered in the “The Knock-on Effect,” touching on the bright-red bugs behind the American aperitivo resurgence, the market potential for spicy hazelnuts, privatization of space and the moon, the glut of cheese, the existence of moon cheese, vaccine-flavored honey and the uniquely British appeal of Mr Kipling cakes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 14, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #27 - Why Big Soda’s Political Strategy Matters
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Why will local efforts to curb obesity mean more states will ban grocery taxes? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on taxpayer-subsidized soda purchases, Big Soda’s tobacco-like tactics, the trouble with slippery slope arguments, and the relative quality of different states’ tap water. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 07, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #26 - Inflation, Inequality and Bitcoin
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Does inflation increase or decrease wealth inequality? Alex recently got into a Twitter feud on that very subject, but guest co-host Jake Merl sets him straight. They also touch on Fed policy, the quality of government data, and the perils of replying to tweets while walking. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 30, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #25 - Urbanization, Obesity, and India’s Exports
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Why does rapid population growth in urban centers mean we may see more exports from India? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on the worldwide obesity epidemic, the state of the world in 1800, and the general decline of sexual activity. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 23, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #24 - Why Fruit Patents Matter
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What does China’s shifting attitude toward intellectual property mean for the fruit industry? Justine and Alex discuss - also touching on the Bacardi family and the quest for the next celebrity apple. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 16, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #23 - Are Bear Markets Actually Good?
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Real Vision’s Ash Bennington joins Alex to reflect on a trope frequently heard in the cryptocurrency world these days: “The best projects are built in bear markets.” Plus: The differences between crypto conferences and muni bond conferences, why Bitcoin Cash has become a punchline, and what Alex learned from an Aria bellhop. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 09, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #22 - Why the trucker shortage matters, part 2
1962
How does the recent mandate to electronically log trucker hours impact the labor force, Amazon and U.S. consumers? Justine and Alex speak with Will Pletcher, president of transportation company MCAH Ltd, about surging wages and costs in trucking. Will also sets the record straight on some common trucker stereotypes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 02, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #21 - Why does the growth of China's billionaire class mean wine bottles will get a lot more complicated?
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If the trade war winds down, why might we see more security measures on wine bottles? Alex and Justine discuss, touching on nail-biting auctions, vineyard pests and new uses for the blockchain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 26, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #20 - Why might our honey obsession lead to more mini-robotic drones?
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How does the health food craze contribute to the production of drones? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on global smuggling rings, food fakery and sauerkraut flavored honey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 19, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #19 - Elections, Payday Loans & Stolen Goods
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If the Republicans maintain control of Congress, why might it become easier to buy stolen goods by accident? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on wordy regulations, the emotional reaction to wealth disparities, and Justine's mixed driving record. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 12, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #18 - Why will trucking surveillance lead to problems for holiday shoppers?
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Why does a recent mandate for increased workplace surveillance spell trouble for retailers? Justine and Alex discus — also touching on implanted microchips, byzantine trucking regulations, and Alex’s affinity for “the open road.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 05, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?
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Who stands to profit from the next era of space exploration? Alex, Justine and Roger discuss, touching on international space law, libertarians on Mars, and Justine's favorite intergalactic snack food. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 28, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?
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What impact will the growth of online advertising have on your local grocery store? Justine, Alex and Roger discuss — also touching on cookie wars, mysterious Senate hearing testimony, and Roger’s favorite breakfast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 21, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #15 - South African Meat and Large-Cap Tech
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What does cheaper South African biltong have to do with a rally in large-cap U.S. tech stocks? Roger, Justine and Alex discuss the knock-on effects of the shifts in emerging market currencies— also touching on earnings excuses, the myopic U.S. rally, and romantic questions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 14, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #14 - Why will asthma cases change cargo shipping?
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What impact will the proliferation of asthma have on innovation in the cargo shipping industry? Justine and Alex discuss in this podcast-only episode of the Knock-On Effect, also touching on massive kites, the dregs of the fuel-making process, and Alex’s Model UN days. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 07, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #13 - Why China’s waste ban matters
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Why will China’s efforts to clean up its image put more water bottles inside shoes, lead to a recycling black market and raise the costs for shipping garbage? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on virgin plastics, the voyage of a garbage barge in the 1980s, and the Polish trash mafia. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 31, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts
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Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 24, 2018
The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey
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Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Global Macro Investor, discusses with Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 17, 2018
The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity
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Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macro Blog, discusses with Roger, Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 10, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage
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Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati of Cheese.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 03, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?
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Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversial USDA maneuver to clamp down on speedy traders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 27, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?
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Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of blue. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 20, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?
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Why will higher stock prices lead more American to pick feet? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on income inequality, one very fancy Manhattan store, and the marital habits of reptile owners. Plus, Justine explains why companies seems to be so afraid of the number “4.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 13, 2018
Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking
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How did the modern age of central banking begin? In this story previously heard in a 2017 episode of “Adventures in Finance,” Grant Williams, Aaron Chan and Ben Hunt look at the fascinating history of the man some consider the godfather of central banking, John Law. Then Alex and Justine draw some present-day conclusions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 06, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?
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Why will a rising dollar lead to a proliferation of ice cream flavors that go far beyond vanilla? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on thieves in Madagascar, beaver glands, whisky maturation and the globalized food production process. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 29, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?
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Why will a higher fed funds rates lead to a decline in the number of Americans who play the lottery? Alex and Justine discuss, along the way touching on the future of transportation, moving to L.A., the wisdom of playing the lottery, and Justine’s favorite writer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 22, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways
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Why will changing Chinese demographics lead to an increase of plastic strips in doorways? Justine and Alex discuss - and in so doing, also touch on Ikea trips, online dating, modern food production, and President Bush’s congratulatory message to President Obama. Then Alex explains how a horse racing term could apply to what’s ahead for stocks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 15, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork
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Why will U.S. tariffs lead to a resurgence for the global cork industry? Justine and Alex explain, along the way discussing Australian wine, cork shoes and the Chinese consumer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 08, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom
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Why will higher oil prices result in disappointed craft beer drinkers? Justine and Alex discuss. Plus, Alex delves into the world of academia, and discusses an interesting finding about the way stocks react to earnings announcements. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 01, 2018
The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks
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Why will rising rates leave tire tracks on the world’s great beaches? Alex, Roger and Justine discuss. Plus, a high-pressure debate over whether stocks will fall 20% within the next year. Filmed on May 21, 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 25, 2018
The Knock-on Effect #1 - Protectionism and Red Velvet Cake
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In this inaugural episode of “The Knock-On Effect,” Justine and Roger try to convince Alex that a U.S. crackdown on free trade could lead American red velvet cakes to turn pink. Yes, really. Plus, Alex takes issue with Charlie Munger’s shocking bitcoin comparison. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 18, 2018
Adventures in Finance 66 - Collective Wisdom: The best pieces of advice ever received by Real Vision contributors
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What’s the single best piece of advice you’ve ever received, and how have you applied it over the course of your investment career? In this episode of the “Adventures in Finance” series, eight of our favorite prior guests join us once again to answer that question. You’ll hear from Marc Cohodes, Pippa Malmgren, Chris Cole, Ben Hunt, Jawad Mian, Simon Mikhailovich, Dee Smith and Jeff Snider – and if you don’t walk away from this series of short interviews with something new to think about it, go back and listen again! Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade selfies, people who hate their jobs, and you. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 11, 2018
Adventures in Finance 65 - A Revolution is underway: Stock markets, oil, bonds and Real Vision
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Real Vision’s CEO and macro-economist, Raoul Pal, offers his latest thoughts on the bond market, the dollar, oil and the business cycle as well as an update on what the future holds for Real Vision. In this week’s Long Short, Raoul and Grant discuss all things swine. Log on to www.realvision.com/adventuresinfinance to find out how you can be part Real Vision’s exciting financial media revolution. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 04, 2018
Adventures in Finance 64 - Crossing the Rubicon? The Bond Market’s Big Move
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With the 10-year yield peaking above 3% this week, is the low finally in for the 10-year yield? How high is it liable to rise? How might the Fed and inflation play into this? And what could it all mean for equities? Julian Bridgen of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners joins to discuss all that and more. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade ancient appliances, Billy Bragg and middle seats. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 27, 2018
Adventures in Finance 63 - Reality Check? The Case for Stocks
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After a treacherous few months for equities, investor sentiment appears to have turned relatively ursine. But is the reality that stocks will continue to rise in the short-term at least? Neil Azous of Rareview Macro makes just that case. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade hip-hop, the London skyline, overspending millennials and non-conventional art supplies. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 20, 2018
Adventures in Finance 62 - Powering Down: Beginning of the End for Tesla?
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Can Tesla still take over the world – or is the end nigh for the ambitious electric car company? Charley Grant of the Wall Street Journal and Mark Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade the political circus, Twitter debates and scheming seniors. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 13, 2018
Adventures in Finance 61 - Crude Awakening: The Yuan, the Dollar, and the Battle for Global Supremacy
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China appears to be taking a major step to combat the dominance of the U.S. dollar. How significant could that move be, and what political, economic, and market changes might result? Luke Gromen, founder of research firm Forest for the Trees, joins for a deeply insightful discussion. Plus, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Saudi leadership, California regulations, and flat-falling April Fools’ Day jokes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apr 06, 2018
Adventures in Finance 60 - Look Out Below? David Rosenberg’s Stormy Outlook
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After a tumultuous first quarter for stocks, what will the rest of the year bring? Nothing good, according to famed economist David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff. He outlines what could be ahead for the economy and markets – and outlines some areas where investors might turn to safety. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade weight-losing poker players, sexy magazine covers and replying all. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 30, 2018
Adventures in Finance 59 - Anti-Social: Facebook, Privacy and Societal Shifts
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Will the Facebook-Cambridge Analytica fracas actually turn the tide of public opinion against the social media giant? Jesse Felder of The Felder Report and Peter Atwater of Financial Insyghts join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Jerome Powell, scientific research and predictive coffee-based drinks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 23, 2018
Adventures in Finance 58 - Commercial Break: What the Ad industry’s struggles say about the economy
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Advertising behemoth WPP has run into massive troubles. Does this just reflect the flow of ad dollars into Google and Facebook, or does it suggest bigger problems with the global economy? Grant describes his findings, while Daniel Ives of GBH Insights takes the other side. Meanwhile in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade “King Dollar,” Russian airplane engineers and ETF-related class-action lawsuits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 16, 2018
Adventures in Finance 57 - Blue Steel: Tariffs, Trade and Trump
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What’s driving the modern movement toward protectionist tariffs and trade wars? Where will it all lead, and what lessons can we draw from history? Geopolitics consultant Peter Zeihan and historian Marc Palen discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade airline seats, trend followers and Wu Tang Clan fans. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 09, 2018
Adventures in Finance 56 - Digging Gold: The Case for Precious Metals
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Will it soon be gold’s time to shine once again? Rick Rule of Sprott Global Resources, Simon Mikhailovich Tocqueville Bullion Reserve and Ronald-Peter Stoeferle of Incrementum AG weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade tennis, pant-ripping lasers and flighty models. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mar 02, 2018
Adventures in Finance 55 - The Storm After the Calm: Is Market Volatility Back?
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Stock market volatility has surged to levels unseen in years. So is the era of unusual market calm now over and done with? Or was this latest episode just a temporary bit of turmoil? Steve Diggle of Volpes Investment Management and Dennis Davitt of Harvest Volatility Management weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Apple, mediocre Olympic athletes and Jennifer Lawrence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feb 23, 2018
Adventures in Finance 54 - Trump Whisperer: The Life and Times of Ken Kurson
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Ken Kurson has been many things: A reporter, a rocker, a newspaper editor and a cryptocurrency evangelist. He’s also a supporter and occasional speechwriter for President Donald Trump. This week, he sits down with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to discuss his varied careers – and to explain why he is a big believer in the current president. Plus, in the “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Nick Colas of DataTrek Research discusses the importance of having confidence at market turning points. And in the long/short segment, Grant and Alex trade Rolls-Royce SUVs, terrifying robots and mass-media volatility coverage. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feb 16, 2018
Adventures in Finance 53 - Unfixed Income: The Bond Market Meltdown
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Bond prices appear to be in the midst of a striking dive. So can we blame bonds for the stock market drop? Is the decades-long bond bull market finally over? And where will the 10-year Treasury yield finally settle out? Jeffrey Snider of Alhambra Partners and Greg Weldon of “Weldon Live” join to discuss. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams, Alex Rosenberg and James Gibb trade volatility, Tesla and network TV. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feb 09, 2018
Adventures in Finance 52 - New Kids on the Blockchain: Inside the Minds of Cryptocurrency Investors
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The crypto craze has made dedicated investors and traders out of many people who’ve never before given much thought to finance. What’s driven those people into bitcoin and other tokens, where do they see prices going, and how are they reacting to the recent plunge? We talk to a wide swath of crypto investors around the world to find out.  Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade sleep, Jeremy Corbyn and home-made New Zealand islands. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Feb 02, 2018
Adventures in Finance 51 - Xi’s China: What Next For The Middle Kingdom?
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With China’s plenum out of the way, what’s ahead for the Chinese economy? How much influence does the government have, and how successful has the transition to a consumer-based economy been? Finally, what does it all mean for the global growth and inflation outlook? Tian Yang of Variant Perception and Louis Gave of Gavekal weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade ICOs, Liberian leadership and lifeguard buffness. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 26, 2018
Adventures in Finance 50 - 363 Days: Donald Trump’s First Year
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A year after Donald Trump’s inauguration, we take a close look at the president’s performance. How well has President Trump done? Should market bulls thank him for the recent rally? And how great is the risk of a significant policy misstep? Experts R.P. Eddy and Pippa Malmgren join to discuss. Plus, in the Long/Short segment, Grant and Alex trade felons, bitcoin and reality. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 19, 2018
Adventures in Finance 49 - Charge!: The Bull Case for Tesla
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At long last, a Tesla bull steps up to retort Mark Spiegel’s bear case on the electric car company. Rob Maurer, host of the Tesla Daily podcast, makes an impassioned case for both the company and the stock. Plus, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade Nike, Hedy Lamarr and Scottish spiders in this week’s Long/Short segment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jan 12, 2018
Adventures in Finance 48 - Taking Stock: The Best of “Adventures in Finance”
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Grant looks back at some of his favorite moments from the podcast, reflecting on some of the boldest calls, sharpest insights and most meaningful stories he’s heard. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 29, 2017
Adventures in Finance 47 - What Lies Beyond? Big Themes for 2018 Part II: Inflation
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Is an inflation spike around the corner – and if so, what effects could that have? To find out, Grant speaks to Jawad Mian of Stray Reflections, Jonathan Pain of the Pain Report, and Peter Boockvar of Bookmark Advisors. Each gives his take on where we are in terms of inflation now, and where we could be headed in the year ahead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 22, 2017
Adventures in Finance 46 - What Lies Beyond? Big Themes for 2018 Part I: Volatility
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Grant and James are joined by two of the most seasoned volatility traders in the world, David Dredge of City Financial and Chris Cole of Artemis Capital Management, to discuss the curious absence of volatility in 2017 and whether they see a return to more unpredictable moves in financial markets during 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 15, 2017
Adventures in Finance 45 - Baring The FAANGS: What’s Next For The Tech Titans?
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Mark Mahaney of RBC Capital Markets offers his positive assessment of the outlook for the big tech giants who have led the market rally while Jesse Felder, author of The Felder Report and host of the podcast Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom returns to Adventures in Finance with some words of caution as he sees signs that both public opinion and the companies’ own performance are beginning to turn Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 08, 2017
Adventures in Finance 44 - Mind Games: Harnessing Market Psychology
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Peter Atwater (Financial Insyghts) and Ben Hunt (Salient) are masters of how to measure confidence in both the economy and in markets. In conversation with Grant Williams, they break down their methods, and share some surprising insights about where we stand right now. Peter Atwater explains how “hubris” led him astray in the aftermath of the financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dec 01, 2017
Adventures in Finance 43 - Take-out or Delivery: What’s really happening in retail?
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On the eve of the Holiday shopping season, Stephanie Pomboy (MacroMavens) and Dana Telsey (Telsey Advisory Group) stake very different positions about the health of the retail space and the consumer. Then Jim Sullivan (Green Street Advisors) explains what it all means for the real estate sector. Plus, Mark Spiegel (Stanphyl Capital) discusses a key mistake he made early in his investing career and the valuable lesson he learned as a corporate insider.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 24, 2017
Adventures in Finance 42 - A Deep Dive into the Real Vision Think Tank
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Three contributors to the Real Vision Think Tank discuss their views on the most important areas upon which investors should currently be focusing. Maleeha Bengali of MB Commodity Corner, Tony Greer of TG Macro and Larry McDonald of The Bear Traps Report discuss base metals markets, crude oil, Chinese debt and data and the tug-of-war that is the Trump Tax Plan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 17, 2017
Adventures in Finance 41 - A Sea Change Could Be On The Fed’s Horizon
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Is this a fork in the Fed’s road? President Trump has nominated Jerome Powell to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve. Whether Powell will continue down the same path of Janet Yellen, and Ben Bernanke before her, remains an open question. Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former advisor to Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher and author of Fed Up, says that Powell, in combination with other new faces at the central bank, could be poised to effect some serious change. Miles Kimball, professor of economics at the University of Colorado Boulder, isn’t so sure. The real debate, however, is how Fed ought to operate, particularly once the next crisis crops its head. Booth and Kimball emerge as polar opposites here, with Booth advising a retreat from unconventional policies designed to stimulate the economy, and Kimball recommending that the Fed take interest rates sharply negative in the next downturn. More broadly, Kimball is a fan of rigorous action from the Fed, while Booth would like to see more humility in the Eccles Building. Once the sides have been staked in the Fed debate, Booth takes her leave of this planet, and tells us what she would bring on a trip to Mars. And speaking of humility, Kimball closes out the episode by offering up something he got wrong. Interestingly, it concerns not finance, but fat. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 10, 2017
Adventures in Finance 40 - Electric Shock: The Shifting Sands Beneath Elon Musk & Tesla
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Amidst a shift in the narrative surrounding Tesla after a series of production issues and mounting losses, Mark B. Spiegel of Stanphyl Capital Partners makes the bear case for the electric car manufacturer and explains why increasing competition from a series of luxury carmakers, advances in battery technology and the increasing scepticism surrounding Elon Musk’s outlandish promises are combining to set the company up for an uncomfortable ride… in the wrong direction. Mark then bravely climbs aboard one of Musk’s Space X rockets to Mars and lets us know what he takes with him. And in Things I Got Wrong, Dr. Pippa Malmgren offers two valuable lessons she learned about having the courage of your convictions (and what to do when you are proven wrong) and how making certain compromises in a man’s world are perhaps not the right path for a young, ambitious woman to take. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Nov 03, 2017
Adventures in Finance 39 - Bits, Blocks & Forks: The Story of Bitcoin & The Blockchain
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The origins of bitcoin predate most people’s understanding and this week, with the aid of Trace Meyer, of The Bitcoin Knowledge Podcast, and Bruce Kleinman, author of The Bitcoin Tutorial, we trace the rise of bitcoin and the blockchain from their unceremonious unveiling to the world in a simple, pseudonymous 8-page White Paper in October 2008 to the recent hard and soft forks. We look at the architecture and the technology underpinning this revolutionary protocol, decode some of the more complex ideas and, amidst a tsunami of ICO offerings, try to assess the future for cryptocurrencies in general and bitcoin in particular. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 27, 2017
Adventures in Finance 38 - Black Monday: First Hand Accounts of the 87 Crash
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On the 30th anniversary of Black Monday, we recreate the events of that tumultuous time through the eyes of people who found themselves trying to navigate the biggest drop in Dow Jones history. The legendary Art Cashin takes us behind the scenes at the NYSE, while Bill Fleckenstein, David Hay, Michael Lewitt and Greg Weldon share their personal stories alongside Michael Oliver and Trader Vic – Victor Sperandeo who famously predicted the crash a few weeks before the event. Lastly, we hear the incredible story of hedge fund manager Richard Pomboy whose foresight saved his investors millions Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 20, 2017
Adventures in Finance 37 - Hours from Oblivion: Inside the White House During The Cuban Missile Crisis
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Dr. Harald Malmgren, senior advisor to four US Presidents (Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon & Ford) joins Grant to recount his experiences in the White House and Pentagon during the thirteen days of the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 – a period where the world came within hours of a full-scale nuclear war. Harald explains how he and Defense Secretary Robert McNamara’s famous ‘Whizz Kids’ were tasked with not only helping find a solution to the biggest diplomatic crisis of the Cold War, but design a strategic plan for conflict should the unthinkable happen. From the confusion caused in Congress by the concept of Megadeaths to the people who stepped up behind the scenes, Harald takes us inside the Kennedy White House at its most fraught and shares how today’s tensions on the Korean Peninsula look to a man who has stood on the edge of oblivion. In our “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Forest For The Trees Founder and President, Luke Gromen, shares a pair of mistakes he made either side of the 2008 Credit Crisis and outlines how they changed the way he invests today. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 13, 2017
Adventures in Finance 36 - Battlegrounds: From Warfare to Wall Street with Preston Pysh
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A truly insightful and at times hard-hitting interview with Preston Pysh, host of The Investors Podcast.  What’s it like to go from commanding a company of Apache helicopters in Afghanistan, as part of the 101st Airborne, to navigating the markets on wall street and co-hosting one of the world’s top investing podcasts? What can you learn from combat experience that can help maintain mental fortitude as a trader?  We also send Preston to Mars and find out just what he can’t live without. In our “Things I Got Wrong” segment, Tim Price, from Price Value Partners in London… explains how a strongly-held, post-2008 conviction got him into trouble.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Oct 06, 2017
Adventures in Finance 35 - Observations and Interpretations: Jim Grant
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Grant Williams welcomes Jim Grant- legendary financial author and founder of the twice monthly journal on financial markets, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer.  Together they discuss Jim’s rise to literary prominence from the time he was a gunner on the USS Hornet at the age of 17 through to his founding of Grant’s. We learn his views on the incredible rate increases of the mid 1980’s, what the end game would be for Central Banks, what he would do if he was FED chairman, when he thought the devaluation of the Dollar really began, and what would he take with him on a one-way trip to mars? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 29, 2017
Adventures in Finance 34 - Jim Rogers: The Investment Biker Rides Again
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Investing legend Jim Rogers joins Grant Williams to talk about the defining moments in his life which took him to Wall Street in the 1960s and to Russia and China on a motorbike in the 1980s. Jim talks about how important non-consensus thinking has been throughout his career, explains how the current troubles in North Korea could provide the investment opportunity of a lifetime … and let’s Hugh Hendry know exactly what’s in his pocket. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 22, 2017
Adventures in Finance 33 - Keys to the Kingdom: Inside the Beautiful Mind of Hugh Hendry
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Always candid, often hilarious, Hugh talks openly about his experience in 2008 when his fund returned nearly 50% as markets melted down around him, about the fear he confronts every time he puts on a trade, his typically canny tactical approach to debating the fellow Scot he calls ‘The Best Speaker in the World’ and takes us back in time to a party in Moscow at an Oligarch’s apartment when he discovered the secret contents of an investing legend’s trouser pocket… Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 15, 2017
Adventures in Finance 32 - Season 2 Premier: KYLE BASS
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Season 2 of Adventures in Finance kicks off with Kyle Bass joining Grant for this week’s entire episode. Kyle shares some of the Defining Moments of his life and explains how they shaped him. He tells us a story of a disastrous trade gone wrong, answers listener’s questions from the Real Vision Mailbag, and explains what he’d take on a rocket ship to Mars. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 08, 2017
Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 5: Steve Diggle
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Grant and Aaron cap off the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by the founder of Vulpes Investment Management, Steve Diggle, where he discusses his love of long-distance running, his career as a university boxer, and the tranquility of diving. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sep 01, 2017
Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 4: Mark Yusko
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Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by Mark Yusko, Founder and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, where he discusses his passion for philanthropy, the influence of legendary college coaches on his thinking, and the importance of solitude on one's ability to think deeply. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 25, 2017
Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 3: Jawad Mian
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Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance as they are joined by Jawad Mian, founder of Stray Reflections, to discuss the philosophical underpinnings of his worldviews, how to create a mindset that lives in the present moment, why he went from buying hundreds of books to reading just a few of them multiple times.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 18, 2017
Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 2: Pippa Malmgren
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Grant and Aaron continue the 2017 Summer Series of Adventures in Finance and turn-off from the beaten path as they are joined by the Pippa Malmgren to discuss drone technology, interesting summer reads, and the steps she takes to stay balanced and creative while multi-tasking as a mother, Presidential advisor, keynote speaker, startup founder, economist, and bestselling author. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 11, 2017
Adventures in Finance - 2017 Summer Series 1: Milton's Mailbag
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Grant and Aaron kick off the 2017 Summer Series by addressing some of the most pressing listener questions during the first season of Adventures in Finance. The guys are also joined by Jeffrey Snider, of Alhambra Partners, and Michael Oliver, of Momentum Structural Analysis, who shed light on the Eurodollar markets and FAANG momentum, respectively. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Aug 04, 2017
Adventures in Finance 26 - Season Finale: Market Wizardry and the Power of Picking the Right indicator
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Our season finale brings you three world-leading analysts and investors as they share their frameworks and favorite indicators, and help you to become a better investor. Featuring Jesse Felder of the Felder Report, Mark Yusko of Morgan Creek Capital Management, and Tian Yang of Variant Perception. We also say farewell to Aaron Chan, our co-host, as he departs Real Vision to continue his career in finance. In “Things I Got Wrong”, we speak with Josh Crumb, Co-founder of Goldmoney Inc., who shares the mistake he made diverging from the “long-term greedy” perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 28, 2017
Adventures in Finance 25 - The Hedge Fund That Almost Broke the World
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Before the hundreds of billions in corporate bailouts and trillions in central bank interventions, there was a time when we believed there was no way our financial models and investment strategies couldn’t be wrong. That was until a hedge fund came along that threatened to bring down the global financial system in 1998. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Julian Brigden, Co-Founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, shares what he got wrong on spotting major trends but jumping on them too soon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 21, 2017
Adventures in Finance 24 - Demons, Angels and the Enemy Within
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Look in the mirror and you will find your greatest ally and your mortal enemy. You will find someone who will play tricks on you, appeal to your worst emotions, but who holds the keys to your trading success. This week, we explore the psychology of trading with leading performance psychologist, Brett Steenbarger, and 40-year trading veteran and classical charting legend, Peter Brandt. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Rick Rule, President and CEO of Sprott U.S. Holdings, shares what he got wrong early in his career when he confused a bull market for brains. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 13, 2017
Adventures in Finance 23 - Fast Cars, Fake IDs, and Billion Dollar Fraudsters
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Enter the shadowy world where people use complex strategies and cutting edge technology to hide their identities to defraud multinational companies out of millions of dollars. This week, we speak with Dee Smith, CEO and Principal of Strategic Insight Group, a man whose job is to see through this world of espionage and lies, and who is relied upon by corporations to find out exactly what they’re dealing with. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Peter Brandt, CEO and Founder of Factor Research, shares what he got wrong at the very beginning of his successful 40-year trading career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jul 07, 2017
Adventures in Finance 22 - Murderer, Gambler, Aristocrat & Pauper. John Law, The Godfather of Central Banking (Financial History - Part 2)
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Meet an 18th-century murderer, banker, convict, laughing stock, and the godfather of central banking, John Law. Accompanied by Dr. Ben Hunt, the Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners and author of the Epsilon Theory website, we explore how Law wrote the modern central banking playbook which resulted in a bubble which has reverberated through the actions of future central bankers since. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, Michael Schneider, former CIO and co-founder of Brookline Partners and independent PM, discusses what he got wrong assessing the bond market in 2009. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 30, 2017
Adventures in Finance 21 - Ponzi Hunters: Harry Markopolos and His Dogs of Fraud
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Harry Markopolos was the lone whistleblower on Bernie Maddoff's $18 billion Ponzi scheme and, in this interview, takes the whole regulatory and accounting apparatus to task in a way that will have you thinking differently about institutions that guard the public trust. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Marin Katusa, professional resource investor and founder of Katusa Research, shares what he got wrong going all-in on a mining company early in his career. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 23, 2017
Adventures in Finance 20 - Cyber Warfare: Welcome to the New Normal
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For years, cyberattacks on a global scale were the stuff of fiction; they have now become reality. And if the NSA isn’t safe then no one is safe. This week, we decode a potential existential threat to modern civilization with Dee Smith, CEO of Strategic Insight Group, and Kowsik Guruswamy, CTO of Menlo Security. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, we speak with Greg Weldon, CEO of Weldon Financial, about what he got wrong shorting the Malaysian Ringgit during the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 16, 2017
Adventures in Finance 19 - Over Stocked & Under Sold: A Tale of the US Shopper and the Global Economy
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If you want to predict the path of the global economy, you best have a pulse on the US consumer. At 70% of the US economy, consumer spending is in the economic driver seat. We speak to Stephanie Pomboy, economist and founder of MacroMavens, someone that has consistently got it right in predicting US consumer trends and has the inside track on where the US consumer is headed next. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, we speak with Jerry Haworth, CEO of 36 South Capital Advisors, about what he got wrong shorting the Nasdaq in 1998. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 09, 2017
Adventures in Finance 18 - Bitcoin: Journey Beyond the Hype to a Universe of Applications
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Bitcoin is all everyone can talk about and the public is downright hysterical about the price, but the price is not what you need to be focusing on. This week, we explore how Bitcoin and the underlying blockchain technology have opened up a universe of applications that have the potential to revolutionize entire industries and economies. In 'Things I Got Wrong', we speak with Jesse Felder, publisher of the Felder Report, about what he got wrong while holding a stock in a sector the government wanted dead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jun 02, 2017
Adventures in Finance 17 - Demographics Are Destiny
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Neil Howe isn't only a household name for finance-types, he coined the term "Millennials" and literally wrote the book on generational analysis. This week, he shares his insights on where we stand in his Fourth Turning framework and what it means for markets and society. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Simon Mikhailovich, Founding Partner of Toqueville Bullion Reserve, shares what he got wrong about liquidity and leverage during 2007. (A very special thanks and congratulations to our producer, James, and his Mrs. on the arrival of their baby girl, Hayley!) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 26, 2017
Adventures in Finance 16 - Having Reservations: US Restaurant Revenues Signal Recession Risk
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What if restaurant sales could predict the next recession? According to Paul Westra, Senior Research Analyst at Stifel, decades of restaurant sales data accurately predicted the last two US recessions, and the next one might be the biggest one yet. In 'Things I Got Wrong', and back by popular demand, Chris Cole, CIO of Artemis Capital Management, talks about what he got wrong in adjusting his systematic strategy to a new market regime. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 19, 2017
Adventures in Finance 15 - Crises, Bubbles, Scandals: Financial History Uncensored (Part 1)
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"The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see", Sir Winston Churchill. Men and women of historical significance understood the importance of history. Tim Price, partner and Director of Investment at PFP Wealth Management and author of Investing Through the Looking Glass, kicks off our extended look at the history of financial crises and scandals, and what they can tell us about the future. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Alex Gurevich, CIO of HonTe Investments, shares what he got wrong about conflating market forecasting with other realms of expertise.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 12, 2017
Adventures in Finance 14 - Feeding the Future: Debt, Demographics, & Dinner Plates
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The agricultural industry sustains human life but is taken for granted and is subject to volatile cycles. Alan Boyce, former Soros Fund Management Director and Agtech investor, talks us through the biggest challenges facing the industry and major blind-spots few are aware of. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Daniel Want, CIO and co-founder of Prerequisite Capital Management, shares what he got wrong about the end-game in Australian real estate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
May 05, 2017
Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World
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